In this article…
West Ham v Aston Villa
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Kick Off: Sunday 17th March at 14:00
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Competition: Premier League
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Two teams who claimed resounding European wins in midweek meet at the London Stadium where West Ham host Aston Villa. Qualifying for Europe is very much the name of the game here with Villa strongly in the hunt for a Champions League berth and West Ham eager to extend their run in Europe for another year. There is loads at stake for both managers David Moyes and Unai Emery.
The Hammers have a mixed record at home, whilst Villa have preferred being on the road recently winning their last three consecutive away games.
Thursday night was a magical one for West Ham fans as they thrashed German outfit Freiburg 5-0. There is suddenly a massive high around the club again and this is the type of team who can gather serious momentum when the garden is rosy. Everything went perfectly for David Moyes and there are no new injury concerns to worry about.
Villa will be without key midfielder John McGinn who is suspended and their top striker Ollie Watkins is doubtful with an injury.
West Ham v Aston Villa Cheat Sheet
This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.
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You can find West Ham v Aston Villa match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off. If you’re looking for a new bookmaker check out the best bet builder bookmakers.
🎯 Shooting stats: Bowen on fire again?
Jarrod Bowen has enjoyed a stellar campaign and is the leading West Ham scorer this season. He was on the scoresheet again v Freiburg in midweek so his tail should be up. It is noticeable he endured a poor match last weekend v Burnley so the safer market to back him in is probably to take two or more shots at 1.22. It is very tempting to back Bowen to have one or more shots on target at 1.44 due to his decent accuracy, but in this instance his seasonal average of 2.40 shots per game should be covered.
With possible doubts surrounding Ollie Watkins due to injury then some other Villa players might need to step up. He can be an inconsistent player but Leon Bailey to have two or more shots looks like a decent option at the London Stadium. He only averages 1.60 shots per game but more often than not he will cover this line needed on him. Bailey can be dangerous on the break and with West Ham potentially sitting deeper it might be down to his creative genius to break the deadlock. At odds of 1.30 the Jamaican to have two attempts or more looks solid.
Predictions:
⚽ Jarrod Bowen to have 2+ shots @ 1.22
⚽ Leon Bailey to have 2+ shots @ 1.30
🟨 Cards stats: Both teams to test the referee
Villa are one of the dirtiest teams in the Premier League obtaining the third most cards of anyone so far this season. West Ham are no strangers to the referee’s book either, also ranking in the top ten for cards racked up. One big protagonist John McGinn will be missing but there are enough players on both sides who will get stuck in. This is a key match for both teams and just before an international break so they will give it absolutely everything on the field.
The referee in charge is Jarred Gillett who averages 4.71 cards per game this season in the Premier League. He’s only dished two red cards but isn’t shy to brandish the yellow. He is the type of referee who has been quite strict this season and taken no nonsense from the players. He won’t let anyone get away with anything major here so taking over 3.25 cards at odds of 1.25 looks like a safe bet builder addition. For those feeling braver you could look at the 4.5 or even 5.5 line, but in this instance we prefer extra security.
Predictions:
⚽ Over 3.5 cards @ 1.25
🛑 Fouls stats: The Hammers get stuck in
With Boubacar Kamara injured and John McGinn suspended it will be up to the likes of Douglas Luiz and Youri Tielemans to play the midfield enforcer role for Villa. Luiz is probably going to play deeper which makes him more prone to producing fouls. The Brazilian averages 1.30 fouls per game in the Premier League this season so looks like a solid and safe bet builder addition at 1.22 to commit one or more fouls. He’s going to be really busy in his part of the field.
This match could be decided in the middle of the park and the two clear candidates for West Ham fouls are Lucas Paqueta and Edson Alvarez. Based on Thursday night’s match v Freiburg, Alvarez may well be the disruptor/enforcer and is more likely to play dirty. He racked up four fouls and picked up a yellow card v the German outfit and at 1.17 he looks like a banker to commit one or more fouls. There is the option to take Alvarez or Paqueta to commit multiple fouls but that comes with more risk.
Predictions:
⚽ Douglas Luiz to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.22
⚽ Edson Alvarez to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.17
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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