It’s like Groundhog Day for Vasteras every week. Their underachievement in front of goal is getting absolutely ridiculous. They failed to score in their last match when they lost 4-0 away to Hacken despite racking up 15 shots and nine on target. They now have the second best xG in the Allsvenskan (26.72) but have scored the fewest goals of any team (12).

At some stage they must surely revert back to the mean and take more of their opportunities. Four of their last five fixtures have now gone over 2.5 goals and they are one of the best coached sides around. If they could just score more goals then Kalle Karlsson’s men would be a formidable force. They desperately need to beat AIK here.

AIK started the season with former Man United defender Henning Berg in charge but he resigned midway through the campaign. The Stockholm giants poached highly-rated Faroese head coach Mikkjal Thomassen from Norwegian club Fredrikstad, but things have started badly for him. Thomassen has lost both games in charge, to the same club GAIS 2-0 and 1-0.

This is a man not used to losing; he only got beat six times in three and a half seasons at KI and Fredrikstad in the league. AIK and their new manager are under pressure. He started with a 4-4-2 formation in both matches so far, but could switch to his preferred 3-4-1-2. At the very least, AIK need to start scoring goals again so we can expect a positive mindset.

Backing the goals has been more favourable in Vasteras matches recently. We know they create chances but also concede their fair share. Let’s not forget that AIK have one of the top scorers in the league with striker Ioannis Pittas leading the line. Over 2.5 goals looks like a good selection because both teams will be fighting hard for the victory and are likely to be aggressive.

There have been times in the past where Brommapojkarna have been a yo-yo team, but they seem more settled at the moment and are a genuine mid-table force in the Allsvenskan.

They head into this match off the back of a wild 4-3 win vs Goteborg last week and will be eyeing up another three points. One major plus point for Bromma is their ability to create chances and score goals. They have the 6th-best xG in the Allsvenskan (24.96) which correlates very closely to their goals scored tally of 24. Spearheading their attack is striker Nikola Vasic who has netted nine times and is one of the leading scorers in the league.

They face a poor Halmstad side who could be a genuine relegation candidate this season. Their underlying numbers and metrics are extremely worrying; they have the lowest xGF and xGA in the Allsvenskan. Halmstad have massively overachieved at both ends of the field, especially offensively. There was some joy last week thanks to an ugly 1-0 win v Varnamo but Halmstad’s recent form has seen them lose seven out of ten games and their road stats are awful. Midfielder Jonathan Svedberg has started every game for them this season but is suspended here.

Halmstad have one of the poorest away records in the Allsvenskan with six defeats in eight fixtures. That includes five consecutive road defeats heading into this game. Their overall form has been poor and beating Varnamo last week is hardly anything to write home about.

Brommapojkarna are quite simply the better side and possess better quality players. They have a good record in this head-to-head, beating Halmstad in all of the last four Allsvenskan meetings. Backing the hosts simply to win the game looks like a very appealing bet.