German football is comfortably the highest-scoring of any of the top five leagues, and it is clear to see why, as teams focus on attacking, fluid football. The Bundesliga averaged 3.14 goals per game in 2024/25, followed by Ligue 1 with 2.96 per game and the Premier League with 2.93.

Werder Bremen games have had 30 goals in nine games, averaging 3.33 per game, and their opponents are very similar, with 27 in their opening nine, averaging exactly three per game. Looking at this fixture’s head-to-head clashes, it is clear that the data strongly suggests one thing… goals. Five of the last six matches (83%) have produced over 2.5, with an average of 3.66 goals per game.

Werder Bremen’s last 10 games have resulted in an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded. Wolfsburg follow a similar trend, with their last 10 games containing an average of 1.7 goals conceded and 1.1 goals scored.

This season, Wolfsburg average 4.45 corners per game, which is a slight downturn from their 2024/25 average of 4.84. Werder concede an average of 5.3 corners per game this season, up from their average of 4.66 last season.

Their away corners this season have been solid, with the exception being their most recent away match against Hamburg away from home where they held a 1-0 lead from the 15th minute, surrendering 31% of possession. Wolfsburg managed five against Augsburg, three at Dortmund, and five against Heidenheim. The hosts Werder have had a strange pattern of corners conceded this season, appearing they either concede an abundance or very few.

Recent counts go two against Mainz, six against Union Berlin, 12 against Heidenheim, zero against St Pauli, seven against Bayern, zero against Freiburg, and nine against Borussia Monchengladbach. Corner kicks can be very game-state dependent, but with Werder Bremen’s ability to concede flurries, I believe 1.5 holds good value for four or more Wolfsburg corners.

Goals are not the only thing prominent in this fixture; cards are also. Over their last 10 head-to-head fixtures, there has been an average of 4.7 cards shown per game with a 2.6 to 2.1 split in favour of Werder Bremen.

Recent games have had card counts of 2, 3, 10, 6, 6, 4, 4, 6, 6, and 5, clearing the over 3.5 line in 8/10. Werder have been collecting cards for fun this season, averaging over three match cards per game over their last 10 matches, and an average match card count of 4.5.

Wolfsburg are also on the naughty list, with an average of 2.4 cards for and 2.2 cards against over their last 10 games. The referee appointment for this fixture backs this selection further, as Felix Zwayer averages 4.18 cards per game.

The man with the whistle has shown 7,4,10, 6, and 9 cards in his five Bundesliga matches, a remarkable 7seven per game.

Marco Grull has operated predominantly on the right of the attack for Werder Bremen, with a few games at striker, and has an average of 1.33 fouls per 90 across his last 50 matches.

He has recent foul count of 1,2,1,1,2,2 across his last six matches and a season average of 1.20 fouls per 90. The German is predicted to have the task of dealing with Mattias Svanberg on Friday evening. The Swedish international operates on the left of Wolfsburg’s attack and has drawn an average of 2.21 fouls per 90 this season, following up on his 2.02 last campaign.

Like Grull, Svanberg only featured in one of the head-to-head matches last season, where he drew three fouls. Grull only featured in one of the head-to-head games last season, committing one foul in the process. With the game likely to be very tightly contested, I can see plenty of duels and tactical fouls with both sides really fancying their chances.