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Wrexham v Coventry Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Wrexham v Coventry Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Thursday 30 October, 20254 min read
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The ABC Editorial Team have a combined Sports Journalism experience of 20+ years. They love to crunch the numbers for all betting predictions, meticulously finding value in each selection. Football experts in their own right, they each bring specialists sports and leagues to the table. Whether it be football, horse racing, boxing, darts, or NFL, our team is equipped to bring you the most insightful and valuable betting tips around.

Wrexham are the latest team to attempt to stop the Coventry juggernaut. The Sky Blues are top of the league, and their results have been pretty sensational en route to getting there.

Their goalscoring exploits over the first twelve matches are historic, and Wrexham will have a task to keep out the Coventry forwards. Wrexham are coming into this match reeling from a Welsh derby defeat to Cardiff in the EFL cup on Tuesday night.

These Wrexham v Coventry Betting Stats also offer further insight ahead of Friday's Championship clash.

These recommended Best Bet Builder Bookmakers are worth a look for Friday's action, too.

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Wrexham v Coventry Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Wrexham v Coventry
  • Championship
  • 20:00
4 Selections @ 3.65

Over 3.5 Wrexham Corners

Whilst Coventry may be an intimidating opponent, they are not infallible. Many teams have been able to attack them and win corners; the trouble has been scoring more goals than the Sky Blues ultimately.

The data behind this is that Wrexham have only once failed to beat this corner line in their six home matches in the Championship. This match was their second home game against Sheffield Wednesday, which was a game in which they went 2-0 up and then sat back as Wednesday came back against them. They average 5.83 corners per Championship home match, winning six against Oxford and five against Birmingham in their last two.

Coventry have averaged 6.29 corners against in their away games in the Championship so far. Sometimes this will be as a result of being ahead an awful lot, but it is still a pretty high number for a team that is top of the league. Two of their seven away games have seen them restrict their opponents to three corners or less, but the rest are over this line, including conceding 10 to Leicester and 13 to Sheffield Wednesday.

Over 2.5 Cards

Given the referee appointment here, I am surprised to see this 2.5 card line backable.

Anthony Backhouse has been given the nod to officiate this one, and he has been happy to dish out the cards in his six previous Championship matches this season. He is averaging 4.83 yellow cards per match so far; only once in his six matches has Backhouse failed to clear the two yellow card line.

This will be the referee’s 37th appointment in total in the Championship, and whilst his yellow card line is lower over time, 4.25, it is still a higher than usual average.

Coventry are averaging 2.29 yellows per game in their away matches so far, five of their seven away matches in all competitions has seen them collect two or more themselves.

Wrexham have been more card happy away from home than at home, but five of their last seven matches have gone over this line for cards as well.

Issa Kabore to Commit 1+ Fouls

The wing-back didn’t start in the EFL Cup defeat on Tuesday, so he should be razor sharp and ready to go in this match.

If so, he looks a great bet in the fouls market. Kabore has been really impressive since coming into the Wrexham team. His physicality on the ball and off the ball really helps bring balance to the Wrexham team, and some of this is shown in his foul statistics.

He has committed an average of 1.25 fouls per 90 this season in the Championship, but his recent run of starts and fouls is probably more persuasive. He has committed at least one foul in five of his last six starts, with his last two starts seeing him foul twice in each one.

Coventry’s left-sided attacker is usually Ephron Mason-Clark, and he is a regularly fouled player as well. He is taking 1.61 fouls per 90 this season and has been fouled at least once in eight of his ten starts.

Bobby Thomas to be Fouled 1+ Times

I like the price on Bobby Thomas to be fouled here. Not only is Thomas fouled fairly regularly anyway, but he is likely to be up against Kieffer Moore as well, so undoubtedly, there will be some physical battles in the match that could go either way.

There is also the possibility of Coventry going with a back three here. When they do that, Thomas usually moves to the right centre-back role, so he may have to defend a larger channel space as well.

Thomas has been fouled 1.19 times per 90 this season so far, so that already makes his price a backable one. He has been fouled in ten of 14 starts as well.

Moore has committed 1.51 fouls per 90, and has committed exactly two fouls in his last three starts. Indeed, Wrexham seem to be on something of a tear in general in terms of fouls, committing 12 and then 17 in their last two Championship matches, and we have an amenable referee for fouls as well, as we are just about to explore…

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📈 Wrexham v Coventry Form & Tactics

Wrexham are on course to successfully navigate their realistic aim for this season. They are on 14 points from 12 matches and sit in midtable, five points off the relegation zone and five points off the top six, so they should consolidate their position in the Championship.

Recent form has seen a lot of draws; four out of their last six matches have ended 1-1, with a 1-0 win and a 1-0 defeat rounding out the results, but Wrexham have been competitive in all of those matches. They have suffered from a creative drop off, so goals have been at a premium, but Phil Parkinson has clearly tightened things up since the early part of the season from a defensive perspective.

Wrexham are actually fourth in the whole Championship for big chances created, but 13th for expected goals in total. Interestingly, they are second for accurate long balls per match, which gives us an indication of their style as well. Though being 21st for expected goals against is a concern, the majority of that was from the earlier half of the season so far.

It is difficult to imagine a team in better form than Coventry. Still unbeaten in the league, with identical records of four wins and two draws, both at home and away, a goal difference of +25 after 12 matches is a record for the club at this stage of the season.

They have won the last six Championship matches in a row, and they dominate the league in stats as well as results. The Sky Blues sit top of expected goals, shots on target, big chances created, and touches in the opponents’ box. They are, however, only fourth for expected goals against if teams can get at them.


📔 Wrexham v Coventry Formation & Team News

Wrexham tend to play with a three at the back system, usually a 3-5-2 with variants depending on how the midfield is set up with roles and personnel. George Dobson has been the most used midfielder, with Lewis O’Brien and Matty James being the other two midfielders that are usually in the mix. Kieffer Moore is the leader of the line, and Josh Windass is the usual first choice to support him. Width is only usually supplied by wing-backs; Issa Kabore and Liberato Cacace are first choice in those positions.

Of those players mentioned above, only Dobson and O’Brien started against Cardiff, though a few others came on to try and win the game. There are no fresh injury concerns, and a first-choice defence and attack will be expected to be named by Phil Parkinson.

There are rumours that Frank Lampard will consider switching to a 3-4-3 formation for this match to try and match up some aspects of play wmours that Frank Lampard is considering changing systems to a 3-4-3 to negate some of Wrexham's big positives. They have been very effectively using a 4-2-3-1 system in recent weeks, but perhaps the best time to adapt is when confidence is high. Certainly, wherever Brandon Thomas-Asante plays at the moment, he seems to find form and find the net.

Milan van Ewijk is suspended for this match due to yellow card accumulation, so it is likely that Kaine Kesler-Hayden will come in for his first Coventry start in the league since his summer arrival. If it is a 3-4-3, Tastuhiro Sakamoto could be the one to make way for an extra centre-back, who is likely to be Luke Woolfenden.


🔮 Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Keep up with our Football Betting Tips, as well as EFL Predictions for this week's football, on Andy's Bet Club.

We have plenty of EFL content this weekend, including our EFL Accumulator, Leicester v Blackburn Betting Predictions, Norwich v Hull Bet Builder Tips, and West Brom v Sheffield Wednesday Betting Predictions.

We also have an Augsburg v Dortmund Bet Builder Tips and a KNVB Goals Acca as well as Luton v Forest Green Tips, Getafe v Girona Betting Predictions, and Pisa v Lazio Predictions.

We've also got Next Manager To Be Sacked Predictions, with plenty of managerial jobs on the chopping block in this early stage of the season.

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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