In this article…
Andy’s £2.50 Bet Builder Tips
Everything is still left to play for in the battle for European football next season and this London derby between Chelsea and West Ham will certainly add more chaos to the script.
We have put together two £2.50 punts, with one priced at 15/1 and the other at slightly bigger odds of 18/1.
As well as my £2.50 punts you can also see my expert’s Premier League betting tips with a bunch of betting previews, along with a Premier League accumulator.
The sign-up link allows you to back £2.50 Punt bet builder tips at these odds but also activates the sign-up offer which gives you £50 in free football bet builders regardless of the result. These free bets are issued as 5 x £10 free bets.
New Customer offer. Place a min £10 bet on Football on odds of min 1.5 (1/2), get £50 in Free Bet Builders after the qualifying bet has been settled. Rewards valid for 30 days. SMS verification required. Only deposits via cards will qualify (Apple Pay excluded). T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly.
Chelsea v West Ham
🏆
Competition: Premier League
📅
Kick Off: Sunday 5th May at 14:00
15/1 Chelsea v West Ham Punt
Bet builder predictions that are eligible for Paddy Power Super Sub will be marked with this emoji ‘🔄️’.
⚽ Jarrod Bowen to score or assist 🔄️
West Ham’s main man again this season, scoring 16 goals and registering 6 assists across his 32 Premier League matches, giving Bowen an average of 0.70 G+A per 90.
Finding his form once again with two goals and four assists in his last five games across all competitions. The only exception was his blank against Wolves when he was forced off in the 53rd minute with an injury. Bowen registered a goal and an assist against Liverpool last time out.
Shows good goal threat averaging 2.32 shots per 90 and 1.11 shots on target – the best numbers in both categories in this West Ham team.
Bowen has also picked up one goal and three assists in nine games against Chelsea.
🎯 Nicolas Jackson to have 2+ shots on target
Some strong attacking figures including 2.45 shots per 90 and 1.15 on target this season. Registered the second highest xG per 90 in this Chelsea squad, only narrowly behind Cole Palmer despite having half the number of goals.
Has hit the target twice in three of his last five matches across all competitions, including three timesagainst Man City in the FA Cup semi-final and two in midweek v Spurs.
West Ham have proved very vulnerable in defence in recent weeks, conceding seven or more shots on target in five of their last six across all competitions, including four consecutive Premier League matches.
🟨 Over 5.5 total cards
There is a history of intensity in this London derby with four or more yellows being distributed in four of the last six meetings between these two sides (5, 2, 6, 1, 4, 4). Three red cards were also brandished across those matchups, including a double yellow in the reverse fixture (technically seven total cards in that matchup).
Chelsea have the worst disciplinary record in the league, picking up 101 yellow cards during this Premier League season, averaging 3.06 bookings per 90. West Ham follow with 2.20 yellows per 90.
18/1 Chelsea v West Ham Punt
🩹 Moises Caicedo to be fouled 2+ times
Chelsea’s joint-second highest fouled player this season (49), drawing in 1.74 fouls per 90 this season. Combined with his 1.66 fouls committed per 90, Caicedo is a pivotal player in those midfield battles, especially with the absence of, his partner in crime, Enzo Fernandez.
Caicedo has been fouled 2+ times in five of his last seven Premier League games, accumulating an impressive 17 total fouls, which extends out to 12 of his last 18 across all competitions – he was fouled once in two of the exceptions.
He was fouled on five occasions against Aston Villa and four times midweek in the London derby with Spurs.
Facing up against an ill-disciplined West Ham midfield composed of Lucas Paqueta, Tomas Soucek and Edson Alvarez who commit 1.67, 1.25 and 1.21 fouls per 90 respectively.
🎯 Cole Palmer to have 2+ shots on target
Chelsea’s main asset in creating chances, Palmer possesses plenty of goal threat averaging 3.29 shots per 90 and 1.34 on target. He has amassed 43 shots and 16 on target over his last eight games in all competitions.
Palmer has hit the target 2+ times in seven of his last 11 games across all competitions, including in four of his last six in the Premier League, with a woodwork effort denying him this selection in midweek against Spurs.
He registered three or more shots on target in three consecutive games at Stamford Bridge before the midweek fixture.
🛑 Nicolas Jackson to commit 2+ fouls
Jackson has shown lots of fouling potential in recent weeks, committing 2+ fouls in three of his four games across all competitions, picking up a single foul against Spurs.
The third-highest fouler in the current Chelsea regular starting XI, averaging just shy of one foul per 90 in the Premier League.
Plenty of strong candidates on the West Ham team that could be fouled by Jackson, including Lucas Paqueta, Kalvin Phillips and Emerson Palmieri who draw in an average of 2.35, 1.47 and 0.99 fouls per 90.
Written by Andy Robson
18+ please gamble responsibly.