With fourteen games left, it is becoming increasingly likely that Inter will be lifting the Serie A trophy in May. The hosts have looked incredible at home, winning ten and drawing one of their twelve home games. The Nerazzurri defence has looked impenetrable at times at the San Siro, with Inzaghi’s side conceding an average of just 0.5 goals per home game.

Inter were much better when playing at home in the group stages of this competition, picking up seven points from their three home matches. The hosts were strong defensively at the San Siro, conceding an average of as little as 0.33 goals per game.

Atletico have looked considerably worse on the road this season. The visitors won just one of their three away group stage matches and have lost half of their twelve away league matches thus far. In domestic games, Simeone’s men have struggled against Champions League level opposition when playing away from home, losing to the likes of Barcelona, Real Madrid and Sevilla.

The ‘draw no bet’ market has not lost in all but one of Inter’s fifteen home matches in both the Serie A and Champions league, with a price of 1.25 being offered here.

Inter have taken their fair share of shots on target at home this season, registering an average of 4.17 shots on target per game across their last six matches on home soil.

One key contributor to this is Lautaro Martinez, who has scored twenty-three goals across all competitions this campaign. The Argentine has registered a shot on target in eight of his last nine home appearances.

Atletico have also threatened going forward in this competition, registering an average of 4.33 shots on target per away game. Antoine Griezmann has looked sharp for the visitors, registering an average of 2 shots on target per game across his last six away appearances.

The bookies are offering a price of 1.25 for Martinez to find the target at least once, and 1.50 for Griezmann to do the same.

Atletico have struggled to keep things clean this season. Simeone’s side have committed at least ten fouls in seven of their last nine away matches, committing an average of 11.75 fouls per game.

Stefan Savic has committed plenty of fouls, fouling at least once in five of his last six starts. Along this run, the Montenegrin defender has committed an average of 1.67 fouls per game. Savic will face the difficult task of dealing with both Lautaro Martinez and Marcus Thuram, who have drawn an average of 3.6 fouls per game collectively across their last five appearances.

A price of 1.22 is being offered for the visitors to commit at least ten fouls, while value of 1.30 is available for Savic to commit one or more fouls.

Atletico have picked up an abundance of cards this season. In the Champions League, Simeone’s side have amassed an average of 3 cards per away game and have accumulated more cards than their opponents in two of their three matches.

Inter have picked up a lower number of cards than Atletico, amassing an average of two cards per home game. The hosts have received less cards than their opponents in two of their three European games at the San Siro. Inzaghi’s side have received as little as 0.8 cards per game across their last five home matches.

A generous price of 1.83 is being offered for the visitors to pick up the most cards, with value of 1.57 available for the hosts to pick up three or more in the process.