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Darts

Glen Durrant's World Darts Championship Exclusive Outright @ 15.00

Littler to Win

"Number one, outright winner. Well, he's the UK Open champion, World Matchplay champion, World Grand Prix champion, Grand Slam champion. He's changed this game forever. That story of from a 16-year-old to be world number one by the age of 18. I think our current world champion, our world number one will retain the World Championship.

I've just come back from Finland with all the best players in the world. And he does he stands out. He's intriguing. He does things his way. And for me, Luke Littler will win this year's world title."

Humphries to Reach SF

"Now, after he got beat at the Grand Slam of Darts, Luke Humphries said, "I will win the World Championship." And that's good enough for me, in a sense that he still feels confident, and he looked pretty chipper. He looked in good shape in Finland.

I was just watching his game, watching his demeanour, watching his preparation. So, part of the bet will be that Luke Humphries has to get to at least the semi-finals.

Noppert to Reach QF

"One of my favourite players, the guy who I beat in the 2017 BDO Lakeside Championship, Danny Noppert. Mr Consistency, I called him at the Grand Slam of Darts. And part of the bet is that he has to get to the quarter-finals. I like his section of the draw. He's not been great at Alexandra Palace. That's been my one concern.

But I think that has to change and will change because his consistency is just too good right now. And I like what Danny's been doing this year. He'll want to keep that momentum going throughout the World Championships."

Football

Andy's Tuesday Accumulator @ 4.55

I was surprised to see the goal expectancy quite so low here, especially given both teams’ recent results.

Starting with the away side, Huddersfield have scored and conceded in each of their last five League One matches, with 22 goals in those five matches, over four per match. They have conceded in eight straight league matches, and their xG data suggests that they have become more open and attacking recently.

Their seasonal expected goals data has them creating 1.5 xG and conceding 1.2 xG, but changing that sample to the last 10 matches sees them creating 2 xG and conceding 1.5 xG, an average of 3.5 xG in their matches, actual goals scored in those 10 matches equals 3.7, all way above the line needed here.

Northampton have seen their last six league matches have more than one goal as well. They do have lower goal expectancies than Huddersfield, but they are still very respectable numbers. They average 1.94 goals per game this season, a low average, but the xG is 2.4 over the same period. Again, looking at the last ten matches, there has been an improvement, 2.7 goals per game and 2.6 xG.

It seems to me that this price might be based on seasonal data rather than taking into account the rise in goals and chances for both teams more recently.

There are chances written all over this game, and I am expecting both teams to get in on the act here.

Starting with the visitors, their last two matches have been in cup competitions, but there have been 13 goals in those two matches. I am going to concentrate on league data here, but it is worth bearing in mind that they are in that rich vein of goals more recently, too.

In League Two, Salford average 1.33 goals per game and have conceded 1.39. However, this is lower than might be expected with their xG data suggesting that they should’ve scored over 1.8 goals per game, but also conceded over 1.5 goals per game.

This means that chances are being created and conceded to allow both teams to score twice, never mind once. Salford haven’t been converting their chances well enough in the league, but I hope that the muscle memory from the cup competitions will help this to kick in.

Fleetwood haven’t had that issue as badly. BTTS has landed in Fleetwood’s last nine matches in all competitions. They scored twice against Luton in the FA Cup in their impressive progression, and their averages for both goals for and against in league play are great for a BTTS bet, 1.5 for and 1.44 against. This matches up really well with their xG data, 1.53 xG for and 1.57 xG against, so there are lots of indicators for BTTS here.

Spurs will fancy their chances of making it back-to-back wins, given that Slavia Prague are still yet to record a win in the Champions League this season, languishing down in 31st place. Worryingly, the Czech side have failed to score in any of their last four European outings, highlighting their struggles in the final third. 

Slavia Prague have already faced a side from North London in the Champions League this term, and it won’t bring back fond memories. They were easily defeated by Arsenal, who restricted the hosts to just nine shots worth 0.47 xG. 

The Red and Whites did manage to take a point from their last away match in Europe against Atalanta, but prior to that were beaten 3-0 by Inter Milan. The hosts racked up 21 shots and nine big chances worth 3.99 xG, while the visitors mustered up just three shots worth 0.11 xG in return. 

While Liverpool have struggled to keep clean sheets this season, scoring goals at the other end of the park has not been an issue. With that in mind, I’m keen to back both teams to get on the scoresheet at the San Siro on Tuesday night.

Three of Liverpool’s five Champions League matches this season have seen both teams make their mark, with each of those three contests breaking the over 4.5 goal barrier. It’s also worth noting that five of the Reds’ eight Premier League road matches this season have seen each team oblige, the most recent of which was a thrilling 3-3 draw with Leeds at the weekend.

As for the hosts, they failed to silence Champions League newcomers Kairat Almaty at the San Siro last month, while the likes of Sassuolo and Cremonese have also netted consolation strikes at this venue in relatively recent times. On top of all that, both teams scored during Inter’s 2-1 defeat away at Atletico Madrid on matchday five.

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Andy’s Bet Club is a valuable sports betting tool, designed to help you make smarter and safer betting decisions ahead of the 25/26 sporting calendar.

Founded in 2019 by Andy Robson, the UK’s most popular football tipster, the website started as a way for his social media followers to access his goals betting algorithm automatically, as well as his expert football betting tips

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This was the original feature on Andy’s Bet Club.

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Hit Rates Horse Racing Each-Way Tips

Hit Rates is our newest betting tool that shows the % of times a horse has won or placed in the top 3,4,5 or 6. The data covers all UK and Irish racing, everyday.

There are various filters for ground conditions and distance too.

Each morning our racing expert posts his horse racing each-way tips courtesy of Hit Rates.

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