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Tottenham v Wolves 3/1 Bet Builder Tips, Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Tottenham v Wolves 3/1 Bet Builder Tips, Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Thursday 25 September, 20254 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

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Tottenham welcome a Wolves side still looking for their first win of the season while the Lilywhites aim to build on their promising start to the campaign under Thomas Frank. 

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Tottenham v Wolves Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Tottenham v Wolves
  • Premier League
  • 20:00
4 Selections @ 3.76

Tottenham to Win

This should be a pretty comfortable victory for Tottenham. They’ve started well under Thomas Frank, losing just one of their five Premier League matches as well as picking up wins in the Carabao Cup and Champions League.

It’s the exact opposite for Wolves who have lost all five of their Premier League matches so far this season with their only salvation coming in the Carabao Cup which is where their only two wins of the season have come, against West Ham and Everton - both at home.

Wolves have conceded 13 goals across their five Premier League matches this season which is more than any other side in the division. They’ve only scored three goals themselves which is well below the scoring power required to compete in the Premier League. Wolves have conceded 2+ goals in three of their five Premier League matches this season so even if they can find a way through the improved Tottenham backline, one goal is unlikely to be enough to keep Tottenham at bay here.

Tottenham have kept three clean sheets across their five Premier League matches this season. This is already half of the total number of clean sheets that Tottenham managed to keep in the Premier League last season. These metrics show that Tottenham are a much more solid side at the back under Frank which makes them more appealing to back in the win market.

Over 1.5 Wolves Cards

Wolves are one of the most aggressive sides in the Premier League, and I expect frustration to carry them to at least two cards in this encounter. Wolves are averaging 14.4 fouls committed per game in the Premier League this season; only Fulham (15.0 per game) are committing more fouls per game than the Wanderers.

This record has produced 10 yellow cards for Vitor Pereira's side (2.0 per game). Wolves finished last season with the second-highest foul average (12.6 per game) and 75 yellow cards (1.97 per game). I’d expect this to rise slightly here given how strong Tottenham were when it came to winning fouls last season, only Aston Villa won more fouls than the Lilywhites in the Premier League last term.

Wolves committed 10 fouls and were shown two yellow cards in this fixture last season as the sides contested a 2-2 draw.

Xavi Simons to have 2+ Shots

Simons changed the game when he came on against Brighton in Tottenham’s most recent Premier League game against Brighton. He didn’t register a goal or an assist in the game, but his presence on the pitch was notable, with the 22-year-old creating one chance and having three shots in just 29 minutes of action.

Simons had 50 shots across his 25 appearances for RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga last season (2.09 per 90), and I would expect this to increase given the role he’s been given in Thomas Frank’s side. Frank has played Simons off the left on a few occasions, but he looked much more dangerous in a central role, which is where he should be set to start here.

Wolves are expected to line up in a low block, which will put the onus on Tottenham to add some excitement and energy to the game. I’d expect the Lilywhites to look for Simons at every given opportunity, judging by the impact he had on the team when he came on at the Amex.

Xavi Simons to Commit 1+ Fouls

As well as being a real shot threat for Tottenham, Simons also operates in the ideal part of the pitch when it comes to committing and winning fouls. He regularly contested duels for RB Leipzig last season, committing 24 fouls across his 25 starts in the German top flight (1.00 per 90).

Simons should see this foul average rise in the Premier League with the increased speed and intensity of the English top flight when compared to the Bundesliga. Simons contested 11 duels and committed two fouls in Tottenham’s 1-0 win over Villarreal in the Champions League and can replicate that here against an aggressive Wolves side that usually drag their opponents into a scrap.

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Tottenham v Wolves Best Longshot Bets
  • Tottenham v Wolves
  • Premier League
  • 20:00
3 Selections @ 20.40

Mohammed Kudus to Score or Assist

Kudus has been one of the brightest players under Thomas Frank so far, with three assists across his five Premier League appearances this season. He assisted Richarlison’s goal against Brighton last time out and should have been awarded another assist for creating the own goal that earned Tottenham a point on the road.

Kudus has had eight shots across his five Premier League appearances (1.63 per 90), but only one of these has managed to find the target, so it is fair to say that he’s more of a creative outlet than a goalscorer for Tottenham. This makes him crucial to the Tottenham side with the Lilywhites currently missing James Maddison and Dejan Kulusevski - their two main creative outlets.

Kudus has created 11 chances across his five Premier League appearances this season (2.24 per 90) and should be afforded space to continue that record against a Wolves side that have conceded more goals than any other side in the Premier League so far this term (13).

Joao Palhinha to be Shown a Card

It’s quite remarkable that Palhinha has avoided a caution across his opening five games of the Premier League season. Nothing in his game has changed since he was last in the Premier League; he’s still just as aggressive but has been more successful with his tackles so far this term.

Palhinha has committed just three fouls across his five Premier League appearances this season, but his foul record alone doesn’t tell the full story of how combative Palhinha is in the middle of the park. He’s won 19 tackles across these games (5.14 per 90), which is a record that won’t be sustainable across the course of a season. Some of those challenges will be mistimed in the next few weeks, and see Palhinha at risk of picking up a booking.

Palhinha picked up 13 yellow cards and averaged 1.73 fouls committed per game when he was last in the Premier League during the 23/24 season, so it is fair to say that his numbers will rise in the coming weeks. This is the perfect game to see Palhinha pick up his first caution. Wolves are an incredibly combative side who usually bring out an extra layer of aggression from their opponents.

Joao Gomes to be Shown a Card

Part of that Wolves' aggression lies with Joao Gomes who, unlike Palhinha, has already received two yellow cards in the Premier League this season. His role becomes even more important here with Wolves expected to be without Andre who usually partners Gomes in the middle of the park.

Gomes has committed 12 fouls across his opening five games of the Premier League season (2.40 per 90) and plays for a Wolves side that are committing 14.4 fouls per game at this stage of the Premier League season - only Fulham (15.0) are committing more fouls per game than Wolves so far this season.

Gomes picked up nine yellow cards and one red card across his 36 Premier League appearances last season. He committed three fouls against Tottenham when the sides met at Molineux last season and made six tackles across the two head-to-head meetings.

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📂 Tottenham v Wolves Cheat Sheet

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📈 Tottenham v Wolves Form & Tactics

Thomas Frank is definitely leading this Tottenham side in the right direction. The changes from Ange Postecoglu last season are already obvious: Tottenham are much harder to break down, make more of set-piece situations and have scored 10 goals across their five Premier League games this season.

It may not be as exciting a setup as Tottenham fans were used to seeing under Postecoglu, but it is definitely more effective and sustainable across an entire season when compared to Postecoglu’s kamikaze approach. Frank has landed on a 4-3-3 as he preferred system with a steely midfield trio keeping Tottenham secure - he’s gone with this due to the absence of James Maddison and Dejan Kulusevski who are Tottenham’s most creative players.

Tottenham battled well to claim a 2-2 draw at the Amex last time out which was a game that also highlighted the difference between Frank and Postecoglu. Tottenham would have capitulated in that game under their previous manager but Frank stayed calm and was able to put together a plan to get Tottenham back into the game.

Xavi Simons was crucial in orchestrating this comeback with his cameo off the bench. He should continue to grow in confidence every time he takes to the field in a Tottenham shirt and can be a crucial player for the Lilywhites in the absence of other creative outlets.

Wolves have lost all five of their Premier League games so far this season. I don’t see any identity when I watch the Wanderers; it looks like a poorly assembled side with no regard for player profiles or the system of the manager.

That being said, Wolves have had success in the Carabao Cup this season, winning both of their games in the early rounds against Premier League opposition. The most worrying sign for Vitor Pereira at the moment is that Wolves have only managed to score three goals across their opening five fixtures.

A lack of scoring ability is usually one of the main warning signs when considering which sides will face the drop. However, the return to fitness of Jorgen Strand Larsen should aid Wolves in this regard.


🏁 Ref Watch

Michael Salisbury

Fouls pg

Yellows pg

Reds pg

Pens pg

19.25

2.25

0.25

0.00

Per game stats from Salisbury's 4 games this season.


📊 Tottenham v Wolves Key Stats

  • Tottenham have kept three clean sheets in the Premier League already this season; they kept six across the entirety of last campaign.

  • Tottenham have lost just one of their Premier League games so far this season.

  • Only Liverpool (11) have scored more goals than Tottenham (10) across the opening five fixtures of the Premier League season.

  • Wolves have lost all five of their Premier League games this season, scoring just three goals across these fixtures.

  • Wolves avoided defeat in both head-to-head games against Tottenham last season, scoring six goals across these meetings.

  • Wolves’ only two wins this season have come in the Carabao Cup against Everton and West Ham.


Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Keep up with our Football Betting Tips, Accumulator Tips, and Gem Bets, as well as Premier League Predictions for this week, on Andy's Bet Club. We also have more Tottenham v Wolves Betting Stats available.

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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