Fiorentina v Roma Best Bet Preview

Oliver Shaw
Fuelled by a passion for sport and a sharp instinct for uncovering patterns in data, beating the bookies became the perfect outlet for my competitive streak. Now I take pleasure in sharing my finds with ABC punters. I enjoy finding niche angles and betting value in a range of markets and leagues, my favourite being in Serie A.
The first thing to say about this match is that if you’re looking for a free-flowing, exciting 90 minutes of football, I’d look elsewhere.
That might surprise you, given Gasperini’s reputation, but in a drastic reversal of style, his new approach at Roma has seen their five games yield just six goals. Fiorentina have only produced nine, although this is perhaps more typical of their style.
Form-wise, Roma clear Fiorentina, having won four of their five opening games, conceding just a single goal in the process. Fiorentina, meanwhile, are yet to earn a victory, recording three draws and draws defeats since the start of the season.
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Fiorentina v Roma Best Bet
📈 Fiorentina v Roma Form & Stats
It’s been a pretty dismal showing for Fiorentina so far this season, with early rumours suggesting Stefano Pioli could be on his way out if things don't improve over the next few weeks.
La Viola have managed just 3 points from their opening 5 games, and are yet to record a win in Serie A. They’ve earned their draws against Cagliari, Torino, and most recently, Pisa - none of which represent particularly formidable opposition.
Thankfully for Fiorentina fans, Europe has provided something of an outlet from their domestic frustrations. La Viola swept past Ukrainian side Polessya Zhitomir home and away to book their spot in the UEFA Conference League, before recording a midweek victory over SK Sigma Olomouc to open their competition account.
Fiorentina’s domestic form sits in stark contrast to that of the Giallorossi, who have recorded victories in 4 of their 5 so far, putting them at the summit of Serie A alongside Milan and Napoli, who also have 12 points.
I can say with confidence that not a single fan, pundit, or expert could have possibly predicted what was to transpire as Roma hired the notoriously attack-minded Gasperini.
The Italian coach hasn’t tried to replicate the free-flowing, aggressive football he was coined for; in fact, he’s taken quite the opposite approach. Roma have put a considerable emphasis on defensive structure and solidity this season, and it's paid off - they’ve conceded just a single goal across their 5 games.
Unsurprisingly, that has put a strain on their attack, and with only 5 goals to their name, Roma have shown significantly less firepower than any other side in the conversation for a top-4 position.
Still, it’s a long-held truth that in Serie A, defences win championships. The question is whether they can keep grinding out narrow victories over the course of a long campaign, and whether their partial reliance on opposition mistakes is a sustainable approach.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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