Cagliari are averaging exactly 3.0 corners per game across their nine matches in Serie A this season. They’ve had three or more corners in five of their eight matches, with a further three of those games coming just one corner short of the line required here. 

Lazio aren’t the best when it comes to keeping the corner count down. They’re conceding 4.78 corners per game in Serie A this season, with this metric dropping slightly to 4.25 corners per game in their home matches. 

This aids our selection with Lazio conceding 3+ corners in eight of their nine matches in Serie A this season. The only exception in this run was their 4-0 win over Hellas Verona, in which they only conceded one corner.

Cagliari racked up three corners in this fixture last season, despite finishing the game with nine men after two red cards. They also managed to win seven corners in the most recent meeting between the sides, which Lazio won 2-1. It may be worth investigating some higher lines when it comes to Cagliari corners here, based on this bank of evidence.

Lazio won both head-to-head meetings between these sides last season by the same scoreline - 2-1. They were definitely deserved winners in this fixture last term as they registered an xG of 2.91 to Cagliari’s 0.24 from 20 shots, five of which managed to find the target. The away victory was a more laboured win, but Lazio still dominated the game in terms of the possession share (61%-39%).

Cagliari have only managed to win one of their four away games this season, with their main issue being a lack of clinical finishing to kill off games. They’re winless across their last five matches across all competitions, but have scored in three of those games. This tells us that while Cagliari may be able to carry an attacking threat here, and possibly even get on the scoresheet, they will ultimately be unable to see out a result due to a lack of end product. 

Lazio haven’t been at their best this season, but have won two of their four home games this season, losing just one of those matches. They’ve scored eight goals across these games, which is a scoring power that Cagliari will ultimately struggle to match. This should result in Lazio coming out on the right side of the result, as they did in both head-to-head meetings last season.