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Wales v Montenegro
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Kick Off: Monday 14th October at 19:45
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Competition: UEFA Nations League
Wales will aim to build on their strong UEFA Nations League start against Montenegro on Monday. New manager Craig Bellamy has guided them to five points from three matches, including a 2-1 victory over Montenegro last month.
While Wales seeks another win, Montenegro look to recover from recent struggles and avoid relegation. This high-stakes clash promises excitement as both teams fight for valuable points in League B Group 4.
⭐ Wales v Montenegro Best Bets
Bellamy is trying to get his side to play more on the front foot and has been including several attacking players in the starting XI with Kieffer Moore, Brennan Johnson, Harry Wilson and Sorba Thomas. This does leave them struggling defensively.
Over the three games in this Nations League campaign, Wales have conceded 47 shots, which includes Turkey playing the last 30 minutes with 10 men. Danny Ward has made seven saves across the three fixtures. Montenegro have forced their opposition keeper to make 3, 4 and 4 saves, which includes 4 last time these two sides faced off.
Montenegro need a victory here so we are expecting them to come and try to win the game. Defeat would put them eight points behind Wales and at least four points behind Iceland in third.
Given the above, we are going to back Danny Ward to make at least three saves in the game, a bet that would have won in all of Montenegro’s games in this Nations League campaign.
🔍 Wales v Montenegro Players to Watch
🔴 Harry Wilson
Since Craig Bellamy took over as manager, Harry Wilson has registered 2, 4 and 3 shots. After the Turkey game, Bellamy tweaked the Welsh formation putting Wilson just behind Kieffer Moore, this has allowed him to get on the ball more often in attacking positions. Montenegro have conceded 29, 10 and 12 shots, so Wales will definitely get chances in the game.
⚪ Nikola Krstovic
We want to get behind Montenegro taking shots in this game. Wales over the last three games have conceded 5, 22 and 20 whilst Montenegro have registered 10, 22 and 10. One player that stands out is Nikola Krstovic.
So far in this Nations League campaign he has registered 3, 4 and 5 shots. He will see plenty of the ball and if needed can be pushed from his normal wide position to either up top or to support the main striker.
He is a key player for Montenegro and one that Wales will watch closely. He’ll likely face Connor Roberts, who has already committed 15 fouls in eight games for Burnley and Wales this season.
Opponents frequently target Krstovic; he’s been fouled nine times in seven Serie A starts this season and 2, 3, and 1 times in his three Nations League games. This match-up could turn into a real battle.
📂 Wales v Montenegro Cheat Sheet
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💻 Wales v Montenegro Form and Tactics
Wales have made a solid start to their 2024-25 Nations League campaign, sitting second in League B Group 4 with five points from three matches. Under new manager Craig Bellamy, they held Turkey to a 0-0 draw, then secured a 2-1 win over Montenegro and most recently played out a 2-2 in Iceland.
Wales are now aiming to extend their unbeaten run as they welcome Montenegro. Key players like Kieffer Moore and Harry Wilson have impressed.
Montenegro finds themselves at the bottom of League B Group 4 after a challenging start to their Nations League campaign. They lost 2-1 to Wales which was followed by a 2-0 defeat against Iceland and then on Thursday night they were outplayed by Turkey in a 1-0 defeat, leaving them without a point.
After winning two friendlies earlier this year, their form has dipped significantly, resulting in five consecutive losses across all competitions. The Brave Falcons will be eager to turn their fortunes around and secure crucial points in their upcoming matches.
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🏁 Wales v Montenegro Ref Watch
- Referee: Filip Glova
- This season, he has officiated seven games, averaging 4.43 cards per match. In those games, he has issued a card to both teams on all occasions. Glova’s international experience includes nine matches, with an average of 3.33 cards per game.
- When these two teams last met in September, six cards were shown, with both sides receiving at least two.
- Wales home matches average 5.01 cards in their last 16 home games, while Montenegro have collected an average of 2.55 cards in their last 20 away internationals.
Football Predictions at Andy’s Bet Club
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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