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Ipswich v Norwich Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Ipswich v Norwich Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Friday 15 December, 20234 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

In this article...

The natives are restless in Norwich, and while the pitchforks aren’t yet being sharpened, Liam Manning needs to get more out of his cosmopolitan squad, and a result in the derby would certainly help him win over a few doubters.

Kieran McKenna has more credit in the bank over in Suffolk, but expectations are high following their spending and Premier League spell.

These Ipswich v Norwich Betting Stats dig even further into the data ahead of kick-off.

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Ipswich v Norwich Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Ipswich v Norwich
  • EFL Championship
  • 12:00
4 Selections @ 4.31

Both Teams to Score

I don't really believe in historical significance when it comes to football betting, a match from months and especially years ago I don't think has much impact on the present.

However, some trends are fairly interesting, and two spring to mind when it comes to the East Anglian Derby, Ipswich haven't won this match since 2009, and there have also been a lot of 1-1 draws in relatively recent times.

Derby games can often have a bit more of a root in history. Fans care more about those results, remember them, and whilst I wouldn't weight it too greatly, to dismiss it out of hand would be churlish.

There is also recent form on both sides to back this bet. Ipswich have seen BTTS land in three of their last four, and five of their seven completed Championship matches. Norwich have had BTTS in six of their eight Championship matches as well, keeping only one clean sheet in that time.

Dara O'Shea to have 1+ Shots

The Ipswich captain has been the most prolific target from set pieces for the Tractor Boys of late.

He is averaging exactly one shot per 90 so far this season in all competitions for Ipswich, so he is a consistent shot threat. He has taken at least one shot in his last four matches consecutively, and in six of his seven starts this season so far.

We can expect a competitive match here with the potential for fouls leading to a number of attacking free kicks, and also, we expect Ipswich to have the edge in possession and territory, so there should be ample opportunity for O'Shea to get on the end of an attacking set piece.

George Hirst to Commit 1+ Fouls

The big centre-forward has had quite the start to the season - in terms of buccaneering around the field and making a nuisance of himself from a physical perspective.

To be fair, this is his role in the team, to be a physical presence and disrupt the opposition defence, to allow the likes of Jaden Philogene and Jack Clarke to then be able to weave some magic, and this is why I don't think that Hirst's approach is going to deviate too much here - especially with it being a derby.

He is averaging 2.3 fouls per 90 so far this season, so that average is above the line required here. He does now have some competition from loaned Ivan Azon as well, which means that he has the freedom to give it everything physically when he is on the pitch.

This also makes a Super Sub win possible, as Azon is primed to perform the same style of role, he is averaging 1.59 fouls per 90 at the moment.

Over 3.5 Cards

This selection is primarily influenced by the referee appointment for this derby match.

Thomas Kirk is a fairly inexperienced referee, this will be his 16th Championship appointment as the main official. His career to this point has seen him average 23 fouls per match, but, more pertinently, 4.21 yellow cards per match, and 4.33 yellows per match in the Championship.

Whilst this obviously doesn't guarantee that he will stick to this average, it at least produces favourable conditions for a derby card fest. The 2023/24 season derbies didn't supply that, but the derby before that produced seven cards, and it really can get feisty, and if Marcelino Nunez starts, that could really be a source of tension between the fans as well as the players given his summer move between the two.

It is also the case that Ipswich are seeming to get a lot of opponents booked. There have been an average of 4.75 cards per game in Ipswich matches this season, but Ipswich themselves only account for 1.5 of that, so their opponents are averaging 3.25 yellow cards against them at the moment.

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📈 Ipswich v Norwich Form & Tactics

Ipswich are stumbling and stuttering a little when it comes to their results. Performances haven’t been great either, but they have probably done enough as a whole body of work to warrant having a few more points on the board.

They have won the xG battle in all eight of their matches so far this season, so to have picked up a victory in only two of those matches suggests that they either have been very unlucky, or that there are some deficiencies in either, or both, boxes.

They have actually tracked their xG data pretty well though in terms of how many goals they have scored (12) compared to expected (12.3), but their overall xG only ranks them fifth in the league. Ipswich are eighth for shots on target and fourth for xG conceded as well.

Norwich have had a poor start to the campaign. Initially they looked quite strong with Josh Sargent scoring in every match, but their high point was a 2-0 win at Blackburn in late August. Since then they have drawn away at Coventry and Stoke, not bad results in isolation, but they have let themselves down in their home matches, losing to West Brom and Wrexham.

Surprisingly, Liam Manning's main issue seems to be defensively. As a coach Manning is usually very good at preventing too many chances being created against his teams, but Norwich are 22nd in the league for xG against, and are actually lucky to have not conceded more than they have. The attack is ok, but they only average 3.6 shots on target per match, which ranks them 14th.


📔 Ipswich v Norwich Formation & Team News

Kieran McKenna is a 4-2-3-1 man through and through, I barely remember him deviating from this system whilst he has been at Ipswich since their days in League One. Leif Davis is the key creative cog from left-back, which usually means that Ben Johnson or Axel Tuanzebe provide more defensive balance from the right. There is always fight and energy in central midfield, and the chief threat comes from wide forwards.

There is no change to availability for McKenna, injuries to Conor Townsend and Harry Clarke keep his defensive options limited, and there is deep competition for places further forward but we expect George Hirst to lead the line.

Liam Manning also likes to use a 4-2-3-1 system. This worked excellently for him at Bristol City last season, and there is definitely the personnel to fit this system at Norwich as well, yet it hasn't seemed to have been too successful yet. Josh Sargent is the perfect Championship striker for the 4-2-3-1, and the return of Kenny McLean should help the central midfield balance.

There are no fresh injury concerns for Liam Manning, so he has an unchanged squad to select from. The difficulty could be choosing the correct selection of attackers in behind Josh Sargent, with no-one making an especially strong case for themselves on current form.


Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

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For Sunday's football, we also have a Premier League Accumulator, as well as Newcastle v Nottingham Forest Betting Tips, Everton v Crystal Palace Tips, Wolves v Brighton Bet Builder Tips,and Brentford v Man City Bet Builder Tips.

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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