ABC logo
Wrexham v Derby Bet Builder Quick Tips & Preview

Wrexham v Derby Bet Builder Quick Tips & Preview

EFL
Starts Tomorrow, 12:30
Thursday 25 September, 20253 min read
Avatar

Oliver Shaw

Fuelled by a passion for sport and a sharp instinct for uncovering patterns in data, beating the bookies became the perfect outlet for my competitive streak. Now I take pleasure in sharing my finds with ABC punters. I enjoy finding niche angles and betting value in a range of markets and leagues, my favourite being in Serie A.

In this article...

There’s a lot of uncertainty surrounding this game, as the Championship’s worst defence hosts the league’s worst attack. I see an exciting game, with the potential for a few goals.

Looking to put together an EFL Bet Builder this week? Check out our Best Bet Builder Bookmakers.

✚ Add picks to your betslip to place bets directly on Andy's Bet Club.

Wrexham v Derby Quick Preview Tips
  • Wrexham v Derby
  • English Championship
  • 12:30
2 Selections @ 4.51

Josh Windass to Score Anytime

Windass marked his return from injury with a brace against Norwich last weekend, despite having been out for over a month. He’s netted three times in just 177 minutes - a rate of 1.53 goals per 90, and with a rate of 1.25xG per 90, the chances certainly seem to be coming his way.

He bagged 13 times last season and is also on penalties, which bears additional significance given that Derby have already conceded two (joint-most in the Championship).

Only Sheffield have conceded more goals than Derby (12), who have also shipped the 5th most xGA of any team in the division.

Over 0.5 Derby Goals

Despite being far from the most free-flowing outfit in the Championship, I expect Derby to find the back of the net at least once on Saturday. Across their eight matches in all competitions, Derby have netted in all but one.

Additionally, Wrexham have already shipped 12 goals, ranking as the league’s joint-second most. Believe it or not, this figure actually flatters them, as evidenced by the 15xGA they’ve shipped - almost 3xGA more than the league’s second-worst side.

They can’t blame that on a tough schedule either - their best-placed opponent was West Brom (7th), and when you take the average of all their positions, you land somewhere between 13th and 14th.

18+, Please Gamble Responsibly, Ad.

New Customer offer. Place a min £10 bet on Football on odds of min 1.5 (1/2), get £50 in Free Bet Builders after the qualifying bet has been settled. Rewards valid for 90 days. SMS verification required. Only deposits via cards will qualify (Apple Pay excluded). T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly. AD


  • Derby have created the fewest xG in the league (4.5), despite scoring eight times.

  • Wrexham have conceded 12 goals, alongside an even worse 15xGA - the most in the division.

  • These sides have met only once since the 80s, a 3-1 Derby FA Cup win in 2007.


Live Now

Andy's Tips

Latest football and horse racing tips from Andy Robson and his team of experts.

bet365

bet365

Andy's Saturday Accumulator

  • Andy's Acca
  • Saturday 27th September
  • 15:00

View selections

Join bet365

18+, Please Gamble Responsibly, Ad.
Sky Bet

Sky Bet

Andy's Premier League Checklist

  • English Premier League
  • Saturday 27th September
  • 15:00

View selections

Join Sky Bet

18+, Please Gamble Responsibly, Ad.

🔴 Wrexham Resilient, If Not Always Convincing

It hasn’t been the easiest of starts to life in the Championship for Wrexham, who have picked up seven points from their opening six games.

That tally leaves them in 16th place, having bagged 11 goals and shipped 12 at the other end, although the xG numbers suggest the chances they’ve created would typically result in only nine scored, and 15 conceded.

They come into this clash in excellent form, having recorded wins in four of their last five across all competitions. In the league, that run included victories against Millwall and Norwich, alongside a defeat at the hands of QPR.

Despite the positive results, Wrexham created fewer xG than their opponents in both of those league wins, totalling 1.83, compared to the 4.3 they allowed their opposition.

That said, the scoreline against Reading in the cup last time out was a fairer reflection of a dominant Wrexham display, as they comfortably dispatched The Royals 2-0.


Derby Quickly Dragged Into Relegation Chatter

There are very few positives to extract from what can only be described as a dismal start to the season for Derby. They’ve managed to pick up five points, which could be worse, but still leaves them in the drop zone.

John Eustace’s men have created just 4.5xG - the fewest of any side in the league, although they have been clinical when dealing with those opportunities, netting eight times. This renders them the league’s second biggest overperformers in front of goal.

They slumped to a dull 1-0 defeat at home to Preston last time round, with neither side generating many chances.

The weekend before, Derby managed to snatch a 1-0 win away at West Brom, with Andreas Weimann’s late goal enough to seal the three points. It was very much a smash and grab, in fact, Derby managed only four shots all game.


📊 Wrexham v Derby H2H

Meetings between these sides are far from commonplace; in fact, they’ve come head-to-head only once since the 80s.

Even then, you have to go as far back as 2007, when Derby saw off Wrexham in a 3-1 FA Cup victory.

Generic

Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Keep up with our EFL Predictions, Accumulator Tips, and Gem Bets, as well as Football Betting Tips for this weekend, on Andy's Bet Club.

We've got you covered for Saturday's action, with our Championship Acca, EFL Acca, SPFL Acca and Premier League Acca, as well as Quick Preview Tips for Chelsea v Brighton and Crystal Palace v Liverpool.

The Paddy Power Sign Up Offer and bet365 Sign Up Offer will both see you bag free bets when you join, as will the Betfred Sign Up Offer - you can take a look at some additional New Bookmaker Offers here.



* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

18+ please gamble responsibly.