Legion v Levadia

With winter setting in and only a handful of clubs still having something to play for, Legion are one of those teams. With 18 points to play for, Legion find themselves in the relegation play off place, 13 points behind Tallinna Kalev and 6 points ahead of Pärnu. The likely goal for Legion is the relegation play off place, but there is a real possibility of Pärnu leapfrogging the Tallinn club.

Levadia have all but lost the title to Flora, sitting 13 points behind with 18 points left to play for, despite winning 22 out of 30 games it’s not been a straightforward season for Levadia, changing managers 3 times, excluding players from the squad, lacking an identity on the pitch. However, despite this their upcoming game vs Legion should be a routine victory.

Legion seem like they have finally accepted their fate for a bottom 2 finish, they have conceded an incredible 21 goals in their last 4 games. Despite having some talented players, they’re just not quite experienced enough yet to cope with the demand of Premium Liiga football, with more than half of the squad making their debuts this season.

Levadia have only won 2 out of their last 6 but this isn’t to say that this game vs Legion will be complicated for them, interim head coach Nikita Andreev won his 1st game in charge last week vs Kalju with former exiled striker Liliu scoring the winner, Liliu will have a chip on his shoulder after being told back in August he will never play for Levadia again, funny how football works.

Legion have never beaten Levadia in 10 attempts, with 9 wins going to Levadia and 1 being a draw. A game that promises goals with an average of 3.7 goals per game in their 10 meetings, something similar can be expected. Legion are struggling to keep the goals out, and Levadia want to end the season on a high, O3.5 goals will be the bet, and it wouldn’t be surprising if it’s in by half time.

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Tammeka v Kalju

It’s safe to say that Kalju have made a right pig’s ear of their season, only 1 win in their last 7 means that they now sit in 4th place even when it looked like 3rd place was a guarantee. Their only win being against basement club Pärnu, shows the real struggles for the club.

Tammeka have also won just 1 game in 7, but have also collected 4 draws in that time, steering them away from relegation, but it’s still been a disappointing season in Tartu, some predicted a top 6 finish, but 8th place is a real possibility for them.

Despite having a poor season, Tammeka have managed to get some decent results against the teams above them, mainly Kalju & Kuressaare, so they can give teams a decent game when they’re on form.
Kalju have also struggled to kill off teams this season, which has resulted in so many dropped points, a prediction of 2nd place for them evaporated at the mid-way point of the season.

Games involving Tammeka haven’t really produced a lot of goals, but they do get a result of both teams scoring in exactly half of their games this season, one to keep note of. Kalju are also very hit or miss when It comes to their consistency, they definitely have the ability to score goals, and on paper have one of the best defences in the league but making it all click for them has been tough.

In the 3 games these 2 have played this season, all 3 have finished with a BTTS score line, and it’s the bet to choose for value. Both sides have been in dreadful form, but it’s something that will favour Tammeka and will look to open up a Kalju side out of sorts. Kalju have a podium finish to play for, and Tammeka really don’t want to finish in 8th. It’s one for the taking.

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Kuressaare v Paide

Kuressaare continue their impressive season following a 2-2 draw with Tammeka. The draw takes Kure onto a 6-game unbeaten streak consisting of 3 wins and 3 draws. The record could have been even better, with Reio Laabus scoring a 90th minute equaliser last weekend to snatch 2 points away from Kure, who took the lead twice in the game.

Paide, like Kure, are also on a 6-match unbeaten run, albeit with a slightly better points tally to boast form. 4 wins and 2 including an emphatic 10-0 win against Legion. Paide also leapfrogged rivals Kalju into 3rd place, which is the final European qualification spot, with just 5 games remaining, Paide now control their own fate.

Both teams will have a full-strength side to pick from with no suspension effecting selection. Abdul Yusif did come off just before half time in Paide’s last game, but hopefully it was just a precaution.

Kure will be hoping to keep their front 3 firing. Männilaan scored his 7th goal of the season against Tammeka, Sten Reinkort is currently on a scoring every other game streak during Kure’s unbeaten run, in the 3 games that he’s scored in Kure have won. Paide have one of, if not the best attacking line in the league, Robi Saarma has been a great addition this season, he notched another 2 assists last week, to take his goal contributions up to 22

There’s been 3 meetings between these 2 this season, with Kure winning 1 and the other 2 being draws. Despite this, Paide have been unfortunate to not take the 3 points in all of these matches, with luck just not on their side. A grand total of 54 shots from Paide in those 3 games, just shows how potent their attack is.
Despite the record of the previous matches, Paide should be winning this one.

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