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Pafos v Crvena Zvezda Bet Builder Quick Tips & Preview

Pafos v Crvena Zvezda Bet Builder Quick Tips & Preview

Monday 25 August, 20252 min read
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Ramis Ibrahim

Avid football writer and Premier League specialist. Meticulous eye for player prop bets across English, European and International football honed over four years in football analysis.

In this article...

Pafos look to qualify for the Champions League for the first time in their history and have a 2-1 lead to protect from the first leg, overcoming the odds to hold this advantage.

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Pafos v Crvena Zvezda Bet Builder Tips
  • Pafos v Crvena Zvezda
  • Champions League Qualification
  • 20:00
2 Selections @ 3.24

Both Teams to Score

Pafos showed in the first leg that they will be able to carry an attacking threat in this second leg. They had 14 shots, with three of these attempts finding the target and two of these efforts ending up in the back of the net. They more than held their own as the away side with 42% of the ball and an xG of 1.85.

They also resisted the immense pressure from Red Star Belgrade who had 26 shots but only managed to score once. Pafos scored 38 goals across their 18 home games in the Cypriot First Division last season (2.1 per game) which is further evidence to suggest that they can breach the Red Star backline again here.

Red Star’s performance in the first leg also would suggest that they can score here, they registered an xG of 2.38 in defeat to Pafos and they have also scored 16 goals across their opening games of the Super Liga season (4.0 per game).

Crvena Zvezda to Win

I can’t look past Red Star Belgrade’s strong performance in the first leg, although they lost the game, a more fair result from the underlying numbers would have been a draw or a narrow Red Star win.

They do have an uphill task in this second leg to qualify, but hold a key advantage over their opponents which pairs well with the higher levels of quality they have in the side. Pafos have never competed in the Champions League before, and don’t often find themselves at this stage of qualifying.

This is likely to give the away side a psychological advantage here with only one goal in the tie, and I back them to press that advantage home to overturn the defeat they suffered in the first leg. 

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  • Crvena Zvezda have won their first four games of their domestic season, scoring 16 goals across these games

  • Pafos only conceded 13 goals across their 18 home games in the Cypriot top flight last season

  • Crvena Zvezda competed in the Champions League last season, this would be Pafos' first experience of Europe's elite competition


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🔵 Pafos can build on their first leg lead

Pafos have had to battle through two stages of Champions League qualification already to reach this stage. They beat Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-1 over two legs and then dispatched Dynamo Kyiv 3-0 over two legs. The fact that they only conceded one goal across these four legs is a really encouraging sign for the Cypriot champions who would qualify for the Champions League for the first time in their history if they were to successfully navigate this tie. 

Pafos won 13 of their 18 home games in the Cypriot First Division last season which is a record that they’ll be hoping to rely on to help them over the line here. Notably, they only conceded 13 goals across these games which was the best home defensive record in the division. Although, we can expect Red Star Belgrade to offer a more serious and consistent threat in the final third than the sides that Pafos regularly face in their domestic league. 

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🔴 Work to do for the away side

Red Star have also had to battle through two stages of Champions League qualification to reach this position. They easily dispatched Lincoln Red Imps 6-1 over two legs before navigating a more awkward encounter against Lech Poznan which they eventually won 4-2 over the two legs. Notably, they won the away leg of that tie 3-1 which is the sort of performance they need here to overturn the first leg deficit. 

Red Star have made a really strong start to their domestic league with four wins from their opening four games. They’ve scored 16 goals across these games and only conceded two, so they'll be hoping that their domestic form can leak into their European performances as they aim to return to the Champions League.


📊 Pafos v Crvena Zvezda H2H

The first leg meeting between the sides is the only recent head to head clash that the sides have contested.

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Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Andy's Bet Club's Expert Football Tips include Champions League Predictions of industry-leading standard. There's also a range of Gem Bets and Accumulator Tips on site, including our Champions League Acca tips, and our usual BTTS predictions.

This bet365 Sign Up Offer is a strong one to add to your roster, we also recommend the Paddy Power Sign Up Offer - you can find a full list of New Bookmaker Offers, here.



* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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