EFL Final Day Permutations

The final day of the EFL's regular season takes place on Saturday, with the Championship kicking off at 12:30pm and League One and League Two both at 3pm.

There is an extraordinary amount still to be decided - one champion, three automatic promotion places, six play-off spots and three relegation places are all still up for grabs across the three divisions.

Championship Permutations

The Title

Coventry City have already been crowned champions with 92 points, returning to the Premier League for the first time since 2001. Frank Lampard's side have ended a 25-year exile from the top flight.

Automatic Promotion

Three teams are fighting for one spot. Ipswich Town lead on 81 points with a goal difference of +30. Millwall are level on 81 but with a GD of +17, and Middlesbrough sit one point back on 80.

Ipswich will be promoted if they beat QPR at home. A draw is enough if Millwall fail to win and Boro don't win by six or more goals. They're up regardless if both rivals fail to win.

Millwall will be promoted if they beat already relegated Oxford at home and Ipswich fail to win. The Lions have never played in the Premier League - their only two top-flight seasons came between 1988 and 1990, before it even existed. Their squad has a combined 228 Premier League appearances. They've kept the most clean sheets in the Championship this season (17). Promotion would be a historic moment for the club. 

Middlesbrough will be promoted if they win at Wrexham, Ipswich lose and Millwall fail to win. They have comfortably the hardest fixture of the three, Wrexham are fighting for a play-off place from the same match.

Play-Offs

Southampton are confirmed for the play-offs after the 2-2 draw with Ipswich on Tuesday ended their automatic promotion hopes. The final play-off spot is a three-way fight between Wrexham (6th, 70 pts, +4 GD), Hull City (7th, 70 pts, +3 GD) and Derby County (8th, 69 pts, +9 GD).

Wrexham are chasing a remarkable fourth consecutive promotion - they were playing non-league football as recently as 2023. A play-off spot keeps the Hollywood story alive, but they face promotion chasing Boro at home. Both teams need three points from the same fixture.

Hull host Norwich and Derby host Sheffield United. Both opponents have nothing to play for. Derby have the best goal difference of the three (+9) but must better the results of both teams above them. If Wrexham and Hull both lose and Derby draw, the Rams would sneak in on goal difference.

Relegation

All settled. Leicester City, Oxford United and Sheffield Wednesday are down. Leicester's fall is particularly staggering - just 3,642 days after their Premier League title triumph, they were relegated from the Championship. A six-point deduction for PSR breaches was upheld on appeal, and they've won just two of 20 Championship matches in 2026. They'll play in the third tier for just the second time in their history. Sheffield Wednesday sit rock bottom with 18 points deducted for financial breaches this season.

League One Permutations

The Title

Lincoln City are champions, promoted to the Championship for the first time in 65 years. Michael Skubala's side have been outstanding, boasting the best attack and best defence in the division, unbeaten in 27 matches dating back to November, and the title sealed with a 2-0 win at Doncaster. They were playing non-league football just nine years ago.

Automatic Promotion

Cardiff City have also secured automatic promotion alongside Lincoln. Both spots are settled.

Play-Offs

Only Bolton (3rd) are confirmed in the top six. Five teams are scrapping for the remaining three spots.

Stockport and Bradford each need just a point to be safe. Stockport are away at Barnsley and Bradford travel to Exeter. Stevenage (6th) are likely to need a win at home to Wigan, as a draw could see them overtaken if Luton and/or Plymouth win. Luton need to better Stevenage's result to leapfrog them, and their form is impressive, unbeaten in 11, winning six of the last seven. Plymouth are the outsiders in 8th but have the easiest fixture, at home to already relegated Northampton who have been in freefall - losing each of their last five matches. If Stevenage and Luton both slip up, Plymouth could gatecrash the top six at the death.

Relegation

Northampton, Port Vale and Fleetwood are already down. The fourth and final relegation spot is a straight fight between Exeter City (21st) and Leyton Orient (20th), separated by two points.

Exeter will be relegated if they fail to win. They can only survive if they win and Orient fail to win. Leyton Orient will be relegated if they fail to win and Exeter win. Exeter host Bradford, who need a result for their own play-off push, making it an important fixture for both sides. Orient are at home to Burton. Exeter's survival bid has already produced one iconic moment, goalkeeper Jack Bycroft headed home a stoppage-time equaliser against Stockport to keep their hopes alive.

League Two Permutations

The Title

Both MK Dons and Bromley are already promoted, but the title is still up for grabs. MK Dons will be champions if they win or Bromley fail to win. Bromley will be champions if they win and MK Dons fail to win.

Automatic Promotion

A three way race for the final automatic spot. Cambridge United are in pole position - they go up if they win at Crewe. A point is enough if Salford fail to win. Salford City will be promoted if they win at Crawley and Cambridge fail to win. Notts County will be promoted if they win at home to Bristol Rovers, Cambridge lose and Salford fail to win.

Play-Offs

The standout fixture is Swindon vs Chesterfield at the County Ground, a direct shootout for the final play-off place. Chesterfield are a point ahead in 7th and are seven unbeaten, conceding just three in that run. No side has drawn more games this season (16). Swindon's form has collapsed - just one win in six, with 4-0 and 3-0 defeats in their last two away games. A draw is enough for Chesterfield; Swindon must win.

Grimsby are already guaranteed a play-off spot since Swindon and Chesterfield play each other and can't both overtake the Mariners.

Relegation

This is arguably the most dramatic scenario across all three divisions. Five teams can still go down, filling two relegation places.

Barrow are all but doomed - they will be relegated if they fail to win, and even a victory would only save them if Crawley lose with an eight-goal swing and Harrogate lose.

Harrogate will be relegated if they lose, as long as Crawley don't lose by five more goals than they do. They're also down if they draw while Newport, Crawley and Tranmere all avoid defeat. They survive if they win and one of Tranmere, Newport or Crawley fail to win.

Crawley will be relegated if they lose and Harrogate avoid defeat. They host Salford, who need a win for automatic promotion - so they face a team with huge motivation. A draw could still send them down if Harrogate win while Newport and Tranmere avoid defeat.

Newport will be relegated if they lose and both Crawley and Harrogate avoid defeat. They travel to Barrow, who have nothing to lose and everything to play for emotionally.

Even Tranmere could theoretically still go down despite sitting in 21st, they've picked up just four points from their last 16 games and are still waiting for a second league win since New Year's Day.

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