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🗂️ Atletico Madrid v Valencia
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Kick Off: Sunday 15th September at 20:00
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Competition: La Liga
Atletico Madrid have started the season strongly under Diego Simeone, currently in third place behind Real Madrid and Barcelona.
The same cannot be said for Valencia, who find themselves rock bottom of the Spanish top flight, with just one point from four games. Los Ches are tasked with a daunting trip to the Metropolitano, where Atletico Madrid won 16 of their 19 league games last campaign.
Atletico Madrid v Valencia Best Bets
Hugo Duro has scored two goals already this season, and topped the scoring charts for Valencia in the previous campaign. He is set to be a huge absence upfront for Los Ches. Atletico Madrid boasted an incredible record at the Metropolitano last season, with 16 wins from 19 games, and Atletico Madrid to Win to Nil at 1.91 is an appealing price.
Griezmann has been instrumental to the success of Atletico this season, with two assists and one goal in three league starts. The Frenchman was benched against Espanyol, and Atletico Madrid failed to score – he should be in line to start here, with his importance evident. Given that this selection has landed in his last two head-to-head games against Valencia at home, Griezmann to Score or Assist at 1.83 provides some value.
📂 Atletico Madrid v Valencia Cheat Sheet
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We will have La Liga accumulator tips along with La Liga predictions this weekend, with European football betting tips also available every week to help you cover all bases.
It doesn’t stop there either, with a selection of both teams to score tips included in our football betting tips, along with player prop market predictions to fold into bet builders, like our card betting tips, player shots on target tips, and fouls betting predictions.
📊 Atletico Madrid Form and Stats
Despite their imperious home record last season, Atletico Madrid kept just five clean sheets at the Metropolitano in La Liga, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game. However, they seem to have tightened up this term, with three consecutive shut-outs against Girona, Espanyol and Athletic Club – they are yet to concede at home.
Atletico Madrid have been completely watertight so far, the highest xG total they have conceded came against Villarreal, who created 0.79 xG. On average, Atletico Madrid have conceded an average of 0.59 xG per game. Considering they have played against both Girona and Villarreal, two of the more progressive teams in the league, that low figure is seriously impressive.
Marquee signing Julian Alvarez is yet to open his La Liga scoring account since arriving from Manchester City in a deal worth £82 million. He has been chosen to start the last three games, so will be looking to end his drought in this upcoming match.
📊 Valencia Form and Stats
It has been a rough start to the season for Valencia, who picked up their first point of the campaign with a draw at home to Villarreal. They would have wanted more from that game, as the Yellow Submarine were reduced to ten men in the 68th minute. Pape Gueye received a second yellow, which in turn saw Valencia dominate the ball. They managed 19 shots in the second half alone, but were unable to score the decisive goal.
Prior to that, Valencia were defeated by Barcelona, Celta Vigo and Athletic Club – losing the xG battle in all three games. They have had a tough run of fixtures so far, but that is set to continue here as they make their trip to Madrid.
Hugo Duro will miss this clash with a foot injury, but Sergi Canos could return. He featured off the bench prior to the international break with an eight-minute cameo, in which he managed four shots.
⚔️ Atletico Madrid v Valencia Head-to-Head
Atletico Madrid have dominated this matchup over the years, and have only lost to Valencia once in the last 19 competitive head-to-heads.
That one loss came last season at the Mestalla Stadium in Valencia last season, in what was a comfortable victory for Los Ches. Hugo Duro netted a first half brace, before Javi Guerra also scored in the second period. While Valencia overperformed their xG, scoring three goals from 1.26 xGF, they deserve credit for limiting Simeone’s men to just 0.6 xG from 11 shots.
Atletico Madrid bounced back strongly in the reverse fixture, thanks to goals from Samuel Lino and Memphis Depay. They created a total of 2.38 xG in total from 12 shots, with Koke instrumental in the middle of the park. He completed 115 passes to go along with eight tackles, as Valencia were restricted to just 0.53 xG.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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