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Aston Villa v Sheffield United Bet Builder Stats & Predictions

Aston Villa v Sheffield United Bet Builder Stats & Predictions

Thursday 21 December, 20233 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

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Aston Villa v Sheffield United

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Kick Off: Friday 22nd December at 20:00
🏆
Competition: Premier League
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Premier League

Friday night football is back as we enter the festive period, and here at ABC we'll be covering every televised Premier League game over Christmas. However, it's not just Premier League bet builder tips or Premier League accumulator predictions here on ABC as we also have an enormous variety of other expert football betting tips and predictions across the site.

If that sounds appealing, why not get involved? There's more than just football tips on the site, we also collect the very best available free bet offers and all of the latest bookmaker offers to allow our readers to bet smarter.

Kicking off this weekend’s Premier League action is Villa v Sheffield United on Friday evening. The hosts will be aiming to solidify their top-four position, a win here will move them seven points clear of last year’s champions, Man City, as their game has been postponed this week.

Villa Park has become somewhat of a fortress recently, with Aston Villa now winning their last 15 home league games, having recently triumphed over both City and Arsenal. This has moved them into joint-fourth place in the all-time rankings for the longest home-winning streak in the Premier League. 

Sheffield United are currently ranked bottom in the Premier League, winning just eight points over their first 17 games. Further, they have lost every away game they have played so far, with the poorest defensive record in the league; 43 goals conceded, averaging 2.53 per game.

Consequently, this game should be a goal fest. This article aims to break down all the things you need to know ahead of this game, making use of stats from the Aston Villa v Sheffield United Cheat Sheet. If you like any of the selections covered, why not add them into your Aston Villa v Sheffield United bet builder?

Aston Villa v Sheffield United Cheat Sheet

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This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.

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You can find Aston Villa v Sheffield United match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match stats: Villa’s rock-solid home record

Clearly it is likely that Villa will win this game and extend their home win streak to 15 games. The question is by how many will they win? Villa have scored in every home game since October last year. Just looking at their home games this Premier League campaign, they have scored an impressive average of 3.13 goals per game, beating teams such as Arsenal and City. Perhaps most impressive however, was their 6-1 victory over Brighton that saw Ollie Watkins net himself a hat trick. Given this strong record, Sheffield United are likely to be in for a rough evening. Not only have The Blades conceded the most goals in the Premier League this season, but they have also conceded the most shots and expected goals. Away from home, they have conceded an average of 2.75 goals this season, scoring just 0.5. Further, they have let an average of 17.63 shots be taken against them (6.88 shots on target). At the start of December, they conceded five goals to Burnley, who have had a poor season so far; currently sitting on the same points as Sheffield. This line of research opens up possibilities in the handicap markets. For those unfamiliar, these markets need a team to win by a certain amount of goals for the selection to land. For example, Villa (-2.0) effectively means the hosts start two goals down, and therefore need to win by three or more for the bet to win.

Predictions:

🏆 Aston Villa to win @ 1.18 🏆 Aston Villa (-1 handicap) @ 1.57 🏆 Aston Villa (-2 handicap) @ 2.63

🥅 Goals stats: Plenty of candidates for Villa goals

Watkins has undoubtedly been Villa’s main attacking threat this season. He has seen 15 goal contributions (9G, 6A) in the Premier League so far, ranking him third just behind Mohamed Salah and Erling Haaland. This impressive record has seen him average 3.03 shots and 1.27 shots on target per match. He is likely to be given plenty of chances against Sheffield United’s weak defence, with the bookies giving him an implied probability to score of 57.9%. Two other likely candidates to find their names on the scoresheet are Moussa Diaby and Leon Bailey. Both have been solid for Villa so far, scoring three and five goals respectively. Further, both players have been averaging a decent number of attempts at goal, with Diaby notching 2.24 shots & 0.88 shots on target (both per 90), whilst Bailey has racked up an impressive 3.04 shots and 1.16 shots on target per 90.

Predictions:

🥅 Ollie Watkins to score anytime @ 1.73 🥅 Moussa Diaby to score anytime @ 2.30 🥅 Leon Bailey to score anytime @ 2.50
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🚩 Corner stats: Villa corners on the Xmas menu

In the Premier League this season, The Blades have both taken the lowest average corners (3.35) and conceded the highest average corners (7.00). This stems from their low average possession on the ball, 36.6%, meaning they are often forced to sit deep. Sheffield United also concede lots of shots on target, the most in the league, averaging 7.18. This boosts the amount of saves their goalkeeper makes to 4.76, and therefore increases the likelihood of them conceding corners. Villa have taken 6.06 corners per game this season. They are in good corner-winning form too, taking 12 corners against Brentford in their last game. Against the other two teams currently in a relegation spot (Luton and Burnley), The Villains took at least six corners.

Predictions:

🚩 Over 5.5 Aston Villa corners @ 1.36 🚩 Over 6.5 Aston Villa corners @ 1.65

🛑 Fouls & Cards stats: Luiz to put himself about

Perhaps one of the stand out names for a foul or a booking on the pitch on Friday will be Douglas Luiz. The midfielder has just served his one match ban for picking up five yellow cards in the Premier League, and is back available for selection against Sheffield United. Luiz has committed at least one foul in each of his last eight league appearances, averaging 1.27 this season. In fact, he has fouled in every home game this season. He is perhaps more likely to foul this game than normal as his regular midfield partner, Boubacar Kamara, is out of selection after picking up a red card last against Brentford. Kamara has been a vital asset for Villa this season, being solid defensively. Luiz will be tasked with keeping wraps on Blades livewire Cameron Archer. The former Villa man has been one of the few bright sparks for Chris Wilder's side this season, and will no doubt be looking to exploit space in and around the midfield and back four. Archer currently draws well over one foul per 90 (1.45), and is surely to test Luiz despite the Brazilian's fantastic season so far. Archer's midfield teammate Andre Brooks also draws 0.80 fouls per 90, and is another player that will Luiz will be tasked with marking, although from a more central position. All indicators point to Luiz possibly going into the ref 's book on Friday night.

Predictions:

🛑 Douglas Luiz to commit 1+ foul @ 1.30 🛑 Douglas Luiz to commit 2+ fouls @ 2.38 🟨 Douglas Luiz to be shown a card @ 3.60

* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

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