In this article…
Tottenham v Arsenal
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Kick Off: Sunday 28th April at 14:00
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Competition: Premier League
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event
Below is a full betting preview ahead of this week’s Sunday kick-off between Tottenham and Arsenal, accompanied by betting tips, predictions, team news, and best bets as well as a Cheat Sheet covering the proceedings.
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Sparks are expected to fly in the final North London derby of the season when Arsenal make the short 7km trip to play bitter rivals Tottenham Hotspur.
For Tottenham, a top-four finish is the goal and with ground to make up on Aston Villa in the race to secure Champions League football, Spurs need victory over their neighbours to stay in the hunt.
Arsenal meanwhile, have a first Premier League title in 20 years in their sights, though only perfection will suffice in their last four fixtures of the campaign if they are to match Man City stride-for-stride in the sprint for English football’s top prize.
Tottenham v Arsenal Best Bets
➡️ Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals @ 1.67 with Paddy Power
➡️ Over 1.5 Tottenham cards + Over 1.5 Arsenal cards @ 1.48 with Paddy Power
📂 Tottenham v Arsenal Cheat Sheet
There are so many ways to use our Cheat Sheets to look for player fouls won stats or any other markets, and we encourage you to find your own formula to pick a winning bet builder, however, if you’re unsure of how to use a Cheat Sheet, just click the link for some quick tips to help you make the most of it.
You can find Tottenham v Arsenal match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off. If you’re looking for a new bookmaker check out the best bet builder bookmakers.
⚔️ Tottenham v Arsenal Head-to-Head
Tottenham showed plenty of mettle when they battled their way back to parity twice when drawing 2-2 with Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium in the last North London derby in the campaign’s early throes in September.
Spurs matched the Gunners punch-for-punch on that occasion and made life incredibly awkward for their hosts.
In fact, Arsenal were restricted to just 47% possession by their adventurous visitors and conceded the joint-highest number of shots on target (five) and the joint-highest xGA (1.4) for the campaign at home in that contest. Arsenal did dominate the corner count against their rivals (11-4), however.
Unsurprisingly, there was a sharp edge to proceedings and seven yellow cards were brandished to the combatants involved. Indeed, the North London derby has a reputation for fiery tempers and heavy tackles, and three of the last four iterations of the fixture have produced at least six cards.
To keep their title tilt on track, Arsenal will need to repeat last season’s win at Tottenham. That 2-0 triumph snapped a run of seven visits to play their neighbours without a victory and felt like a significant juncture in the development of Mikel Arteta’s young side.
That win was achieved just a couple of months before Tottenham parted ways with Antonio Conte however, and Spurs should be a different animal under Ange Postecoglou on Sunday.
In September’s frenetic encounter, Tottenham hit back with equaliders just 16 and 11 minutes after conceding, and a similar ebb and flow to proceedings is anticipated in Sunday’s rematch.
James Maddison set up both of Heung-min Son’s goals in that 2-2 draw and the dynamic Tottenham duo will be eager to combine to good effect again this weekend.
Spurs’ Destiny Udogie (eight tackles) put in a strong shift at left back against Arsenal starlet Bukayo Saka, and the absence of the Tottenham defender through injury on Sunday could impact on how the rematch develops.
📊 Tottenham Form and Stats
Tottenham were torn to shreds by Newcastle in their last Premier League assignment and their 4-0 loss to the Magpies at St James’ Park was their biggest defeat of the campaign so far.
Spurs haven’t played since that heavy loss on April 13th, so they’ve had plenty of time to stew over their mistakes and to plan their rebuttal on Sunday.
Tottenham have become experts at harnessing home advantage and have won a superb eight of their last nine Premier League matches on their own patch, averaging 2.55 goals per 90 minutes along the way.
Talisman Heung-min Son was a chief architect of that successful surge, netting in five of those eight wins. The 31-year-old has also scored seven times against Arsenal over the course of his Tottenham career, with his most recent strike against the Gunners lodged in September.
It is worth noting that Spurs failed to keep a single clean sheet during that nine-game sequence and Ange Postecoglou’s gung-ho tactics have routinely left his team vulnerable at the back this season.
Tottenham are a bottom-half team for xGA (52.9) this term, while both teams scored in 75% of their 32 Premier League fixtures since August with over 2.5 goals hitting the net in a league-high 81% of the same games.
Postecoglou’s commitment to attacking football has allowed Tottenham’s forwards to thrive, however. Spurs have scored in more Premier League fixtures (30) than any other outfit so far this season and they have four different players on double-figure goal contributions (Son – 24, Maddison – 11, Johnson – 12 and Richarlison – 13) for the campaign, with another couple on the cusp (Porro – 8, Kulusevski – 9).
📊 Arsenal Form and Stats
Mikel Arteta’s troops have actually played four times since Tottenham were last in action, however, there were no visible signs of fatigue against Chelsea and Arsenal should be razor-sharp again on Sunday.
The Gunners have been formidable on the road this season and hold the division’s best away record, picking up an impressive 2.11 points and scoring 2.29 goals per away game since August.
Arsenal are also the Premier League’s most prolific team overall as things stand (82 goals), though their stellar defensive work deserves just as much attention and they’ve conceded just 26 times in 34 top-tier tussles to date.
In 14 Premier League fixture since January 1st, Arsenal allowed just 8.80 in xGA combined with the central defensive partnership of William Saliba and Gabriel Magalhaes providing a superb platform, however, standards have slipped a little of late.
Chelsea posted an xG of 1.60 in their 5-0 loss to Arsenal on Tuesday which is the most the Gunners have conceded in a single Premier League sitting this season, and Arsenal also looked shaky at the back in their Champions League elimination at the hands of Bayern Munich and in their surprise recent loss to Aston Villa.
💰 Tottenham v Arsenal Best Bets
The match result markets feel like too risky a pursuit for Sunday’s North London derby, though September’s thrilling encounter between Tottenham and Arsenal (2-2) provided enough evidence to suggest another goal-fest could be in the works in the rematch.
88% of Tottenham’s home games in the Premier League have produced over 2.5 goals this season, while both teams impacted the scoresheet in 88% of the same matches. A bet on BTTS & over 2.5 goals at a price of 1.67 with Paddy Power holds massive appeal with those records in mind.
With massive incentives for both teams to win and the usual North London derby spice thrown into the mix, the cards markets also contain plenty of value. Seven cards were shown in the last derby in September (Arsenal 4, Spurs 3) and backing over 1.5 Tottenham cards and over 1.5 Arsenal cards in a double on at 1.48 with Paddy Power is a shrewd play.
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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