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Football

Andy's Saturday Accumulator @ 3.66

Both of these sides are in dreadful form, with just one win between them across their last five matches in all competitions. Helmond have failed to win any of their last five matches across all competitions, seeing BTTS in four of these games.

De Graafschap have only won one of their last five matches across all competitions, which was a 3-2 win over Top Oss on the road. They’ve also seen BTTS in four of their last five matches across all competitions and are looking to put some healthy distance between themselves and the sides chasing a playoff spot in the Eerste Divisie.

De Graafschap have seen 41 goals across their 12 away matches in the Eerste Divisie this season (3.41 per game), notably conceding 19 goals across these matches. Helmond have avoided defeat in eight of their 12 home matches this season, so we can expect them to be competitive here. These games have produced 44 goals (3.66 per game).

Each of the last five head-to-head meetings between these sides have seen BTTS, the most recent meeting took place in November and saw De Graafschap come away 3-1 winners over Helmond.

This is a massive game at the bottom of the Eredivisie as Telstar look to mount the great escape. The away side have picked up some crucial points over the last few weeks, which has moved them into 16th place, just one point from safety. They can further increase their chances of survival here by dragging Zwolle into the relegation conversation.

Zwolle sit on 23 points and would move 10 points clear of Telstar and the drop zone with victory here, but a win for the away side would rope Zwolle firmly into this relegation battle, with that leaving just four points between themselves and Telstar. Only Heracles (52) have conceded more goals in the Eredivisie this season than Zwolle (42).

Zwolle have seen BTTS in each of their last four matches ahead of this clash, most recently losing 2-1 to Nijmegen on the road. Telstar have seen BTTS in three of their last five matches across all competitions, and should be motivated to get on the scoresheet here with the boost a win could give their survival hopes in the Eredivisie this term.

These sides met back in November, with that meeting producing four goals as Barcelona ran out 3-1 winners. That clash marked the fifth consecutive head-to-head meeting between these sides that has produced 3+ goals, promising more goalmouth action on Saturday.

Barcelona have seen 3+ goals in each of their last four matches across all competitions, most recently running out 4-1 winners over Copenhagen in the Champions League. Hansi Flick’s side do struggle for clean sheets, which makes them a brilliant team to back for high goal counts when also considering how effective their attacking options are.

Elche have seen 3+ goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions, failing to win any of these games. The slight advantage they have over Barcelona here is that they’ve had a full week to prepare for the clash, but are coming into the game on the back of a 3-2 loss to Levante. Elche have lost just one of their 11 home games in LaLiga this term, with these games producing 29 goals (2.63 per game).

Leeds have played 11 home league games, with eight of those seeing 2+ goals. That includes the games against Bournemouth (4), Spurs and Aston Villa (3), plus the win over Chelsea (4) and draw with Liverpool (6).

Daniel Farke’s side are more than capable of finding the net when roared on by their home faithful. They’ve only been stopped from scoring in one league game at Elland Road this season – a goalless draw with Newcastle in August.

Now, we know this Mikel Arteta side can be hard to break down, but we’re talking about a potential champions-elect side against one of the promoted sides. So, they could turn on the style and score two or three themselves – like they did when they last met.

If Viktor Gyokeres starts, the Champions League goal in midweek might be the confidence booster he needed to kick on at the business end of the campaign.

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Football

Bristol City v Derby Bet Builder @ 5.36

Bristol City have tended to be a BTTS-No team quite a lot in recent matches. They seem to either draw a blank themselves or deny the opposition from scoring, five of their last six matches in all competitions have ended up BTTS-No, but all bar one of those matches have still cleared this over 1.5 goal bar.

Derby matches are often lowly rated for goals, however, there is a striking consistency to Derby’s goal record, they have now scored at least once in their last 20 matches in a row in all competitions. Indeed, they have only failed to score in two of 32 matches in all competitions this season, which, for a team lowly rated for goals, is a very good achievement. It also makes backing over 1.5 goals in their matches a relatively easy, and a good value pick.

Patrick Agyemang has moved into the centre-forward slot vacated by Carlton Morris’ injury and has hit the ground running, and with back-up from Ben Brereton and Bobby Clark, the Derby attack is actually well functioning.

Bristol City have been full of goals at home recently, scoring five in the FA Cup against Watford and notching five against Portsmouth in the league, they cantered to 2-0 against Sheffield Wednesday, and also scored twice against Middlesbrough and Leicester.

I really like this angle and price in this exact scenario. Bristol City attract a lot more fouls than they commit. The numbers say that whilst City only average around nine fouls per game, their opponents average almost 12. This should help attract more cards towards Bristol City’s opponents.

Derby themselves are quite high fouls per match, averaging just over 12 fouls per match, creeping up to 12.5 when only considering away matches, and this is translating into cards.

Derby have averaged 2.81 yellow cards per match so far this season when only taking away matches into account. They have gone over this 1.5 card line in six of their last seven away matches, including winning four in their last away match and five in their penultimate one.

The icing on the cake for this match is that the referee, Tom Neild, is a good cards ref. He averages 3.71 yellow cards per match, and over 24 fouls per game as well.

This isn't really so much a Rob Dickie bet as it is an anti-Patrick Agyemang bet. The American forward is expected to take up his usual position in the centre of Derby’s attack, and he will be a focal point for them.

The trouble that defenders have up against him is it he has all of the attributes of a modern EFL Championship forward, big, strong, tall, and quick enough to run the channels and carry the ball dangerously as well. This is the reason why Agyemang gets fouled regularly, but he is a fouls magnet on both sides of the games, he gives as good as he gets.

Agyemang has fouled at least once in all of his away games for Derby so far this season, however, it is also his recent form which interests me, because he has now committed eight fouls in his last three starts.

Dickie is a much bigger price than Atkinson, his central defensive teammate, and I like that price comparison. Dickie and Atkinson actually receive fouls at roughly the same rate, 0.97 v 0.93, so this price difference is key to selecting this bet. Dickie has been fouled in 10 of his last 12 starts as well, so it is already a strong angle with the Agyemang side of things.

Adam Randell is in something of a pit of war in the middle against Derby’s two central midfield options, who are likely to be Lewis Travis and Liam Thompson, with Bobby Clark also dropping in to make it crowded.

Randell is one of Bristol City’s most regularly fouled players. He has been fouled 1.49 times per 90, and he is playing a lot of minutes, so this is a consistent and trusted yardstick. He has been fouled twice or more in four of his last seven starts, but it is this specific scenario which allows me to believe he is value to be fouled at least twice here.

Travis and Thompson are a combative pair, not afraid to leave their mark on the match. Travis is only recently back from injury but has fouled three times in his two starts since, and averages 1.5 fouls per 90 this season, whilst Thompson has committed at least one foul in six of his last seven starts.

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Friday's 4/1 Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Accumulator Tips
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Andy’s Bet Club - Free Expert Sports Betting Tips 2025

Andy’s Bet Club is a valuable sports betting tool, designed to help you make smarter and safer betting decisions ahead of the 25/26 sporting calendar.

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Andy began his journey on Twitter in February 2015 (now X) and quickly gained a large following due to his commitment to delivering high-quality betting insights and research, all for free and in a responsible gambling manner.

Follow Andy on X and Instagram, and visit his author page on Andy’s Bet Club to learn more. You can also keep up with Andy Robson’s acca tips here on ABC.