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Northern Ireland v Slovakia Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Northern Ireland v Slovakia Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Thursday 9 October, 20254 min read
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This is a huge match for Northern Ireland, and surely a must-win for their chances of World Cup qualification. With Slovakia’s defeat of Germany in the opening set of fixtures in September, the group stands on a precipice.

If Northern Ireland can get the better of Slovakia in Belfast, then they have a real chance of finishing in the top two of the group.

If you want more stats ahead of this clash in World Cup Qualification, you can get them from the Northern Ireland v Slovakia Betting Stats.

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Northern Ireland v Slovakia Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Northern Ireland v Slovakia
  • World Cup Qualifying
  • 19:45
4 Selections @ 5.00

Over 1.5 Goals

Northern Ireland have often been a nation that have struggled for goals in their international matches, so this goal line is quite understandable from that perspective. However, this is a team who have now scored at least once in each of their last nine international matches, and their last seven at Windsor Park.

Indeed, Northern Ireland alone have beaten this goal line in their last four competitive internationals at home. Northern Ireland’s home Nations League matches saw 2-0 wins against Luxembourg and Belarus and a 5-0 thrashing of Bulgaria, whilst their last Euro 2024 qualifier against Denmark was a 2-0 win as well. Northern Ireland's matches in competitive internationals over the last 30 matches at home have averaged 2.4 goals per game.

Slovakia’s data over the same period of time shows that their competitive matches away from home are averaging 2.2 goals per game, with an average total xG of 2.83 xG per match as well.

Over 8.5 Corners

Firstly, this is a must-win match for Northern Ireland. This means that they have to put pressure on Slovakia; this could either mean a high number of corners for Northern Ireland or an opening for Slovakia to counter and win corners as well.

Competitive internationals involving Slovakia have a high corner rate. Slovakia themselves average six corners per match over their last 30 games, removing friendlies, but they also concede over four, bringing an overall average of 10.21 corners per match.

Taking the same sample size for Northern Ireland, they average 5.09 corners per match, conceding 2.91, for an average of exactly eight corners per game.

Northern Ireland have won at least five corners in each match going back to Bulgaria away in the Nations League. Six consecutive matches, including going away to Germany, have seen Northern Ireland be impressive at winning corners.

One would suggest that having three big central defenders to use to attack set pieces makes winning corner kicks a good and viable tactic for Michael O’Neill to employ, but Slovakia also seem keen on winning corners as well.

Isaac Price to have 1+ Shots on Target

The West Brom man has really emerged over the last few months as a key man for club and country. He is a bit of a throwback to the old withdrawn striker role, and whilst he probably could play in a more disciplined role, it seems as though the best use of Price is in that #10 free role.

This has led to Price being something of a shot monster for club and country. He averages 2.21 shots per 90 over Northern Ireland’s last 30 matches, with friendlies ruled out, and this has translated into 1.19 shots on target per 90 over the same period. This is a ratio better than 50%, so it is at threat of variance because this is a really high shot on target ratio, but he is clearly a talented shooter.

He has hit at least one shot on target in six of his last seven internationals, with nine in total coming over that duration. He has also scored five goals in that time, including in the game in Germany, so he should be encouraged to keep shooting.

Justin Devenny to have 1+ Shots

The Crystal Palace midfielder is the one who is finding himself shunted out to the flank for his nation, but this didn’t seem to hinder him at all in the last international break.

His first competitive appearance for his nation in Luxembourg saw him fire off two shots, getting one on target. He didn’t manage to shoot away in Germany, but Northern Ireland managed only three shots in that match, all told. This match should be a much higher shot line for the hosts, as discussed earlier.

Devenny averages 1.48 shots per 90 across all competitions in his last 50 games, so the price looks generous enough on him here, given that he will have licence to play high up and attack the box, knowing that goals are required for his team to stay in with a realistic chance of qualification.

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📂 Northern Ireland v Slovakia Cheat Sheet

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📈 Northern Ireland v Slovakia Form & Tactics

Northern Ireland are currently ranked #72 in the FIFA rankings, which is a long way from their high of #20 in 2017, but also a long way from their nadir in the hundreds as well.

Michael O'Neill's men come into this World Cup campaign off the back of a very successful Nations League promotion back into Tier B, having bettered Bulgaria, Belarus, and Luxembourg in their group. They also began this qualification campaign with an important win in Luxembourg, before being outclassed in Germany.

Northern Ireland have scored in nine consecutive internationals now, which is impressive for a nation that, for a long time, struggled in front of goal. However, they have also conceded twelve in their last six matches as well.

Slovakia are currently ranked #42 by FIFA, which is fairly consistent for them over the last few years.

Like Northern Ireland, Slovakia were in the C tier of the Nations League. They actually won more points than Northern Ireland (13 v 11) but failed to win promotion after missing out to Slovenia in the promotion play-offs. Two friendly defeats to Greece and Israel followed that campaign, so it was a huge surprise to everyone that they then went on to defeat Germany in the opening match of this campaign. They then backed this up with a narrow win away in Luxembourg to sit top of the group heading into this match.

When removing friendlies from their recent history, Slovakia have a slight xG advantage over their opponents, 1.45 xG v 1.3 xG; eight of these matches were from the Nations League, with six from the Euro 2024 tournament and two from the current campaign.


📔 Northern Ireland v Slovakia Formation & Team News

Michael O’Neill has found a shape that suits the players at his disposal, a 3-5-2 has emerged recently from an initial 3-4-1-2, but what is clear is that there is a lot of talent in this current crop of Northern Irish players. Central midfield has great depth in Shea Charles, Ethan Galbraith, Justin Devenny, and Ali McCann competing for positions. Devenny has found a role as left wing-back at the moment, with Liverpool’s Conor Bradley completing an all-Premier League combination out wide.

Ciaron Brown has been called up for the squad despite missing most of the season so far for Oxford. There is a slight goalkeeper issue as well, with Pierce Charles, Northern Ireland’s most likely long-term goalkeeper, still out injured. There have been recalls as well for Josh Magennis, Daniel Ballard, Conor Hazard, Brodie Spencer, Paul Smyth, and Ross McCausland.

Slovakia have used a 4-3-3 for a long time now. Their current crop of players have been moulded into this shape, with centre forwards now plying their trade in the EFL Championship, Robert Bozenik (Stoke) and David Strelec (Middlesbrough) competing for the central forward role. Width is provided by the world-class Atletico Madrid full-back David Hancko on the left, but they are struggling for a similar standard on the right, so often attacks can be lopsided.

Unfortunately for Slovakia, their world-class midfielder Stanislav Lobotka is missing this camp due to injury. Outside of that, Francesco Calzona has a full squad to call upon.


Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Keep up with our Football Betting Tips, as well as World Cup Predictions for this weekend, on Andy's Bet Club.

For Friday's football, we also have a World Cup Qualifying Accumulator, as well as France v Azerbaijan Quick Tips, Germany v Luxembourg Quick Tips, and Iceland v Ukraine Quick Tips.

Goals bettors can cheer on our Over 2.5 Goals Acca Tips and Both Teams to Score Tips. Those who are fans of player props can also back our Player Shots on Target Betting Predictions and Player Fouls Betting Tips.

We recommend both the Paddy Power Sign Up Offer, the bet365 Sign Up Offer, and the BetMGM Sign Up Offer. There's a range of Free Bet Offers on site too, as well as the Best Odds Boosts.


* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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