This bet has landed in 67% of Brentford’s matches and 71% of Villa’s, including eight of their last ten games.

Brentford have been strong in attack at home, failing to score in just three matches all season while averaging over two goals per game at the Gtech Community Stadium.

Villa, meanwhile, have found the net in nine of their last ten matches, highlighting their attacking consistency.

Defensively, both teams have been vulnerable, with Villa conceding two goals per game over their last five and 1.6 per game across the season, a total matched by Brentford. With both teams regularly involved in high-scoring games, BTTS looks like a safe pick.

Brentford are not a particularly aggressive team, averaging just eight fouls per game.

However, this number is likely to rise against Aston Villa, who draw more fouls than any other side in the league at 13.25 per match. Villa also commit 11.7 fouls per game themselves, which could lead to a scrappy contest and provoke Brentford players into more rash challenges. Given Villa’s ability to win fouls and the competitive nature of the match, Brentford hitting double digits in fouls looks highly likely.

Since arriving in January, Asensio has quickly made his mark at Aston Villa, showcasing sharp attacking instincts and an eye for goal.

Across his first four Premier League appearances, he has scored twice while averaging 1.3 shots on target per 90 minutes. He’s also scored two goals in two FA cup games and despite playing only 26 minutes in Tuesday’s Champions League match due to a minor knock, he still managed to score, from the spot, and test the goalkeeper twice, highlighting his threat in front of goal.

With Brentford conceding an average of 5.93 shots on target per game, Asensio is well positioned to register at least one effort on target.

John McGinn has been Aston Villa’s most fouled player this season, drawing 2.25 fouls per game – far more than any of his team-mates.

While Brentford do not give away an excessive number of fouls, the ones they do commit tend to come in midfield areas. Their most frequent foulers, Vitaly Janelt, Yoane Wissa, and Mikkel Damsgaard, all operate in positions where they are likely to come into direct contact with McGinn. Given his ability to draw challenges and Brentford’s midfield fouling tendencies, McGinn being fouled at least twice appears to be a very strong bet.

Brentford have been a strong attacking force this season, averaging five shots on target per game in the Premier League.

At home, this number is likely to increase, given their stronger offensive record of 2.1 goals per game at the Gtech Community Stadium compared to their overall average of 1.78 goals per match. Aston Villa’s defense has also been shaky, conceding 5.9 shots on target per game across their last five games, which suggests Brentford should have no trouble testing the goalkeeper at least five times.

Villa’s attack has been solid this season, averaging 4.18 shots on target per game in the league.

While this is slightly below the required mark, Brentford’s defence has been vulnerable, allowing 5.93 shots on target per game, meaning Villa should find more opportunities than usual to test the keeper.

Furthermore, their attack is currently in a much better position than the majority of the season with a number of new additions in January, notably Marcus Rashford and Asensio who look to be great additions.

Aston Villa have been one of the more ill-disciplined teams in the league, averaging 2 cards per game, compared to Brentford’s 1.44.

They also commit significantly more fouls than Brentford, with 11.7 per match, far exceeding Brentford’s 7.8. With Villa likely to be under more pressure than average defensively, the visitors seem strong candidates and great value to pick up more bookings in this fixture.

Watkins has been Aston Villa’s standout attacking threat this season, leading the team with 12 goals. He is their most frequent shooter (2.43 shots per game) and registers the highest number of shots on target per game (1.25).

Brentford’s defensive struggles make this an appealing matchup, as they have conceded 1.6 goals per game while allowing 5.93 shots on target per match. Given his sharp finishing and Villa’s attacking setup, Watkins is the most likely candidate to capitalise on Brentford’s defensive vulnerabilities.