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Athletic Bilbao v Mallorca (Copa del Rey Final)
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Kick Off: Saturday 6th April at 21:00
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Competition: Copa del Rey – Final
The Copa del Rey final is the only Spanish football being played this weekend, and we’ve taken a deep dive into the clash between Athletic Club and Mallorca.
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Silverware will be up for grabs when Athletic Bilbao and Mallorca meet in the Copa del Rey final at the Estadio La Cartuja on Saturday night.
Bilbao have had a far from easy route to this season’s final, overcoming Barcelona in the quarter-finals and Atletico in the last round. Ernesto Valverde’s side breezed past Atletico in the semi-finals, winning 4-0 on aggregate.
Mallorca have also had a reasonably tough journey to the final, overcoming both Girona and Real Sociedad in the past two rounds. Javier Aguirre’s men were dominated by Real Sociedad in the semi-finals and were arguably lucky to progress to the final, winning 5-4 on penalties.
Athletic Club have impressed outside of this competition this season, currently sitting in fifth place in La Liga. Meanwhile, Mallorca have had a fairly disappointing league campaign, finding themselves just six points clear of the relegation zone with eight games remaining.
The two sides last met in February, with Athletic Bilbao comfortably winning 4-0 on home soil.
These Athletic Bilbao v Mallorca stats will provide an insight into what to expect from this meeting. If you plan to place a bet builder on this game, this is the place to find some key tips.
Athletic Bilbao v Mallorca Cheat Sheet
This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.
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🏆 Match stats: Athletic to get their hands on the trophy
Athletic Club are clearly the stronger outfit in this match-up. One thing that demonstrates this is the league positions of the two sides, with Athletic currently sitting in fifth and Mallorca finding themselves in 15th.
Valverde’s Athletic come into this match on the back of an impressive run in which they have won 13 of their last 19 matches across all competitions. It is worth noting that their only losses along this run have come against sides that sit in La Liga’s top eight.
Mallorca, have struggled against stronger opposition across all competitions this season, failing to win in six of their eight meetings with sides currently in La Liga’s top five.
Athletic have been the better side in both of their meetings with Mallorca this season, having a significantly greater share of possession and a higher expected goals tally than their opponents on both occasions. Everything points towards Athletic Club lifting the trophy here.
Predictions:
⚽ Athletic Bilbao to lift the trophy @ 1.29
🎯 Shooting stats: Inaki to cause problems
Athletic’s attacking prowess has been evident in both the league and cup this season, registering an average of 5.16 shots on target per game across the two competitions thus far.
One player who has played a key role in this is Athletic Club’s top scorer, Gorka Guruzeta. The Spanish striker has looked very dangerous in 2024, registering an average of 1 shot on target per game across his last ten starts. Guruzeta has scored seven times along this run.
Another influential contributor has been Inaki Williams. The Ghanian forward has also looked threatening in recent weeks, finding the target 1.33 times per game on average across his last six starts.
Both players have registered an average of 1 shot on target per game against Mallorca this season, and the bookies are offering a price of 1.25 for Inaki to find the target at least once.
Predictions:
⚽ Inaki Williams to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.25
🚩Corners stats: Expect plenty of corners
Only one Spanish top-flight side has taken more corners than Athletic Bilbao in domestic matches this season, with Valverde’s men forcing an average of 5.43 corners per match thus far.
Mallorca have been susceptible to leaking corners throughout this campaign, and this has shown in recent weeks, with Aguirre’s side facing an average of 5.86 corners per game across their last ten matches.
Athletic have taken an average of 5.5 corners per game across their two meetings with Mallorca this season.
Predictions:
⚽ Over 4.5 Athletic Bilbao corners @ 1.25
🟨 Cards stats: A feisty encounter in-store
Mallorca have picked up their fair share of cards in both the league and cup this season, accumulating an average of 2.89 cards per game thus far.
This average has been even higher in recent weeks, with Aguirre’s men amassing an average of 3.5 cards per game across their last eight outings.
One persistent culprit for Mallorca has been forward Cyle Larin, with the Canadian amassing eight cards in 17 league starts this season. It is worth noting that Larin has been carded in both of his last two appearances.
Athletic Bilbao have clearly made things difficult for their opponents to keep on the correct side of the referees in recent weeks, with opposing sides receiving an average of 2.5 bookings per game across their last eight matches.
Predictions:
⚽ Cyle Larin to be shown a card @ 4.50
⚽ Over 2.5 Mallorca cards @ 1.15
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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