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Netherlands V Turkey Bet Builder Tips & Longshot

Netherlands V Turkey Bet Builder Tips & Longshot

Friday 5 July, 20241 min read
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Grant Heaney

Grant is a Glasgow-based sports betting analyst and keeps a close eye on all the goings-on in the fascinating world of Scottish football. While he has a strong passion for the SPFL, Grant is equally adept at crafting content on all of Europe’s major leagues, whether it be the Premier League or further afield. When not crunching the numbers and analysing the stats, Grant can often be found following his beloved Falkirk up and down the country.

In this article...

Netherlands v Turkey Bet Builder Tips & Longshot

After another classic underdog upset in the Round of 16, Turkey find themselves in the quarter-finals after overcoming dark horses Austria and will face up against a Netherlands side that certainly finding its groove, having dispatched hopeful Romania 3-0 last time out.

We’ve put together a bet builder at 2/1 and a longshot at 9/1 for this quarter-final clash, alongside a Netherlands v Turkey betting preview to give you the lowdown on all the crucial stats ahead of this battle.

We have plenty of different Euro 2024 predictions live on-site for the rest of the Euros including Euro 2024 acca tips, both teams to score predictions, shot on target predictions, and foul betting tips. All of these go alongside our Euros betting offers and our rundown of the top bet builder sites.

2/1 Netherlands v Turkey Bet Builder Tip

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🚀 Denzel Dumfries to have 1+ shots 🔄️

📈 Odds: 1.50

Denzel Dumfries is given plenty of licence to attack by Netherlands boss Ronald Koeman. The Dutch right-back offers a lot going forward and if a chance falls his way then expect him to try his luck. The 28-year-old has averaged 0.67 shots per game across his three outings at Euro 2024. That figure is identical to Dumfries’ shots per 90 minutes average during Euro 2024 qualifying, where he featured six times. His marauding runs down the wing are also an effective weapon for Inter Milan, with the flying Dutchman posting an average of 0.88 shots per game during the most recent Serie A season. With all that in mind, Dumfries merits support to attempt a solitary shot on goal during this capital clash.

🛑 Hakan Calhanoglu to commit 1+ fouls 🔄️

📈 Odds: 1.40

Hakan Calhanoglu will return from suspension to lead his country into battle on Saturday night. The Crescent Stars captain had to serve a one-match suspension against Austria after collecting two yellow cards during the group phase. That pair of cautions coincided with Calhanoglu committing an average of 1.67 fouls per game during the group stage of Euro 2024. Calhanoglu was also a regular on the referee’s radar during the most recent Serie A season, where he averaged 1.47 fouls per 90 minutes. What’s more, the Turkish skipper was also booked nine times across all competitions for the Nerazzurri last term, further highlighting his habit for sticking the boot in. Therefore, siding with a minimum of one Calhanoglu foul in a game of this importance makes plenty of sense.

🛑 Virgil van Dijk to commit 1+ foul 🔄️

📈 Odds: 1.36

One man who will be tasked with keeping tabs on the above-mentioned Baris Yilmaz is Netherlands defender Virgil van Dijk. The Dutch centre-back has been uncharacteristically prolific on the foul front at Euro 2024, giving away an average of 2.5 fouls per game. In fact, van Dijk’s tally of 10 fouls committed is the joint-highest in the tournament ahead of the quarter-final stage. There was also a notable increase in the amount of fouls the Dutchman was conceding during the final stretch of the most recent Premier League season, with the Liverpool stalwart being reprimanded by the referee nine times across his final 12 top-flight appearances of the campaign. With van Dijk likely to get drawn into a physical battle with Turkey’s Baris Yilmaz, the Oranje skipper looks a strong contender for another foul in this quarter-final clash.

9/1 Netherlands v Turkey Longshot

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⚽️ Both teams to score

📈 Odds: 1.75

While Turkey have exceeded expectations by reaching the quarter-final stage of Euro 2024, their defensive performances have left a lot to be desired at times. The Crescent Stars have failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their four outings thus far, not to mention they have only managed to silence their opponents in three of their last 10 competitive fixtures. That defensive fragility does not bode well ahead of their last eight clash with a Netherlands side that produced a polished performance when putting Romania to the sword 3-0 in the round of 16. Ronald Koeman’s side are not exactly renowned for being watertight either though, having conceded four goals across their three Group D assignments. As such, the Dutch defence could struggle to tame a vibrant young Turkey team that have scored in nine of their last 10 meaningful matches. Both teams have scored in five of the pair's eight combined matches at Euro 2024 and we’re getting a nice price on the same selection at the Olympiastadion on Saturday night.

🎯 Baris Alper Yilmaz to have 1+ shot on target 🔄️

📈 Odds: 2.20

Turkey forward Baris Yilmaz has proven to be a real handful for opposition defences at Euro 2024, earning his side an average of two fouls per-game across his four appearances to date. While the Galatasaray forward has failed to score during Turkey’s run to the last eight, it’s not been for the want of trying. The 24-year old had a golden opportunity to kill off Austria in the dying embers of the game only to be denied by goalkeeper Patrick Pentz. However, that means Yilmaz has registered at least one on-target effort in three of his four outings at Euro 2024 so far, including one in each of his last three appearances. Given that the Netherlands have given up an average of 4.25 shots on target per game at Euro 2024, backing the man that will be leading the line for Turkey to hit the target just once holds plenty of appeal.

🛑 Hakan Calhanoglu to commit 2+ fouls

📈 Odds: 2.88

Turkey have been the most ill-disciplined team at Euro 2024 so far and Hakan Calhanoglu has been their chief protagonist on the fouls front. The Turkish playmaker averaged 1.67 fouls per 90 across his three Group F appearances. Picking up two yellow cards along the way meant Calhanoglu was ruled out of his nation's round of 16 tie with Austria. Calhanoglu committed exactly two fouls in each of Turkey’s opening two games of Euro 2024 before committing a solitary offence during a bad-tempered 2-1 win over the Czech Republic. The Inter Milan maestro was also a regular offender during the most recent Serie A season, committing multiple fouls in 11 of his 32 appearances. With so much riding on this game for both nations, Calhanoglu looks a great value option to give away another couple of free kicks.
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