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Brentford v Man United 3/1 Bet Builder Tips, Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Brentford v Man United 3/1 Bet Builder Tips, Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Thursday 25 September, 20254 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

In this article...

Brentford welcome Manchester United in the early kick-off on Saturday afternoon as they look to register their second win of the season. The Bees fell to defeat against Fulham last time out, making it three losses from their opening five matches.

Ruben Amorim was given a major boost with Manchester United’s win against Chelsea last time out, but will need to exercise caution here - United have won just one of their four trips to the Gtech Community Stadium since 2022.

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Brentford v Man United Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Brentford v Man United
  • Premier League
  • 12:30
4 Selections @ 3.50

Both Teams to Score

Brentford have seen BTTS in four of their five Premier League matches this season. The exception came in their home game against Aston Villa, which isn’t the most surprising, seeing as Villa have only scored one goal across their five Premier League matches this season.

Keith Andrews is still trying to find the right balance with this Brentford side, which is producing goals at both ends. Brentford have scored in all five of their Premier League matches so far this season, their issue has been keeping the opposition out, with the Bees conceding 10 goals across their five Premier League matches - only West Ham (13) and Wolves (12) have conceded more goals this season than Brentford.

Manchester United saw BTTS in their most recent Premier League match against Chelsea and have seen both teams find the back of the net in three of their five Premier League matches this season. Manchester United failed to keep a clean sheet in both head-to-head meetings with Brentford last season, with the Bees coming away 4-3 winners in this fixture last season.

Goals were common at the Gtech Community Stadium last season. Brentford saw 75 goals across their 19 home matches (3.94 per game - 40 scored, 35 conceded).

Man United Double Chance

Manchester United’s win against Chelsea last time out was massive for Ruben Amorim, and these next few games against Brentford and Sunderland before the international break are essentially must-win games, with the future of the United boss set to be discussed over the next international break.

Manchester United’s two defeats so far this season have come against Arsenal and Manchester City. Few sides have had as tough a start as United, with Amorim's side also playing against Chelsea in the opening five games of the season. These next two games are crucial for United and Amorim; they could find themselves in a comfortable position heading into the international break if they can take maximum points.

Brentford’s defensive issues can be exposed by a Manchester United attack, which welcomes back Matheus Cunha, who is a massive boost for Ruben Amorim. Brentford have conceded 10 goals across their opening five games of the Premier League season, keeping only one clean sheet across these games.

Bryan Mbeumo to have 1+ Shots on Target

Mbeumo lines up against his former side for the first time since joining Manchester United, and his early performances would suggest that he can be a real threat for the Red Devils this season.

Mbeumo’s shot volume has been really high in the early weeks of the season, with the 26-year-old taking 15 shots across his five Premier League matches (3.15 per 90) with six of these efforts finding the target (1.26 per 90). This record has returned one goal for Mbeumo, which came against Burnley; he also netted for United against Grimsby a few weeks ago.

Mbeumo scored 20 Premier League goals last season from 41 shots on target (1.08 per 90). I could see his average being even higher by the end of the season, given how often he is taking aim at goal and the increased number of chances he gets playing for United than he did when lining up for Brentford.

Keane Lewis-Potter to Commit 1+ Fouls

Lewis Potter will have his work cut out for him here as a left wingback up against Bryan Mbeumo and Amad Diallo. Lewis Potter has committed three fouls across his five Premier League appearances this season, with at least one foul committed in three of these games.

Mbeumo will push him back regularly, with the United winger winning eight fouls across his five Premier League appearances this season (1.68 per 90). Lewis Potter was originally a winger when he first joined Brentford but the Bees’ need for a left back, fuelled by injuries, has meant that Lewis Potter has settled into a left back/left wing back role for a few seasons.

Brentford are committing more fouls as a team this season across the opening five games of the campaign. The Bees are averaging 12.8 fouls committed per game, which is the fourth highest in the Premier League, a drastic jump from the 8.70 fouls committed per game they averaged last season.

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Brentford v Man United Best Longshot Bets
  • Brentford v Man United
  • Premier League
  • 12:30
3 Selections @ 8.37

Matheus Cunha to Score or Assist

Cunha has been the most impressive Manchester United player for me so far this season and I think his absence was really felt over the last few weeks as he recovered from a minor injury.

He came off the bench against Chelsea which would indicate that he should be fit enough to play from the start here. Cunha is yet to register his first goal contribution for Manchester United but his underlying numbers would suggest that a goal or an assist isn't too far away.

Cunha has had eight shots across his 237 minutes of Premier League football this season (3.04 per 90) with five of these efforts finding the target (1.90 per 90). These shot numbers have produced an xG of 0.83 for Cunha which is supported by the three chances he’s created in the Premier League this season.

Cunha registered 21 goal contributions across his 33 Premier League appearances last season and looks to be a perfect fit for a club like United with an arrogance which is obvious every time he steps onto the pitch.

Igor Thiago to Commit 3+ Fouls

Igor Thiago has had a few graveyard shifts already this season as Brentford have struggled to find any real momentum in the early stages of the season. This has naturally affected his foul numbers, I always like keeping an eye on the striker for fouls when a side is expected to line up in a low block - they’re often the only players that actually end up engaging with opposition players.

Thiago has committed 3+ fouls in three of his five Premier League appearances this season with the forward committing at least two in every game. This record gives this selection a fantastic chance when also considering that Thiago will be up against a back three here meaning that he will often be outnumbered when trying to chase long balls.

I’d also consider a card for Thiago if you’re looking into potential bookings for this clash, though my preference would be to back him for fouls when looking over his record at this stage of the season.

Brentford GK to make 4+ Saves

Kelleher has had a tough start in the Brentford net with just one clean sheet from his opening five games for the Bees. We’ve all seen Kelleher’s quality before when he stepped in for Alisson at Liverpool but it’s fair to say that he’s finding a consistent starting role is a bit more difficult to manage.

My reasoning for this selection mainly arises from watching United on a few occasions this season and noting that they can create chances with frequency, but taking them is still a challenge. Amorim’s side have averaged 4.40 shots on target per game across the opening five games of the Premier League season and have the highest expected goals tally (10.1) which has actually translated to just six Premier League goals.

Kelleher was forced into making four saves in Brentford’s most recent Premier League home game against Chelsea which ended in a 2-2 draw. I think United can test him to a similar degree with their impressive underlying attacking metrics so far this term.

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📂 Brentford v Man United Cheat Sheet

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📈 Brentford v Man United Form & Tactics

Brentford were disappointing in their 3-1 defeat against Fulham last time out. They opened the scoring via a mistake, thanks to a slack pass by Josh King, but failed to carry any real attacking threat other than that gifted moment.

Keith Andrews will be a tad concerned that Brentford have lost all three of their away matches so far this season against Nottingham Forest, Sunderland, and Fulham. Brentford’s early-season struggles are perhaps not that surprising when considering that they lost their two best attacking players and club captain over the summer window.

The positives for Brentford are that they’ve managed to score in each of their five Premier League matches, so there is a goal threat to build on, but the game management has to improve, though, or Brentford will end up with high-scoring games in which they are often on the wrong side of the result.

The away form is alarming, but Keith Andrews will have been pleased with the home displays so far, with a victory against Aston Villa and a draw against Chelsea. It’s clear that Brentford’s home games are going to be crucial should they be dragged into a relegation scrap.

Manchester United battled to a 2-1 win over Chelsea last time out, with ‘battle’ being the best word to describe the fixture. Rain was pouring down, and a messy start by Chelsea was cemented by Rob Sanchez’s early sending off, which changed the course of the game.

United did have to show fight as they themselves were reduced to 10 before the hour mark, but I think it was a matter of Chelsea being too cautious and showing their inexperience rather than a steely display by the Red Devils.

There’s always a lot of noise around United but they’ve avoided defeat in three of their five Premier League matches this season, which gives Amorim a base on which to build. He must win the next two games against Brentford and Sunderland or there would be a feeling of United being stagnant again after a promising result.


🏁 Ref Watch

Craig Pawson

Fouls pg

Yellows pg

Reds pg

Pens pg

26.25

2.25

0.25

0.25

Per game stats from Pawson's 4 games this season.


📊 Brentford v Man United Key Stats

  • Brentford have seen BTTS in four of their five Premier League matches this term.

  • Kevin Schade netted twice in this fixture last season and also scored in Brentford’s most recent home game against Chelsea.

  • Only West Ham (13) and Wolves (12) have conceded more goals than Brentford (10) in the Premier League this season.

  • Manchester United have not won at the Gtech Community Stadium since 2022.

  • Matheus Cunha is expected to return to the starting lineup while Casemiro is suspended following his sending off against Chelsea.

  • Manchester United have failed to win either of their away games so far this season against Fulham and Manchester City.


Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Keep up with our Football Betting Tips, Accumulator Tips, and Gem Bets, as well as Premier League Predictions for this week, on Andy's Bet Club. We also have more Brentford v Man United Betting Stats available.

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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