Brommapojkarna grabbed their first win of the 2025 season last week, getting the better of strugglers Sirius and walking home with a 3-0 scoreline. While on paper it was a fairly even game, BP having 18 shots to Sirius’ 16, the Stockholm side created a whopping 4 big chances and capitalised on them, while Sirius had none. The quality in the final third shone through, with Anton Kurochkin, new signing from Varberg, bagging a beautiful brace off the bench. BP have a somewhat shaky defence but can threaten most teams offensively with the likes of Irandust and new striker Alladoh looking sharp and dangerous.

IFK Värnamo sit rock bottom of the league after three matches, lacking in quality throughout. Their underlying numbers are not too shabby, having created a total of 4.5 xG and conceding 2.7 xG. Unfortunately, they do not have enough firepower in attack and have only managed to score one goal to date while conceding four. You could say they’ve been somewhat unlucky, losing all games by a single goal, however, the squad simply isn’t strong enough to keep teams out while capitalising on their opportunities. Key midfielder Wenderson, poised to leave for Elfsborg, will still be suspended here after a red card two weeks ago.

While BP have their fair share of troubles, Värnamo look poised to struggle at the wrong end of the table throughout the season. At least a point should go to the home side here.

Öster’s return to Allsvenskan has so far been up and down, impressively beating Häcken in GW2 but narrowly losing to IFK Norrköping and Halmstad in the other two, the latter scoring at the death to win 1-0 last weekend. Relying heavily on counterattacks and set pieces, averaging only 39.1% possession, they have the capacity to cause upsets, but are likely to struggle when teams take control of the game and show some incisiveness in the final third. It’s a solid game plan considering the limited recruitment in the off-season and the lack of proven Allsvenskan quality, although it remains to be seen whether it will be enough for them to stay up this year.

AIK found themselves in the top three following GW3 after some rugged but quietly effective performances. Yet to suffer a loss, having amassed seven points to date, the latest of which was picked up in a closely contested 0-0 draw versus champions Malmö. AIK actually had the better chances and maybe should have won it, threatening from crosses and late runs arriving into the penalty area. Despite having lost a few key players in the off-season, they look more cohesive and now also have a close to fully fit John Guidetti back and firing.

AIK should simply have too much for Öster and can go top of the table with all three points. We can expect them to win at least one half.

The first Gothenburg derby of the campaign beckons, with IFK somewhat surprisingly the team in better nick. After some tumultuous years, they have now managed to find some stability, being more settled as a team and club, and it really shows on the pitch. The combination of rugged experience centrally in defence with goalkeeper Dahlberg and club icon Gustav Svensson at CB, and a youthful exuberance with academy prospects and clever new signings, is paving the way for a fruitful season. The Swedish Cup run was encouraging, and except for getting battered by Hammarby in the opener, they’ve looked assured and comfortable in their play in the other two league games, beating both Halmstad and Värnamo with a 1-0 scoreline. This is a bigger test against a much better team, but the blue and white part of Gothenburg can be hopeful of a positive result.

Häcken have, on the other hand, struggled mightily since Allsvenskan kicked off. A whole host of defensive injuries have made them porous, but conceding 5.3 xG in three matches is simply not good enough and continues the woeful trend of last season. That, combined with an inability to progress the ball into the final third and create enough to mitigate the situation, makes for a terrible combination. They have in fact, only created 3.4 xG in the first three matches, scoring two goals, with striker and tipped top scorer Srdjan Hrstic not getting on the scoresheet yet. There is little indication of any respite for Häcken, with even more defensive injuries, including their two main goalkeepers, in the treatment room. Add to that star winger Zeidane Inoussa being absent with a foot injury, and his replacement Pontus Dahbo not yet finding his feet.

The home side has a big chance of getting the better of their shaky rivals here and look set to gain at least a point.