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Chelsea v Wolves Bet Builder Tips, 21/1 Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Chelsea v Wolves Bet Builder Tips, 21/1 Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Thursday 6 November, 20254 min read
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Ramis Ibrahim

Avid football writer and Premier League specialist. Meticulous eye for player prop bets across English, European and International football honed over four years in football analysis.

Chelsea welcome Wolves to Stamford Bridge having already beaten them in the EFL Cup as recently as last week.

Wolves have since parted ways with head coach Vitor Pereira, with the club sitting bottom of the Premier League, having lost eight of their 10 matches.

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Chelsea v Wolves Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Chelsea v Wolves
  • Premier League
  • 20:00
4 Selections @ 4.02

Jorgen Strand Larsen to have 2+ Shots

Jorgen Strand Larsen hasn’t quite yet hit the heights from last season which was a campaign that saw the forward net 14 goals across his 35 Premier League appearances, whilst averaging 1.87 shots per 90. A really impressive haul considering that it was Larsen’s first ever season in the Premier League.

Larsen has scored one goal in the Premier League so far this term, which came from the penalty spot against Burnley. In Larsen’s defence, Wolves have been the worst side in the Premier League this season, netting just seven goals across their 10 matches - the joint-lowest tally in the division.

Larsen has had 11 shots across his eight Premier League appearances this term (1.57 per 90) and can hurt Chelsea as he did last season, scoring from two shots in the clash at Molineux, and also having two efforts in Wolves’ defeat at Stamford Bridge. These sides faced off in the cup a few weeks ago, Larsen didn’t start on that occasion, but he came off the bench to have a shot.

Marc Cucurella to Commit 1+ Fouls

Marc Cucurella has committed a foul in four of his last five Premier League appearances, with two of those appearances seeing him commit more than one foul. Cucurella is given quite an adventurous role in this Chelsea side, he often finds himself caught high up the pitch and has to make recovery fouls to protect the Chelsea backline.

Cucurella has committed 14 fouls across his 10 Premier League appearances this season (1.56 per 90). He didn’t start in the clash between the sides in the EFL Cup, but came off the bench to be shown a yellow card for dissent. Cucurella committed 37 fouls across his 36 Premier League appearances last season (1.11 per 90), so he is a player who commits fouls regularly, as shown by his consistency over a larger sample size.

Wolves are averaging 9.0 fouls won per game in the Premier League this season, which is a tally that should give Cucurella a chance when it comes to committing a foul here. Cucurella committed two fouls in this fixture last season and was shown a yellow card; he also committed a foul in Chelsea’s 3-1 win over Wolves at Stamford Bridge last term.

Over 3.5 Cards

The recent cup meeting between these sides produced nine match cards, including a red card, as Chelsea ran out 4-3 winners in a crazy EFL Cup tie. I’d expect a similar flurry of cards here given the current situations involving these sides.

Wolves find themselves rock bottom of the Premier League, a position which usually comes with a fair degree of frustration, as we can see from the 18 yellow cards they’ve received this term (1.8 per game).

Wolves rank 2nd in the Premier League when it comes to fouls (13.4 per game), a ranking that has stayed consistent from last season, with only Bournemouth committing more fouls than Wolves last term.

Chelsea picked up more yellow cards than any other side in the Premier League last season (99). They currently rank 6th for cautions in the top-flight with 20 across their 10 matches (2.0 per game). The youthful makeup of this Chelsea side always lends itself to petulance, which has been perfectly showcased this season through the number of red cards that Chelsea have received.

Over 2.5 Goals

The most recent meeting between these sides produced seven goals as Chelsea ran out 4-3 winners over Wolves in the EFL Cup. This has become a recent pattern in games involving these sides, with each of the last five head-to-head meetings seeing 3+ goals.

Chelsea have seen 3+ goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions with the exception of their 1-0 win over Tottenham. They didn’t get much help from their opponents on that occasion when it came to raiding the goal count, with Tottenham registering their lowest xG ever on record in that clash. Wolves have seen 3+ goals in each of their last three matches, conceding three goals in each of those games.

Wolves have conceded more goals than any other side in the Premier League this season (22). Their scoring power hasn’t been the strongest this term, but they could get more chances than usual against a Chelsea side that will be fatigued from their midweek assignment against Qarabag.

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Chelsea v Wolves Best Longshot Bets
  • Chelsea v Wolves
  • Premier League
  • 20:00
3 Selections @ 22.38

Ladislav Krejci to be Shown a Card

Krejci has picked up one yellow card for Wolves so far this season across his seven Premier League appearances. I’d expect this tally to substantially increase over the course of the campaign with how aggressive Krejci is, especially seeing as he’s played in midfield at times for Wolves this season.

Krejci picked up 10 yellow cards across his 28 appearances in La Liga last season, highlighting his aggressive nature. He averaged 0.89 fouls committed per 90 across these games, which isn’t a standout average, but tells us that Krejci’s challenges tend to be whole-hearted, as it is quite hard to end up with that many cautions with such a modest fouls total.

If Krejci continues in the middle of the park for Wolves here, then he will be faced up by Moises Caicedo and Enzo Fernandez, who are averaging 3.03 fouls won per 90 between them in the Premier League this season.

Wesley Fofana to be Shown a Card

Fofana has returned to the Chelsea side following a period on the sidelines due to a concussion. His speed makes him particularly useful for how Chelsea want to play, with no other Blues centre back really possessing the pace to allow them to play with a high line. This could come to the fore against a side like Wolves, who will mainly get their joy in transitions.

Fofana picked up seven yellow cards across his 14 Premier League appearances last season. That's a yellow card in half of his appearances last term, showing how aggressive the Frenchman can be with his challenges. He’ll be up against Larsen here, who isn’t the strongest when it comes to winning fouls, but certainly holds a physical advantage over Fofana.

Fofana’s promising card totals last season help to inform this selection, with the centre back likely to be the last man at the back on a few occasions for Chelsea here. This should lead to Fofana having to commit fouls to stop Wolves counter-attacks, a perfect scenario for him to pick up a caution.

Liam Delap to Score Anytime

I’m a big fan of Liam Delap and thought he would have started against Tottenham if he hadn’t been sent off against Wolves in the EFL Cup. This was a silly sending off, like most of Chelsea’s this season, with Delap charging into a Wolves centre back just minutes after being cautioned for doing a similar thing.

Delap should be able to put that to one side and have chances to get on the scoresheet here. Wolves have conceded the most goals in the Premier League this season (22), so you would expect Chelsea to have chances here. Delap hasn’t really featured in the Premier League so far this season due to injury, but his presence in the side will benefit Chelsea in the final third, particularly Joao Pedro.

Pedro has been deployed as a number nine in the absence of Delap, but he never truly looks comfortable there. His best performance in a Chelsea shirt so far was against West Ham, where Delap started and offered a physical focal point upfront. I think Delap can do that here and get off the mark for Chelsea against the weakest backline in the Premier League.

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📂 Chelsea v Wolves Cheat Sheet

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📈 Chelsea v Wolves Form & Tactics

Chelsea always seem to take one step forward and then a few back. The Blues dropped points against Qarabag in the Champions League following a 1-0 win over Tottenham in the Premier League, which highlighted the inconsistency of this young squad.

Chelsea’s current record at Stamford Bridge is quite poor, with just two wins from their five matches. This is quite surprising as Enzo Maresca made Stamford Bridge one of the most secure home grounds in the Premier League last season, with Chelsea winning 12 of their 19 games at home.

Wolves sacked Pereira after last week's defeat to Fulham. They’ve conceded the most goals in the Premier League (22) and lost each of their last three matches, including a 4-3 defeat to Chelsea in the EFL Cup.

Each of the last five head-to-head meetings between these sides have produced over 2.5 goals, so it’s a fixture that regularly produces high goal tallies. Chelsea have also seen 3+ goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions, so the goal markets could be worth looking into here.


📔 Chelsea v Wolves Formation & Team News

Chelsea have built on their success from last season with a very similar shape, with tactical tweaks imposed by Maresca based on the opposition. Chelsea haven’t quite had an ‘A’ and ‘B’ team as they did in the Conference League last season, but Maresca has been rotating with five changes in the week for Chelsea’s 2-2 draw against Qarabag.

Chelsea line up in a 3-2-4-1 when in possession, one of the full backs usually tucks in alongside Caicedo, which allows Fernandez to push up from the middle of the park and join the quartet behind the striker. Chelsea’s wing pairings in recent weeks have been interesting. Maresca has landed on a duo of Jamie Gittens and Estevao, who lined up in midweek, and Alejandro Garnacho with Pedro Neto, with the Chelsea boss rotating the wide options he uses pretty often.

Wolves should continue with their 3-4-3 shape, which was the most preferred of Vitor Periera, though he did switch to a four at the back in the final few weeks of his reign. This is likely to take on a more negative outlook here, with Wolves clear underdogs and their main issue being the number of goals they concede.

When it comes to injuries and suspensions, both players are without key defenders, with Emmanuel Agbadou being suspended for the visitors, while Levi Colwill and Benoit Badiashille are expected to miss out for the Blues. Chelsea also have to wait a bit longer to welcome back Cole Palmer, who is reportedly eyeing a return in Chelsea’s upcoming clash with Burnley.


📊 Chelsea v Wolves Key Stats

  • Each of the last five meetings between these sides have produced over 2.5 goals.

  • Wolves have conceded the most goals in the Premier League so far this season (22).

  • Chelsea have won just two of their five games at Stamford Bridge this season.

  • Wolves have recently parted ways with head coach Vitor Pereira.


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* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

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