Wolves v Tottenham

A 100th-minute penalty saw Wolves miss out on a point last weekend against Sheffield, meaning they currently sit in 14^th place on the table, six points above the drop zone. 

The visitors also suffered a loss last week, the first of their Premier League campaign this season, in a staggering 4-1 defeat to Chelsea that saw them go down to nine men. They currently sit one point off first place in the table.

Aside from this defeat, Spurs have been a strong force this season, with Ange’s aggressive style of play reaping rewards. However they now they will now be without Cristian Romero and Iyenoma Udogie who both face suspensions after being red-carded. James Maddison is also facing doubt after coming off in the first half with an injury. In spite of this, Spurs are still big favourites for this one.

This match has plenty of potential for a bet builder. We’ve done a deep dive into the stats behind the game, breaking them down into digestible research. If you like some of the picks, why not add them into your own Wolves v Tottenham Bet Builder?

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Wolves v Tottenham Cheat Sheet

This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.

The research in this piece has been pulled together using the Wolves v Tottenham Cheat Sheet. There’s a wide range of stats to choose from, be it player passes or team corners. There are also referee statistics in the middle of the sheet too.

You’re encouraged to use the Cheat Sheet in any way that you want. However, a brief example could be to match up the highest fouls committed by Wolves to the highest fouls drawn for Spurs.

You can find Wolves v Tottenham stats on my Bet Builder stats tool, along with official lineups one hour before kick-off.

Now, for my breakdown and preview with recommended bets…

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🚩 Corner Stats: The corners are flying in under Ange

According to the Wolves v Spurs Cheat Sheet, Spurs have been averaging 5.36 corners for per game, conceding 6.09. This has seen over 10.5 match corners land in 64% of their games, the third highest in the Premier League.

Their opponents have conceded 6.00 corners per game, taking an average 4.09. Bournemouth’s opponents often see most of the ball, dominating the game and taking more corners. 

This was the case the last two times Wolves and Spurs played each other. Spurs finished both games with the majority share of possession. They also took eight corners in both games, whilst Wolves managed just four and six respectively.

Predictions:

🚩 Over 4.5 Tottenham corners @ 1.40

🚩 Over 5.5 Tottenham corners @ 1.85

🚩 Tottenham corner match bet @ 1.73

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🎯 Shooting stats: Cunha and Son the danger men

Matheus Cunha has been averaging the highest shots on target (1.21) of any regular starting Wolves player. Over his last three Premier League starts, Cunha has landed at least one shot on target. 

Just two weeks ago, Wolves managed an impressive 2-2 draw against Newcastle, during which Cunha took three shots on target. The week before this he took four shots on target against Bournemouth, bagging himself a goal in the process. He is clearly on strong form.

He has averaged 2.22 shots per game this season and has not broken this streak when facing the tougher teams. Against both Newcastle and Manchester United, the Brazilian forward managed four shots in each game.

Meanwhile, for the visitors, there is a similarly obvious choice. Following the departure of Harry Kane in the Summer, Heung-min Son has adopted a new role as Spurs’ number nine. This has seen him score eight goals, the most of any Spurs player and the joint second-highest in the league.

Not only has Son had the most goals, but he has also been taking the highest average shots (3.05) and shots on target (1.63) out of Tottenham’s regular eleven. 

Son has now taken at least one shot on target in all of his last eleven games, and has taken at least one shot in every game he has started since May. This has seen him accumulate the 11th-highest expected goals in the league this season.

Predictions:

🎯 Matheus Cunha to have 1+ shot on target @ 1.67

🚀 Matheus Cunha to have 2+ shots @ 1.20

🎯 Son Heung-min to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.33

🚀 Son Heung-min to have 2+ shots @ 1.20

🚀 Son Heung-min to have 3+ shots @ 1.73

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🛑 Fouls stats: Wolves lead the way in fouls this season, but Spurs not far behind

Wolves have committed the highest average fouls per game of any Premier League side, standing at an impressive 13.36. They have also received the most yellow cards in the league: 35.

They have committed 10+ fouls in nine out of eleven matches, and 12+ fouls in seven of these. Further, they have been averaging 3.27 yellow cards per game, receiving at least three cards in eight of their opening eleven Premier League games so far.

This narrative plays out especially well given that Spurs have been drawing an average of 15.09 fouls per game. Last time out against Chelsea, even when finishing on nine men, they drew 20 fouls. The time before that they drew 19.

Referee Tim Robinson has issued an average of 5.00 yellow cards this season, meaning there are a few players who could be in trouble on Saturday…

Nelson Semedo is one of them. He has been averaging 1.82 fouls per game this season and has already accumulated four yellow cards. Across four of his last five games, Semedo has committed at least one foul. 

Interestingly, Semedo’s foul count rises when playing against higher-ranked teams. Against Newcastle and Villa, both while playing at home, Semedo committed three fouls. Another reason he is the prime candidate for fouls on Saturday as he will be defending against Richarlison, who has drawn an average of 1.91 fouls this season.

For today’s visitors, a number of absences could provide a good opportunity to tap into the foul markets. Not only is Romero set to miss the clash against Wolves, but other first choice centre back Micky Van de Ven is too after sustaining a long-term injury last week. Combining this with Udogie’s injury, Spurs are likely to be struggling defensively against Wolves. 

This will mean that the regular first-choice defensive midfielders, Pape Matar Sarr and Yves Bissouma, will have their work cut out for them with lots of ground to cover. 

Sarr has committed 1.53 fouls per game this season, fouling at least once in 70% of his Premier League starts this season. As for Bissouma, he has committed an average of 1.26 fouls per game. This has seen him commit at least one foul in 80% of his starts.

Both midfielders are also prime candidates for a card in this game, especially given Tim Robinson’s recent form of dishing out cards. 

Predictions:

🛑 Wolves to commit 12 or more fouls @ 1.40

🛑 Nelson Semedo to commit 2+ fouls @ 1.91

🟨 Nelson Semedo to be shown a card @ 3.50

🛑 Pape Matar Sarr to commit 2+ fouls @ 2.20

🟨 Pape Matar Sarr to be shown a card @ 3.10 

🛑 Yves Bissouma to commit 2+ fouls @ 2.10

🟨 Yves Bissouma to be shown a card @ 2.80

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

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