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Newcastle v Aston Villa Bet Builder @ 2.82

The Magpies have every reason to approach this match with confidence, given how strong they have been on home turf this season. They have played 20 matches at St James’ Park across all competitions this season, boasting the record of 13 wins, three draws and four losses. In fact, Newcastle have suffered just one home defeat since September, and that came against Man City in the EFL Cup. 

Meanwhile, Aston Villa have stuttered in recent weeks, and have failed to win three of their last six matches across all competitions. While they were able to take three points in the Europa League midweek, they were involved in a testing Thursday night clash against Fenerbahce, and make the long trip to Tyneside this weekend. 

Villa have struggled at St James’ Park in recent years, and won’t be particularly excited for this match. Newcastle have won each of the last four competitive meetings at home against Aston Villa, by an aggregate score of 13-1. 

These sides last met back in matchday one this season, and it finished as a goalless stalemate. Newcastle were the dominant side, racking up 16 shots and two big chances, but were unable to find the back of the net. The Magpies were unfortunate to leave that match with just a single point, but they have been much more efficient in front of goal when playing at home. In fact, that defeat against Man City last week was the first time all season they have failed to score at home. 

Prior to that, the Magpies had scored multiple goals in 13 consecutive games, including against the likes of Chelsea and Man City. They have been effective against the top sides, and should cause Villa problems here. 

Unai Emery’s men will also fancy their chances of contributing to the scoreline, given that they have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals land in nine of their last eleven matches across all competitions. 

It has been a positive season for the Villains so far, as they sit third in the Premier League standings, level on points with Man City and just seven points behind league-leaders Arsenal. Their 1-0 win over Fenerbahce midweek lifted them to second in the Europa League standings, too, highlighting how competitive they have been on multiple fronts. 

Morgan Rogers has been a key reason for that, with eight goals and six assists under his belt after 31 appearances this season. The England international is averaging 3.66 shots per 90 in his last nine matches, and has landed this selection in eight of those. Rogers has registered more shots than any other Aston Villa player in that stretch, and has bagged five goals, highlighting how he is in a rich vein of form which makes him a player to keep an eye on.

Football

Sunday Premier League Checklist @ 3.99

A lively contest looks likely at St James’ Park on Sunday afternoon, with both teams to score an appealing option.

While Newcastle were held to a dull 0-0 draw with Wolves last weekend, such low-scoring encounters have been rare this season, especially at St James’ Park. In fact, both teams have scored in 6 of the Magpies’ last 7 Premier League home outings, the most recent of which was a dramatic 4-3 win over Leeds. It is also worth noting that Eddie Howe’s side played out a barnstorming 3-3 draw with Bournemouth in the FA Cup at this venue earlier this month.

Although Aston Villa have been on a terrific run in the Premier League in recent months, they have found clean sheets hard to come by away from home. That is underlined by the fact that there have been goals at both ends in 5 of Villa’s previous 6 top-flight road trips, with Unai Emery’s side claiming a 4-3 win at Brighton and a 3-2 success at West Ham in that sequence. Villa’s 2-1 FA Cup win at Tottenham a couple of weeks ago adds further weight to backing each team to oblige at St James’ Park on Sunday.

While Aston Villa have not been a side associated with racking up cards this season, I think there is enough evidence to suggest they could collect 2 or more bookings on Sunday against Newcastle.

Unai Emery’s side have received at least 2 cards in five of their last seven Premier League away games. That also proved to be the case in their FA Cup win at Tottenham at the start of the month. Additionally, Villa had 4 players booked during their hard-fought 1-0 win away at Fenerbahce in the Europa League on Thursday evening.

With all that in mind, I think there is plenty of scope for the visitors to go into the book at least twice against a Newcastle side who have a real knack for forcing fouls from their opponents. The hosts are drawing an average of 2.41 cards per game from Premier League opposition this season, with 10 of the 11 teams to visit St James’ Park on top-flight duty tackling their way into the referee's notebook at least twice.

Sam Barrott is in charge of this clash and is only in his second season as a top-flight referee on the Select Group 1 list. But since making the step up to the highest level, his card rate has increased.

This season, he’s averaging 4.1 cards per game, having shown four or more in nine of his 13 league games. And in 10 of those he’s carded at least three players for this final leg of the Bet Builder.

With him having the whistle, then I’ll have to include cards, especially when both of his involvements with Nottingham Forest have seen the matches end with four – a defeat at Bournemouth and a home win over Spurs.

The Bees average 1.73 yellows per home game with Forest at 1.91 on their travels, so there’s enough juice in those figures to believe we’ll see cards. And both sides sit in the middle region of the foul charts at around the 10.5 mark.

To wrap it up, the last four meetings have produced 4, 7, 8 and 3 cards. So, there’s a good chance they’ll add to that record.

Given how I expect this game to play out from a tactical perspective, I think Chelsea are more than capable of earning a minimum of 5 corners. Moreover, the Blues have been strong corner performers in the Premier League this season, underlined by their average of 5.78 per game.

A closer look shows that Chelsea have been particularly prolific when it comes to earning corners in recent weeks, racking up 6, 12 and 11 in matches against Aston Villa, Bournemouth and Fulham. It's also worth mentioning that Chelsea earned no fewer than 15 flag kicks when edging past Pafos in the Champions League on Wednesday night.

As for Crystal Palace, they have consistently shown they are a team capable of digging in and absorbing pressure when required, which is reflected in the fact that they are conceding an average of 5.05 corners per game in the Premier League this season. That was certainly the case in this season’s reverse fixture, with Chelsea comfortably winning the corner count 11-2.

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Andy’s Bet Club is a valuable sports betting tool, designed to help you make smarter and safer betting decisions ahead of the 25/26 sporting calendar.

Founded in 2019 by Andy Robson, the UK’s most popular football tipster, the website started as a way for his social media followers to access his goals betting algorithm automatically, as well as his expert football betting tips

Andy is famous for his expert football betting tips, as well as covering a range of other sports, providing quality research for horse racing tipsdarts betting tips, Boxing betting tips and UFC tips and even NFL bet builder predictions.

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We’ve got you covered with the very best Football Betting Tips and predictions for this week's football, with Arsenal v Man United Betting Tips, Newcastle v Aston Villa Betting Predictions, and Crystal Palace v Chelsea Betting Tips on site.

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This tool provides you with the stats and data you need to make informed decisions for your Bet Builder.

With official Opta data, you can access team, match, and player statistics for clubs in the Premier League, Champions League, Europa League, English Championship, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A, and Ligue 1. If you’re unsure how to read the stats our cheat sheet guide to understand how to use Andy's Football Cheat Sheets.

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Acca Stats is a new free tool on Andy’s Bet Club, built for football accumulator fans.

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Bet Pack Football Betting Tips

This was the original feature on Andy’s Bet Club.

It’s Andy’s football algorithm covering match results, over 1.5 goals, over 2.5 goals, and both teams to score.

The algorithm calculates probabilities and displays them alongside live odds from Paddy Power and Betfair

It covers over 750 football leagues worldwide, with filter options by date, market, competition, and minimum odds or probability.

Hit Rates Horse Racing Each-Way Tips

Hit Rates is our newest betting tool that shows the % of times a horse has won or placed in the top 3,4,5 or 6. The data covers all UK and Irish racing, everyday.

There are various filters for ground conditions and distance too.

Each morning our racing expert posts his horse racing each-way tips courtesy of Hit Rates.

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Follow Andy on X and Instagram, and visit his author page on Andy’s Bet Club to learn more. You can also keep up with Andy Robson’s acca tips here on ABC.