It’s hard to back against Arsenal at the moment. I was really impressed by the Gunners in their 4-0 win over Atletico Madrid during the week. I’ve not seen many sides do that to Diego Simeone’s side so it was a really impressive performance which is reflected in the underlying numbers which confirm Arsenal’s dominance in the encounter.

That victory stretches their current winning run to six wins across all competitions. Arsenal’s only defeat so far this season remains their 1-0 defeat against Liverpool at Anfield, aside from that result only Manchester City have been able to take points off the Gunners.

Palace have gone from being unbeaten in their last 19 matches to losing two of their last three. They fell to a surprise 1-0 defeat at the hands of Larnaca in the Conference League during the week following a defeat against Everton and draw against the Cherries.

I did think that Palace would struggle in the games they had following a European match as their squad isn’t the deepest and that should prove true here. Arsenal have more depth in the side so they can rotate and rest players which isn’t really a luxury that Palace have at the moment and I think this will be a key difference in this game.

Both goals in that game for Forest came from the penalty spot, but it was nevertheless the result they needed - given that Porto had conceded just two goals all season prior to Thursday, it was never going to be a walk in the park.

Bournemouth have been much less organised at the back so far this season, which is understandable given the multitude of defensive changes they had to contend with since last season.

The Cherries have conceded 11 goals from eight games, with six of those coming in the last three games alone. In fact, they shipped 4.44 xG at the weekend at Selhurst Park, and were fortunate in the end to come away with a point. But their free-scoring nature has got them to where they are now, fourth in the Premier League, and goals are a target for the south coast side once more.

It’s taken a while for Aston Villa’s season to get going, but that winning feeling has returned in a fairly drastic manner. Villa have now scored in their last seven consecutive games, a stark contrast to their first four games where they failed to score in any of them.

The question mark of Ollie Watkins fitness could be vital for the selection on Sunday afternoon, they’re a better team when he’s available. Villa haven’t been posting particularly special xG figures in their recent run of good form, but they’ve developed a clinical ruthlessness in front of goal.

Man City are admittedly improving defensively this season, there’s more robustness about them, but they are still susceptible to the counter attack. Villa have the attacking ball carriers to hit City in transition, especially with the flair and guile of Morgan Rogers.

Even with recent clean sheets against Villarreal, Everton, and Brentford, Man City were still giving up some big chances, notably against Villarreal where they conceded 1.28 xG but didn’t concede.This fixture has now finished with both teams scoring in eight out of the last nine games between the two.

Burnley may have won a vital relegation clash against Leeds last week, but the underlying defensive metrics don’t cover them in glory. Despite winning the game 2-0, they still conceded a hefty 2.62 xG. Now understandably game state will have influenced those numbers, especially because they were sitting on a lead for large periods. Burnley have only played out one game this season where they conceded below 1.00 xG, and that was a home match against Sunderland which they won 2-0.

Wolves have admittedly struggled to find the net this campaign, but still managed to score in every home game barring Manchester City on the opening day. Even in defeat to Sunderland last week, they mustered 16 shots and had the better of the xG contest. Statistically speaking, Burnley currently sit bottom of the league for xGA, while Wolves are underperforming their xGF by 2.0 goals.