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Athletic Bilbao v Mallorca Best Bet Preview

Athletic Bilbao v Mallorca Best Bet Preview

Friday 3 October, 20252 min read
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Harry Nye

Harry is a Christchurch-based football enthusiast whose love for sport and numbers naturally led him into the world of sports betting. While studying Mathematics at university, Harry began combining his analytical mindset with his passion for football. Harry focuses predominantly on football, with a particular emphasis on the Bundesliga this season, though as a Liverpool supporter (with a soft spot for QPR thanks to his dad), English football remains close to his heart. Whether it's late-night research or diving into stat models, Harry thrives on spotting the bets others might miss.

After opening their La Liga campaign with three straight wins, Athletic Bilbao have collapsed into a torrid run, going six matches without a win (D1, L5). For Ernesto Valverde’s side, the need for a response is immediate, and few fixtures look more inviting than hosting relegation-threatened Mallorca.

The visitors have collected just one win from seven league outings (drawing two and losing the other four), although that came last weekend at home to Alavés. Both sides have struggled in front of goal this season, so while points are vital for both sides, the match itself projects as a tight, attritional contest on the North Coast.

For further stats ahead of this clash in Spain, make sure to view our Athletic Bilbao v Mallorca Betting Stats.

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Athletic Bilbao v Mallorca Best Bet

Fixtures for: Saturday 4th October

Athletic Bilbao v Mallorca

La Liga

17:30

Mallorca to have 3+ Shots on Target

While both sides have been criticised for lacking a clinical edge, the underlying shot data suggests a more promising outlook, particularly for Mallorca.

Despite averaging just 0.86 goals per game, they have still registered at least three shots on target in six of their seven league fixtures, with the only exception being their opening-round defeat to Barcelona. Their season average of 4.14 shots on target per game hardly reflects a side without attacking threat, even if their finishing has let them down.

Bilbao’s defensive vulnerabilities only reinforce this angle. They are conceding 4.22 shots on target per game across all competitions. More broadly, eight of their nine opponents this season have managed at least two shots on target, showing a clear pattern of chances being conceded.

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📈 Athletic Bilbao v Mallorca Form & Stats

Bilbao’s bright start has quickly unravelled. Since their three wins from three, they have gone six games without victory across all competitions, scoring just twice in that stretch.

Their last La Liga outing brought a 1-1 home draw against struggling Girona, but a 4-1 hammering away to Borussia Dortmund in midweek only added to concerns that balancing domestic duties with their first Champions League campaign in over a decade may be stretching the squad thin.

Historically, they have avoided defeat in their last six league encounters with Mallorca, but only one of those was a victory. Encouragingly, however, Bilbao have won six of their last eight home H2Hs with the Islanders, giving hope they can rediscover form ahead of the international break.

Mallorca arrive in similarly difficult circumstances. Their narrow 1-0 victory over Alavés last weekend was their first of the season, but just five points from seven matches (W1, D2, L4) leaves them inside the relegation zone.

This is six points fewer than at the same stage last campaign, underlining their regression. Away form is particularly troubling, with three defeats from three trips, while conceding first in five of six league games highlights their slow starts.

One quirky stat further underlines the possibility of a scrappy affair: Athletic Bilbao are one of only two La Liga sides yet to score in the opening half-hour of a match this season.


Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Keep up with our Football Betting Tips, as well as European Predictions for this week on Andy's Bet Club.

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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