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Lazio v Napoli
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Kick Off: Saturday 15th February at 17:00
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Competition: Serie A
‘I Ciucciarelli’ travel to Rome on Saturday to take on Lazio in what promises to be yet another enthralling title-race contest. Napoli have failed to defeat Lazio in any of their last 4 Serie A clashes, which will provide Marco Baroni’s side with plenty of confidence heading into this one.
⭐ Lazio v Napoli Best Bet
Lazio are in 4th position and could do with points to cement their spot in the Champions League places. If they are to harbour any remaining title chances then this is a must-win game, they beat Napoli 1-0 earlier in the season so should have some confidence from that.
This is a Lazio side that has been scoring a lot of goals recently, including a 5-1 win vs Monza and a 3-0 win v Verona. The problem has been at the other end where they’ve kept just 1 clean sheet in 9 games and have conceded 15 goals in this period.
Napoli have also become less watertight and BTTS yes has hit in all of their last 4 Serie A fixtures. Odds of 1.80 are just too big to refuse and it covers the 1-1 draw that Napoli have produced in both of their last 2 games.
🟢 Lazio v Napoli #WhatOddsPaddy Tip
Lazio average 6.21 corners per game in Serie A and their matches overall a hefty 10.46 corners, meanwhile, Napoli average 5.79 corners per game and their fixtures average nearly 10 per match overall.
The likely formations here will be 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1, both systems offering plenty of width which should increase the chances of corners here. Udinese managed 3 corners in each half v Napoli last week, while Lazio have obtained at least 2 corners in 11 of their last 12 halves of competitive football played.
Odds of 20/1 look far too big for this outcome, this line is well within range for both teams and is backed by plenty of statistical and tactical support.
👕 Lazio v Napoli Predicted XI
🔍 Lazio v Napoli Players to Watch
⚪ Scott McTominay
Antonio Conte has been using the Scottish international as a very effective box-to-box midfielder, utilising his strengths. McTominay has scored 6 times in Serie A this term and averages 2.10 shots per game. More recently, he’s been very accurate and has taken 6 shots on target in his last 6 starts.
He has scored twice in this period and it feels like he’s getting offensively stronger the more this season progresses. Taking the former Man United man to have just 1 or more shots on target looks a generous price at 1.80.
⚪ Romelu Lukaku
Lukaku is an obvious goal-scoring threat for Napoli and he has thrived under Antonio Conte this season, scoring 9 times and supplying 6 assists in Serie A. He is another player worth backing in the dual market to score or assist, because his hold-up play goes under the radar.
Lukaku has over 80 career assists in all competitions and is very capable of laying off a ball to his teammates and acting unselfishly. He’s a proven goalscorer at Serie A level and can be relied on to hit the back of the net. With that additional assist option as a safety net, the odds of 2.30 look very appealing here.
🔵 Valentin Castellanos
The Argentinian striker has enjoyed a fine season, scoring 14 times in all competitions, and he is obviously a major weapon for Lazio upfront. He scored twice v Monza last week and against Cagliari in the previous round of fixtures. Confidence is high and he feels in great form.
Backing Castellanos to score anytime at 3.0 feels like great value, he’s by far the biggest Lazio threat and there’s also a chance he could be on penalty-taking duty, depending on who is on the field. This price is inflated, probably due to the opposition. But Napoli haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last 4 games so could be vulnerable.
📂 Lazio v Napoli Cheat Sheet
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💻 Lazio v Napoli Form and Tactics
Lazio have been inconsistent from December onwards in Serie A with 5 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in their last 11 games. However, 3 wins from their last 4, including a 5-1 success last week v Monza, suggest that they are back on the rise again.
Napoli are unbeaten in 9 straight Serie A games, but have drawn their last two v Roma and Udinese respectively. They have a strong 8-3-1 away record in the league and should operate in their usual 4-3-3 formation – which manager Antonio Conte has settled on.
Lazio generally operate in a 4-2-3-1 system which offers plenty of width and can be a mixture of direct football or possession-based play.
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🏁 Lazio v Napoli Ref Watch
- Referee: Davide Massa
| Average Cards (Y / R) | 4.20/ 0.10 |
| Fouls Given | 25.70 |
| Penalties | 0.30 |
📺 How to Watch Lazio v Napoli in Serie A
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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