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Roma v Napoli Bet Builder Tips
We’ve pieced together two bet builders ahead of Sunday’s clash, our Level 1 bet builder is available to back at 3/1, while our second bet builder comes in at 9/1. For some additional insights into this heavyweight fixture, make sure to check out our Napoli v Roma Betting Preview.
3/1 Napoli v Roma Bet Builder Level 1
9/1 Napoli v Roma Bet Builder Level 2
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Level 1 Bet Builder Tip
🛑 Angelino to Commit 1+ Fouls
📈 Odds: 1.44
Despite being a natural left-back, Angleino has earned the bulk of his minutes playing in the centre of defence this season, a position in which he’s found himself exposed at times.
He’s sinned in eight of his 11 league appearances (45+ minutes) and in each of his last four across all competitions.
One recurring theme in Napoli’s games this season has been that the opposing centre-backs tend to struggle to handle both Romelu Lukaku and Khvicha Kvaratshkelia when he cuts inside. Lukaku tends to play with his back to the goal, holding up play and frustrating defenders which explains his average of 1.49 fouls drawn per game, meanwhile, Kvaratshkelia is notoriously tricky, winning an average of 2.10 fouls per 90.
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals
📈 Odds: 1.30
Roma’s league games this season have averaged 2.58 goals and an impressive 3.09 expected goals, with the majority of both metrics going against Roma rather than for them. Although Ranieri is expected to sure things up a bit at the back, the task ahead is massive and might require a few personnel changes over the January transfer window.
As for Napoli, nine of their 12 league games have produced over 1.5 goals, averaging 2.33 overall. What was once a comfortable lead at the head of Serie A has been reduced to just a single point and their 3-0 defeat to Atalanta highlighted some significant defensive vulnerabilities.
This tends to be a traditionally high-scoring fixture and just two of the last 13 meetings between these sides have resulted in under two goals being scored.
🛑 Mathias Olivera to Commit 1+ Fouls
📈 Odds: 1.25
Olivera has been reliable in the fouls market, averaging 1.39 per 90 minutes in the league. He’s sinned in eight separate matches despite only starting nine games and will have to be on his A-game given who his opponent will be on Sunday.
Olivera will have to cope with Matias Soule, whose impressive average of 2.74 fouls drawn per 90 adds plenty of additional value to this selection. He’s been taken out at least once in each of his 12 appearances this season with the exception of his clash with Inter when he clocked just 12 minutes on the pitch.
🛑 Stanislav Lobotoka to Commit 1+ Fouls
📈 Odds: 1.36
This game is likely to be decided in the midfield as both teams fight to control the game by dominating the centre of the park.
Lobotka has averaged 1.41 fouls per 90 this season and has sinned at least once in four of his most recent five starts for Napoli, being penalised eight times in total over the period.
Kouadio Koné is expected to be one of his main counterparts on Sunday which bodes well for us given the France international has averaged a remarkable 3.17 fouls drawn per 90 this season.
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Level 2 Bet Builder Tip
🚀 Stephan El Shaarawy to have 2+ Shots
📈 Odds: 1.62
The Roma veteran has struggled for game-time so far this season amidst injury struggles but certainly looked back to his best in bagging a brace last time out against Bologna.
He’s only managed five appearances that have lasted over an hour this season but has fired off at least two in all five with that figure rising to four in his most recent game.
The Italian winger has averaged 2.60 shots per 90 this season despite being deployed in a more defensive wing-back position. With Ranieri coming in for one final managerial stint, we’re likely to see Roma revert to a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-1-2 which could see El Shaarawy start further up the pitch.
🎯 Roma to have 3+ Shots on Target
📈 Odds: 1.50
Despite their woes, Roma have fired off at least three shots on target in all bar one of their league matches this season. The exception came against Thiago Motta’s Juventus towards the start of the campaign when their gameplan consisted of little more than defending.
Napoli, on the other hand, have conceded three or more shots on target in half of their league games including each of the last three. You’d expect Roma to put up more of a fight than most of those, particularly if they benefit from a ‘new-manager-bounce’.
This selection has been a winner in each of the last three clashes between these sides.
🚩 Under 7.5 Napoli Corners
📈 Odds: 1.22
Only once this season have Napoli surpassed the seven-corner mark in a peculiar anomaly which saw them rack up 16. Other than that, Napoli have averaged 4 corners per match, accumulating just seven combined across their last three fixtures.
They’ve played four matches against teams compiling the ‘big seven’ clubs in Italy, managing 3 corners against Juventus, 1 against Milan, 4 against Atalanta and just 2 against Milan.
Roma haven’t conceded over 6 corners in a single match this season, only allowing the opposition more than 5 on two occasions, let alone 8.
🛑 Giovanni Di Lorenzo to Commit 2+ Fouls
📈 Odds: 3.0
Di Lorenzo has been Napoli’s most prolific fouler this season and is surprisingly priced very generously to sin twice compared to some of his compatriots such as Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa who is as short as 1.67, despite having an inferior fouls per game average compared to Di Lorenzo’s 1.83 per 90.
The full back has committed at least two fouls in eight of his 12 league appearances, lasting the full 90 in all 12 which could also come in handy.
Roma have been one of the most-fouled teams in Serie A this season, averaging 12.9 fouls drawn per game so Di Lorenzo could be in for a tiresome afternoon.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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