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Aston Villa v Bayern Munich Bet Builder Tips

Aston Villa v Bayern Munich Bet Builder Tips

Tuesday 1 October, 20241 min read
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Robin Bairner

Robin is a specialist in Scottish and French football and has been with us since 2022. He loves championing the young talent that Ligue 1 produces on a seemingly perpetual basis as well as the chaos of the unique world of SPFL football. He is currently based in central Scotland and can be found weekly taking in games and rating pies at windswept venues across the country.

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Aston Villa v Bayern Munich Bet Builder Tips

Our expert has put together two bet builders for Wednesday night's Champions League fixture, level 1 is 4/1 and level 2 is 8/1. You can also check out our Aston Villa v Bayern Munich betting preview for our expert’s favourite data-led selections, as well as our Champions League accumulator tips.

4/1 Aston Villa v Bayern Munich Bet Builder Level 1

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Level 1 Bet Builder Tip

👑 Bayern Munich to win

📈 Odds: 1.73

Bayern Munich one of the form teams in Europe, despite seeing a six-game winning streak ended at the weekend by Bayer Leverkusen. Only an unusually wasteful performance in front of goal prevented them from taking maximum points in a game they led 1.4-0.1 in xG. Have scored at least twice in every game they have played aside from Saturday’s clash, while they have not given up more than 1xGA in any of their last five matches. Highly experienced squad at dealing with this type of atmosphere in Europe, which should serve them well. Their ability to raise their quality on this stage was underlined by a 9-2 success over Dinamo Zagreb in the opening round of fixtures. Aston Villa held 2-2 by Ipswich on Sunday and while results have been positive, their only goal against a genuine top-four contender ended in a 2-0 home defeat against Arsenal. Bayern have the advantage of an extra day rest coming into this game, with Villa last in action on Sunday.

🧤 Aston Villa GK to make 3+ saves

📈 Odds: 1.44

Bayern Munich averaging 7.71 shots on target per game in all competitions this season, not including the five penalties they have hit, suggesting home goalkeeper Emi Martinez will be in for a busy afternoon. Opposing goalkeepers averaging 4.43 saves per match against the Allianz Arena side this term. Aston Villa have been giving up a steady stream of shots on target, with their opponents mustering at least four in each of their last four matches. In combination with FCB being so deadly in terms of creating chances, there should be another high count here. Martinez not having his best season – his save percentage is just 69.2% across all competitions this season – but even if he were to continue along these lines, Bayern would only need to hit five shots on target to trigger three saves from the World Cup-winning Argentine, who has a habit of excelling on these big nights in any case.

🎯Serge Gnabry to have 1+ shots on target

📈 Odds: 1.40

Gnabry stands as Bayern Munich’s leading player when it comes to shots on target from open play in the Bundesliga this season, with the winger managing seven – a club-high figure. He is also top when it comes to shots and shots on target per 90 in Germany’s top flight at 4.17 and 1.94 respectively. He has had at least one shot on target in four of his last six appearances for Vincent Kompany’s side, managing multiple efforts on goal on three occasions, including the previous Champions League match against Dinamo Zagreb. Showing a good degree of accuracy with his shooting this season as he is hitting the target with 46.7% of his efforts, suggesting that he will need a low shot count to get an effort on target in this game. Aston Villa have selection issues at right-back as Matty Cash is a doubt. Ezri Konsa may be forced to play in his less secure position.

🩹 Jamal Musiala to be fouled 2+ times

📈 Odds: 1.53

With 13 Bundesliga fouls this season, Musiala has won more free kicks than almost anyone else in Germany’s top flight. He stands joint fourth in this regard and is top among Bayern Munich players. Has earned two fouls for his team in six of the nine matches he has played for club and country this season, plus three of the last four he has played for Bayern. Curiously, the Zagreb fixture was an exception and the only time he has not won a single free kick all season. Set to be policed by two of Aston Villa’s leading foul makers in the form of Amadou Onana and Youri Tielemans. The pair combine for 4.22 fouls per 90 in the Premier League this season, and they will have a hard time pinning down one of Europe’s most dangerous No.10s. Musiala faced Premier League clubs four times last season – Manchester United and Arsenal – and earned at least two fouls on two occasions.

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Level 2 Bet Builder Tip

⚽️ Harry Kane to score anytime

📈 Odds: 1.91

Harry Kane has been on fire for Bayern Munich at the beginning of the season and is once again thriving at the point of an attack that is generating a huge number of chances for him. Already has ten goals for the season in seven games. Had scored in five successive Bayern appearances before he was surprisingly quiet in the weekend’s 1-1 draw against Leverkusen. Did not manage a shot in that game, though that is only likely to fuel his desire to produce a goal on his return to England. Scored two goals in three games against Premier League opponents in the Champions League last season, striking against Manchester United in the group stage before finding the net away to Arsenal in the quarter-finals. Tyrone Mings’ absence from the middle of the Aston Villa defence will cause the home side a major problem when it comes to working out a solution to pin down the England captain, who has eight career goals against the Birmingham side.

🛑 Youri Tielemans to commit 2+ fouls

📈 Odds: 2.25

No Aston Villa player has committed more fouls in the Premier League this season than Youri Tielemans’ 12. He has given away free-kicks at a rate of 2.03 per 90 in England’s top flight, the second highest rate among Villa’s regular starters behind only John McGinn, who is injured for this game. Committed two fouls in each of his last four games as well as in five of his last six. The exception in this sequence was a fixture against his former club Leicester in which he was booked in the first half and could not afford to take any risks. His direct opponent will be Jamal Musiala, who has been winning 3.02 fouls per 90 in the Bundesliga this season. There will be a big expectation on the shoulders of the Belgium international, who will be expected to get through a tremendous amount of work, putting him in jeopardy of making additional mistakes.

🚀 Jamal Musiala to have 2+ shots

📈 Odds: 1.33

Musiala has been prolific when it comes to having shots at goal for Bayern this season. In the Bundesliga, he stands second when it comes to his shots and shots on target from open play per 90 with 3.72 and 1.16 respectively. In recent matches, the Germany international has seen his shot count rise. Across the last three games he has played, the 21-year-old has had 16 shots, never dipping below three in a single game. He managed four against Dinamo Zagreb in the previous Champions League match, including three on target. Has had at least two shots in five of seven matches for Bayern Munich this season and his importance to the team is that he will not be taken off unless the game is emphatically won already.

🚀 Michael Olise to have 2+ shots

📈 Odds: 1.33

Michael Olise has settled impressively at Bayern Munich since a summer move from Crystal Palace, with the France international winger looking increasingly strong in recent weeks. Olise has managed 14 shots (eight on target) in seven matches since arriving at FCB, but his rate is notably picking up. The winger has managed at least two shots in each of his last five games, with nine across his last three, with five of these hitting the target. It is little wonder that he has started to look more confident in recent weeks. After scoring his first goal against Holstein Kiel following the international break, he followed that up with doubles in successive matches against Dinamo Zagreb and Werder Bremen. Fuelled by this, he is likely to be confident at taking shots at goal. Villa failed to cope with the winger when they met on the final day of the 2023/24 Premier League season. He had six shots (two on target) for the Selhurst Park side as they ran out stunning 5-0 winners.

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Our expert football tips include a range of Champions League betting tips and player prop tips, including shots on target predictions, card betting tips and player fouls predictions. Meanwhile, our bet builder stats tool is a great way to find the value when making your own selections.

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