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Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets 4/1 Bet Builder Tips & Player Prop Bets

Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets 4/1 Bet Builder Tips & Player Prop Bets

NFL
Starts Today, 18:00
Thursday 11 September, 20251 min read
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Sam Farley

Sports journalist and NFL expert. Over a decade of experience in the industry, working for media outlets on both sides of the pond. Analysing games, with a real focus on player prop bets, and is well-known online for his Anytime Touchdown selections.

This Sunday, the Bills face their divisional rivals, the Jets, in a game that they’re rightly favourites for. There’s plenty of value to be had, and the Jets’ run game looks good.

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4/1 Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets Bet Builder
  • Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets
  • NFL
  • 18:00
4 Selections @ 5.33

Buffalo Bills Moneyline @ 1.33

I was impressed by the Jets against the Steelers, but I can’t stop myself from backing Josh Allen and his Bills team. Last year the Bills were excellent, finishing 13-4 and only narrowly missing the Super Bowl following their defeat to the Chiefs in the AFC Conference Championship. That defeat hurt them, and they start so well, managing to grab victory over a great Ravens team on Sunday.

What was so impressive about the victory on Sunday Night Football was how the Bills didn’t give up, despite Baltimore looking like they had the game wrapped up. The Bills beat the Jets twice last season and have won eight of the past 10 meetings in total. Given the quality on their team, expect them to continue their winning run over their AFC East rivals.

New York Jets 19.5+ Total Points @ 1.73

I’ve got to hold my hands up, I didn’t think the Jets' offence would look great with Justin Fields at quarterback, but I was hugely impressed by how well it worked, despite losing 34-32 to the Steelers in Week One. Despite the narrative after the game being about the return of Aaron Rodgers, it was notable that the Jets had six fewer passing yards than the Steelers. 

The real standout was the running game. That’s always a huge threat when you have Justin Fields under centre but aside from him, there was room for optimism. Breece Hall finally looked like he was back to his best form, and when there’s real running threat from both quarterback and running back, it forces the defense into a difficult situation. We saw the Jets put up 32 points last week, and given that the Bills allowed 40 against the Ravens, we should see the Jets able to cover their total points line.

Keon Coleman 3+ Receptions @ 1.40

Huge things were expected when the Bills selected Keon Coleman 33rd overall in last year’s NFL Draft, with many people thinking that Josh Allen might have finally found his stud wide receiver. It ultimately didn’t turn out like that with Coleman racking up just 578 yards and four touchdowns. He did miss four games with injury, but in truth, he looked a bit of a bust.

To his credit, he looks like a different player this year and excelled in week one. His route running looked sharper and most importantly, he looked assured and confident. He had a stellar day against the Ravens, with 112 yards and a touchdown, as well as two targets inside the 20. We’re taking an alternate lower line on his receptions this Sunday, but given Coleman hauled in eight of a stunning 11 targets against the Ravens, he should get three or more receptions here, even with the game being less of a shootout.

Justin Fields 30+ Rushing Yards @ 1.29

For the final leg of this Bet Builder, I have to back Fields to make the most of his ability with his legs. There are two big reasons to take this bet. Firstly, Fields was electric on the ground last week, rushing 12 times with the ball for a total of 48 yards and two touchdowns. The Jets weren’t afraid to let him loose, and with his speed and agility, he can be a gamebreaker.

Secondly, we need to consider just how badly the Bills stopped, or didn’t stop, the run against the Ravens. In that game, we saw Ravens’ RB Derrick Henry rack up 169 rushing yards, with an average of 9.4 yards per carry. We also saw Ravens’ QB Lamar Jackson average 11.7 yards per carry as he turned his six attempts into 70 total rushing yards. After what I saw in both games last Sunday, I need to back Fields to have success on the ground, but I’ve taken a lower alternate rushing yard line to make it more beatable.

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* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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