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Rob's Tuesday Premier League Double 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 @ 2.62

I love this game for goals. Statistically it’s strong, and situationally it’s even better.

Both sides rank high in the PL for goals, Chelsea games have averaged 2.89 goals whilst Spurs games have averaged 2.81. Both teams share an identical strike rate of 61% for BTTs and 64% for three or more match goals.

It’s as much about how bad they both are defensively as it is about any quality in attack. They’ve managed just eight and nine clean sheets, respectively this season yet have both managed to score in 29/36 outings in the Premier League.

Spurs need a result here to fend off relegation, a win would see them safe as they head in to the final day.

As for Chelsea, they need a result to have a chance of getting into Europe. Their horrendous recent form has seen them tumble down and outside of the qualification places, and nothing less than win will do - especially following the defeat to City at Wembley.

I really do fancy Bournemouth to give this a right good go. They’re an excellent attacking side, and they've been a joy to watch throughout the campaign. They’re not here just to fend off City either, they have their own race to run - a win takes them to a point behind Liverpool with one game left to play and a win or draw moves them out of the reach of Brentford.

When they have their spells, I think they’ll force some corners. They carry huge threats in wide areas, most notably with the two brilliant signings of Rayan and Adrien Truffert.

At home they’ve averaged a hefty 5.94 corners and have landed this selection in 83% of matches on their own turf. They also landed this bet away at The Etihad, which would’ve been a really good price.

City are less stingy than in previous seasons when it comes to allowing other sides corners and they’ve conceded an average of 4.17 on the road this season and more than half their games (53%) have seen the home side get four or more corners.

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Rob's Bournemouth v Manchester City Bet Builder 🧱 @ 3.62

These two rank very high in the league in terms of entertainment, well, if you base your entertainment off goals that is.

Bournemouth games have averaged 3.00 goals, with 58% seeing this selection land and they’ve scored in 14 of their 18 home PL fixtures.

As for City, their games average 2.97 goals and a hefty 64% strike rate for this selection.

Of course, City simply have to win to have any chance of winning the league and taking it down to the final day. They’d need favours, but Pep won’t be about to lie down and let Arteta’s men have it before he sails off into the sunset after his incredible tenure with the Citizens.

You get good odds for this selection given that it’s landed far more often than not. Gianluigi Donnarumma has been forced into two or more saves in each of his last three games, despite City winning two of those at an absolute canter.

I think Bournemouth will have their moments in this game, I think they’ll test the City defence and I fancy them to score.

They landed this selection in the reverse fixture despite falling to a 3-1 defeat as they forced the big Italian into four saves. They’ve got three saves out of the opposition goalkeeper in each of their last two matches as well.

With the likes of Kroupi, Scott and Rayan in great runs of form, Bournemouth should cause their opponents enough issues to land this.

Cherki is the kind of player that reminds you of old times. A maverick, an entertainer and just a wonderfully gifted individual. I’ve been seriously impressed with the impact that he’s had, and Pep clearly sees him as City’s x factor and he’s been allowed more freedom than most.

He’s not a huge goalscorer, but he does rank highly in shot numbers. He loves to shift the ball and get a strike away, and being so adept on either foot is an added bonus when you’re putting him in a bet.

He averages 2.78 shots per 90 in the Premier League this season and he’s had two or more shots in each of his last five matches, including eight against Burnley and four against Everton.

He only played the second-half in the cup final win over Chelsea, so I’d expect him to be in from the off here and get some good minutes in. 

Truffert has been a superb signing for The Cherries. He’s slotted in seamlessly after the departure of Milos Kerkez, providing energy and quality down the left-hand side. He’s a key attacking outlet for Bournemouth.

He’s drawn an average of 0.86 fouls per 90 this season and has been in good form in this market lately. He’s drawn a foul in each of his last five matches, including drawing four against Leeds United.

Truffert will be up against Antoine Semenyo, the former Bournemouth man is one of City’s more regular foulers at 1.12 times per 90.

If he does bomb on, there’s Matheus Nunes too. He’s not huge for foul numbers, but he can be caught out in transition and has averaged 0.55 fouls per 90.

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