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Andy’s £2.50 Bet Builder Tips
Everything is still left to play for in this season’s relegation battle and the race for European football, and this clash will have huge implications on both sides’ hopes of achieving their seasonal goals.
We have put together two £2.50 punts for Nottingham Forest v Chelsea on Saturday, with one punt priced at 11/1 and the other at slightly higher odds of 13/1
As well as my £2.50 punts you can also see my expert’s Premier League betting tips with a bunch of betting previews, along with a Premier League accumulator.
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11/1 Nottingham Forest v Chelsea Punt
💰 A £2.50 punt returns £29.36 for this bet.
🎯 Nicolas Jackson to have 2+ shots on target
A man in form at the moment with three goals in two games, boasting some pretty decent attacking figures – 2.60 shots on per 90 with 1.25 shots on target to the same measure.
He has hit the target twice in three of his last six matches across all competitions, including four shots on target from seven efforts against West Ham last time out.
He boasts the second-highest xG per 90 in this Chelsea squad, only narrowly behind Cole Palmer despite having 8 fewer goals.
🎯 Callum Hudson-Odoi to have 1+ shots on target🔄️
Hudson-Odoi has registered the second-most shots on target in the Nottingham Forest squad this season (19), only two behind Chris Wood, and boasts a respectable average of 1.02 shots on target per 90 this season.
He has hit the target twice in four of his last seven Premier League matches and has managed at least one effort on target in all of those appearances.
He proved to be Forest’s hero last time out, scoring two all-important goals against Sheffield United, and will certainly want to make an impression against his old club.
🛑 Chelsea to commit 12+ fouls
The Blues have a very poor disciplinary record this season, picking up the most bookings of any Premier League club and averaging 12.00 fouls committed per 90.
Chelsea have made 12+ fouls in three consecutive league matches and committed 11 fouls in both of their games prior to that streak – against Man City in the FA Cup and Arsenal in the league.
There are plenty of strong fouling candidates in the Chelsea midfield including Conor Gallagher and Moises Caicedo (2.45 and 1.62 fouls committed per 90 respectively) who will be facing up against the like of Ryan Yates, Morgan Gibbs-White and Neco Williams who draw 2.51, 1.63 and 1.65 fouls per 90 – plenty of strong fouling matchups to rack up the tally.
13/1 Nottingham Forest v Chelsea Punt
💰 A £2.50 punt returns £33.97 for this bet.
🎯 Cole Palmer to have 5+ shots
You don’t score 21 goals in a Premier League season without putting plenty of efforts in, and Cole Palmer is a testament to that. Palmer is averaging 3.38 shots per 90 this season and his recent figures extend that goal threat.
Palmer has had 4+ shots in five consecutive games for Chelsea across all competitions (4, 5, 6, 4, 4) which extends out to nine of his last 11. He landed five or more shots in six of those appearances.
Nottingham Forest are conceding an average of 13.60 shots per 90 this season and Palmer provides Chelsea’s greatest goal threat.
🧤 Nottingham Forest Goalkeeper to make 4+ saves
Chelsea are proving to be prolific in creating chances recently, registering 23 shots on target across their last three games. Before their domination of West Ham last weekend, the Blues registered five or more shots on target in 13 of their last 16 across all competitions and are forcing an average of 3.40 saves per 90 from opposition goalkeepers.
Forest are conceding 4.31 shots on target per 90 this season which is forcing an average of 2.61 saves per game from their goalkeepers.
The likes of Nicolas Jackson, Cole Palmer and Noni Madueke are all shooting with purpose and their averages of 1.25, 1.35 and 1.15 shots on target per 90 should cause the Forest glovesman some trouble.
🩹 Conor Gallagher to be fouled 2+ times
Gallagher is Chelsea’s most fouled player this season (58), drawing average of 1.82 fouls per 90. He has been playing in a more advanced role in recent weeks, seeing him pick up the ball further up the pitch which has generated more potential for him to be fouled.
Gallagher has been fouled three or more times in all of his last three games for Chelsea and has been fouled at least twice in 13 of his last 18 across all competitions, including five of his last six league games.
A cagey midfield battle is likely with so much on the line for both sides and with the likes of Ryan Yates, Morgan Gibbs-White and Ibrahim Sangare (2.46, 1.06 and 1.89 fouls per 90) in the Forest side, there should be plenty of attention on Gallagher.
Written by Andy Robson
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