Brannagan is averaging 1.49 shots per 90 this season in the Championship. This is a very strong bet, though, because of the fact that he has taken at least one shot in 14 of his last 15 starts, and, if anything, his form is getting stronger.

The Oxford midfielder has taken six shots in his last two matches, and even though Leeds don’t allow many shots in general, Brannagan did have an attempt in the reverse fixture as well.

It is also worth noting that Brannagan shoots more regularly at home, with his shots per 90 record going up to 1.77.

Firpo has taken an average of 1.03 shots per 90 in Leeds’ last 30 Championship matches, this rises to 1.16 per 90 when only considering away matches, which is fairly unusual to see a higher shot rate away from home.

He has beaten this mark in 7 out of his last 10 starts in the Championship, having had a shot from the centre of the box against Luton, despite Leeds only managing eight efforts in total in the match, and from eight yards out centrally against Preston too. He has recently been a big aerial threat in the middle of the box from open play, scoring against West Brom and Sheffield United

Firpo is likely to play the full match, but if considering Sub On Play On, he has been sharing some minutes with Sam Byram recently, who also averages a decent 0.93 shots per 90 and had two shots when filling in for Firpo against Swansea the last time that Byram was picked ahead of Firpo.

Dan James has probably been Leeds’ best, most consistent attacking threat this season, but he may not be available for a second consecutive match, and there is an interesting quirk that could help Joel Piroe’s shooting numbers that comes into play here.

When James hasn’t played, Piroe’s shots in a match are: 7 (vs Preston last time) and 3, against Luton at the beginning of the season. Obviously this a ridiculously small sample size, because of James’ great consistency this season, and there have been many, many times when both players have hit at least three shots in a Championship match this season as well, but James’ absence could put a little more on the shoulders of Piroe to strike at goal more.

Piroe is averaging over three shots a game over Leeds’ last 30 matches, 3.12 to be precise, and he has hit this line in three of his last five matches as well. He also hit three against Oxford in the reverse fixture.

Goodrham has been missed by Oxford when unavailable. The youngster had started Oxford’s first 25 Championship matches, but has been in and out of the team since, with a couple of issues.

When he plays, he is a shot threat, if not particularly prolific in terms of goal output. He averages 1.5 shots per 90, which rises to 1.72 per 90 when playing at home. He is another one who managed to get an attempt off against Leeds at Elland Road as well.

Goodrham started against Sheffield Wednesday last time out and had two shots, and he managed three coming off the bench at home to QPR as well. Sub On Play On could be a factor with Goodrham, against Wednesday, he was replaced by Przemyslaw Placheta, who has been Oxford’s most regular shooter at 2.12 per 90 this season.

With the uncertainty of Daniel James’ participation in this match due to a hamstring injury, Manor Solomon is a good option to step up to the plate in terms of goal contributions.

He has assisted goals in each of the last two matches, and is a regular set-piece taker for the Whites as well, which obviously gives him a great chance of contributing an assist through dead-ball situations.

Solomon also scored against Preston, which should do his confidence some good after having not scored in nine consecutive matches before that.

Leeds’ full-backs have become a major part of their attacks. Junior Firpo and Jayden Bogle have nine goals between them this season, and Bogle is able to attack the ball from good shooting positions regularly.

Bogle is now at 0.99 shots per 90, and although shots on target have obviously not been as regular, 0.34 per 90, that percentage of shots hitting the target is consistent with what would be expected from a forward player, so these aren’t particularly speculative efforts.

Mills has been a very useful squad player since joining the club in January, coming into his own recently when scoring from the bench against QPR and then starting the next match against Sheffield Wednesday.

If Mills was to start again here he looks overpriced for a single shot. It is a small sample size to judge from, most of Mills’ appearances have been from the bench, but his two starts have seen him amass five shots, and he is currently sitting at 2.63 shots per 90.

Sub On Play On also means that if Mills is replaced, which is a likely scenario, then the mantle could be taken up by the likes of Seriki Dembele, Mark Harris, or Ruben Rodrigues.

Helik is very likely to play the full 90 minutes here, so the need to consider a potential substitute is negated.

Helik is very well known as a goal threat, which does mean that he will be well marked here, but backing him to get a shot in at least one of Oxford’s set pieces looks a good price here.

Set pieces are going to be a key route to goal for Oxford, given how difficult it has been to score against Leeds in open play this season. Helik is currently averaging 0.88 shots per 90 in an Oxford shirt and has had five shots in his last four matches.