Leeds have found form at an important stage of the season, with Daniel Farke switching to a 3-5-2 shape, which has seen Leeds avoid defeat since their 3-2 loss against Manchester City at the Etihad. They’ve seen BTTS in four of their last five matches across all competitions, with the exception of their 0-0 draw against Liverpool at Anfield last time out.

Manchester United have also seen BTTS in four of their last five matches across all competitions, keeping one clean sheet in this period, which is only the second shutout they’ve managed to keep all season. United have been one of the most chaotic sides to follow in the Premier League this season, with their nine away matches producing 31 goals (3.44 per game).

Only Arsenal (37) and Manchester City (43) have scored more goals than Manchester United in the Premier League this season. However, United have conceded 29 goals across their 19 matches - more than any other side currently in the top half of the Premier League.

Leeds have scored 17 goals across their nine home games in the Premier League this season (1.88 per game), so they have the firepower at Elland Road to cause United problems and should be further encouraged by their recent form, which includes avoiding defeat against Chelsea and Liverpool at home - seeing BTTS on both occasions.

Newcastle won this fixture 5-0 last season. Although it wasn’t quite as one-sided as the scoreline suggests, Newcastle were devastatingly efficient in the final third, and they hit this mark with exactly five corners.

Eddie Howe’s men have won the most corners in the Premier League this season, with a total of 118. At home, they are averaging a notable 7.25 corners per game, landing this selection in each of their last five consecutive games. Newcastle have landed this selection in some tough matchups against the likes of Man City, Arsenal, Liverpool and Barcelona already this season, underlining how they are able to regularly find chances in the final third, even against the elite sides.

Meanwhile, Crystal Palace have shipped a total of 17 corners across their last two away outings, with eight corners conceded against Arsenal and nine v Leeds.

The Toffees come into this weekend clash with the slight advantage, given that they have had an extra two days to recover and prepare. Everton came away with a 2-0 victory from the City Ground last time out, thanks to goals from James Garner and Thierno Barry. It was a positive result for David Moyes’ men, who were clinical on the break. Despite registering just 30% possession, they racked up 1.25xG. Jordan Pickford was a notable performer with six saves, although Forest were mostly restricted to long-range, speculative efforts.

Meanwhile, Brentford were held to a 0-0 draw in a testing midweek match at the Gtech Community Stadium. Keith Andrews’ side struggled to create any meaningful chances, finishing the match with just seven shots worth 0.83xG. This selection has landed in each of the last six head-to-head meetings between these sides, with four draws and two Everton wins.

Alisson was forced into making two stops in Liverpool’s 0-0 draw with Leeds last time out, taking his total tally for the season to 29 saves across 14 matches (2.07 per 90).

Fulham managed to draw four saves from Dean Henderson in their 1-1 draw with Crystal Palace last time out, and tend to carry a significant attacking threat when playing at Craven Cottage. Fulham have drawn 2+ saves from the opposition keeper in 11 of their 19 Premier League matches this season, including five of their nine home games.

Liverpool have conceded 16 goals across their nine away matches in the Premier League this season. Only four sides have conceded more goals on the road than Liverpool this term, so we can expect Fulham to carve out a few chances here to test Alisson.

Man City are likely to take advantage of the instability currently surrounding Chelsea here, and could even cover this line on their own. Only Arsenal (26) have scored more goals at home this season than City (25 - 2.77 per game).

Chelsea have seen 27 goals across their nine away matches in the Premier League this season (3.0 per game), with the Blues netting 17 goals across these matches. Only Man City and Bournemouth (18) have scored more goals on the road this season than Chelsea. 

It’s impossible to ignore the wider circumstances surrounding Chelsea at the moment, with Enzo Maresca being relieved of his duties after just one win from six matches in December. Chelsea have seen 3+ goals in each of their last four matches, and another chaotic evening is expected here.

Man City beat Chelsea 3-1 in this fixture last season, and I can see a similar scoreline here. Chelsea may be able to contribute to the goal tally, but I think they will eventually be undone by the dominance of City, who need the points in their pursuit of Arsenal.