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Andy Robson

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Over 1.5 Goals in Stockport v Wycombe 

The initial league meeting between these sides produced three goals as Stockport ran out 2-1 winners over Wycombe, with that game being the third consecutive game that has produced three or more goals in the head to head meetings between the sides since 2024. We only need two goals for our selection here.

This is a massive game for both sides, Stockport are in the playoffs positions - but their spot is far from confirmed with only three points keeping them from the chasing pack, and only four points keeping them from Wycombe. 

Wycombe have seen 2+ goals in each of their last five matches across all competitions, and have seen 43 goals across their 20 away matches in League One (2.15 per game), notably only managing to win four of these games. 

Stockport have seen 53 goals across their 19 home matches in League One this term (2.78 per game), avoiding defeat in 15 of these matches. Stockport have seen 2+ goals in each of their last four matches ahead of this clash. 

There’s plenty on the line for both of these sides as we approach a defining point in the season, which should combine well with the underlying goal numbers of these sides to produce at least two goals. 

Over 1.5 Goals in Salford v Notts County 

Our second selection focuses on the playoff battle in League Two, with Notts County looking to cling onto their automatic promotion spot with their opponents here only three points away from those positions.

Meetings between these sides tend to be quite entertaining, 2+ goals has landed in each of the last five head to head meetings - stretching back to 2023. The initial league meeting between the sides produced three goals as Salford came away 2-1 winners over Notts County. 

Salford have seen 53 goals across their 20 home games in League Two this term (2.65 per game). Notts County have seen slightly fewer goals on the road this term (2.40 per game), but should be really motivated by the context that surrounds this fixture - a draw does very little for both of these sides so either should push on for a winner. 

Notts County have seen 2+ goals in each of their last six matches across all competitions, and will be aware that victory for Salford here would really damage their chances of securing an automatic playoff spot with the race being really tight between five sides for two spots with Bromley looking like they’ve secured pole position. 

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Football
Andy Robson

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This is a massive game at both ends of the table in the Championship with Wrexham knocking on the door of the playoffs and West Brom seeking to avoid dropping down to League One for the first time in their modern history.

This selection landed when the sides met earlier in the season, with West Brom coming away 3-2 winners on that occasion. Both sides registered an xG in excess of 2.0 in that game (2.01-2.37) with the game seeing seven big chances.

This selection has landed in four of Wrexham’s last five matches in the Championship, suggesting that they regularly see end to end games. Their 19 away games in the Championship have produced 45 goals (2.36 per game) and a draw does very little for their playoff hopes with Wrexham being in direct contention with Southampton and Derby for a playoff spot.

Luton have seen BTTS in each of their last nine matches across all competitions, with this specific selection landing in five of these games. They’ve taken on quite a positive approach under the tutelage of Jack Wilshere, with their home games being particularly entertaining (2.6 goals per game).

These sides are really well matched, Luton sit just one spot above Peterborough in League One and the away side could cut the gap between the sides to just two points with victory here, while also holding a game in hand on Luton. 

Peterborough have only drawn two of their 20 away games in League One this season, with these games also producing 52 goals - once again showing just how closely matched these sides are. They’ve lost 11 of these games, which should offer encouragement for Luton - but the 22 goals that Peterborough have scored on the road this season indicates that they’ll still be able to carry an attacking threat here.

Barnsley have been pretty woeful defensively all season, and this is reflected in their clean sheet numbers. Barnsley have only kept two clean sheets in League One all season, five fewer than the next lowest tally, a spot filled by Wimbledon.

Barnsley have seen BTTS in four of their last five matches across all competitions, they have drawn three of these games, but this isn’t too common when Barnsley take to the road with only six draws from their 17 away assignments this term. Barnsley have seen 54 goals across these games (3.17 per game). 

Burton find themselves in a precarious situation a bit further down the table with only three points keeping them from safety. They aren’t too much better at keeping clean sheets than Barnsley, with only six sides keeping fewer shut outs in League One this term.

The initial league meeting between these sides saw this selection land as Barnsley came away 3-2 winners over Burton at home. That game saw these sides combine to generate an xG of 4.51 (2.55-1.96) setting the stage for another end to end game that produces a winner.

This selection has landed in each of the last two head to head meetings between these sides, with Salford winning both of those games by 2-1 and 3-1 scorelines.

These sides are in direct competition with each other to finish in a playoff spot, with Notts County looking to cling onto their automatic promotion spot. Notts County have seen this selection land in two of their last five matches across all competitions, they are quite strong defensively but notably have only drawn four of their 20 away matches in League Two this season.

This lines up really well with Salford’s home record, they’ve only drawn three of their 20 home matches in League Two this term - and all a draw does for these teams is provide more encouragement to the others battling for the automatic promotion spots, with the race looking tighter every passing week.

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