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In this article…
Liverpool v Everton
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Date: Sunday 8th October
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Competition: Premier League
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Kick off: 14:00
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event
We are back from the international break with a bang as the early kick off on Saturday features none other than the Merseyside derby, where Liverpool are hosting Everton.
This fixture has always been a great one to both watch and have a punt on. Over the last two seasons there has been an average of 5.5 cards in this fixture, and that’s just a taste of what this match has to offer.
This article will aim to break down the key stats behind this game and compile them into two bet builder levels, using the Liverpool v Everton Cheat Sheet.
We have prepared two exciting bet builder selections for this encounter. The Level 1 bet comes in at odds of 3/1 while the Level 2 bet builder is priced at 10/1.
*Bet links only appears on mobile
If you fancy a full breakdown of bet builder stats, head over to the Opta-powered Bet Builder Stats section of our website. It’s available for all Premier League, English Championship, Spanish La Liga, German Bundesliga, Italian Serie A, and French Ligue 1 matches this weekend, meaning that we have you covered for your Liverpool v Everton bet builder.
You can check out over £300 of free bets here, but we’re backing our bet builder on Betfair, to take advantage of the extremely generous sign-up offer below. Sign up to Betfair, back our 10/1 bet builder with £10, and you’ll get £107 cash in hand if it wins AND £40 in free football bet builders. It’s easy to set up – just click the banner below.
Liverpool unbeaten at Anfield
Liverpool have had a strong start to their campaign this season, currently sat in 4th place. Their record at home has been perfect thus far, and they go into this match unbeaten at home. Further, in each game they have played at Anfield, The Reds have scored at least three goals and managed a minimum of seven corners. Everton will certainly have their work cut out.
Their main goal threat this season has once again been Mohamed Salah, who found the back of the net twice in his last game against Brighton. The Egyptian maestro has a very strong record against The Toffees, having had four goal contributions over his last four games against them, including one from this stunning counter attack play:
Liverpool team news
Jurgen Klopp will have to address a number of potential injury issues ahead of Saturday, including Andy Robertson who is set to be out till mid November following a shoulder injury during the international break. This likely means that Kostas Tsimikas will start Saturday.
Also set to miss the game is Curtis Jones who is serving the second game of his three match suspension after picking up a red card against Tottenham. Ryan Gravenberch may well be given his first Premier League start as a result. As for their attack, The Reds look set to feature Darwin Nunez and Luis Diaz alongside Salah, especially seeing as Cody Gakpo is side-lined with an ankle injury.
Everton’s xG is through the roof
Everton currently sit in second place in the league if it were ranked by expected goals.
Yes, you read that right.
In fact the only team to have a higher xG rank than The Toffees this season are today’s hosts, meaning this game should be full of goals.
The main man raking in the expected goals for Sean Dyche at the moment is Abdoulaye Doucoure, with an xG stat of 4.28. He has been playing a more advanced role this season, almost as a secondary striker, and was rewarded with a goal in their last game against Bournemouth.
Credit: Fantasy Football Fix
Everton team news
Sean Dyche has a much easier job in deciding how his team will line-up, especially off the back of a 3-0 victory last time out. Dyche has opted for the same defence in his last four games, with centre back pairing Jarrad Branthwaite and James Tarkowski forming an impressive partnership.
Seamus Coleman and Dele Alli are both expected to remain on the side-lines following picking up a knee and hip injury respectively.
There was also minor concern forming over Idrissa Gana Gueye’s availability following him picking up an injury during the warm-up of their last game, however he is expected return on Saturday.
Liverpool v Everton Cheat Sheet
Here it is. The Liverpool v Everton Cheat Sheet. All the stats used later in this article, and much more, can be found on the Cheat Sheet; everything ranging from player passes attempted to the average number of corners a team concedes.
The two levels bets below have also been carefully selected from a combination of player form, historical averages, and the perceived value of the selection. Again, should any of the levels peak your interest, then take advantage of Betfair’s incredible sign-up offer by placing £10 on level 1 or 2, and then see the £40 in free bets roll into your account.
For more extensive bet builder info, make sure to head over to our Bet Builder Stats page, where we have Opta-powered statistical breakdowns of major leagues across the UK and Europe, including the Liverpool v Everton game.
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ABC’s 3/1 Liverpool v Everton bet builder
🏆 Liverpool to win
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Odds: 1.25
The Reds will be aiming to extend their unbeaten run at home on Saturday, and all the stats behind this game support this happening.
From all the matches these teams have played since 2010, Liverpool have only lost once when playing at home, and given they are currently 14 games unbeaten at Anfield, they look very likely to win in this Merseyside derby.
*Click the drop-down arrow to view full bet research
⚽ Over 2.5 goals
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Odds: 1.40
This selection has landed in all but one of Liverpool’s Premier League games so far this season, a 1-1 draw in their season opener at Stamford Bridge.
As for The Toffees, there has been over 2.5 match goals in five out of their eight games played so far. Further, given that the two sides rank first and second in terms of expected goals created this season, this match should be full of action.
*Click the drop-down arrow to view full bet research
🚩 Over 9.5 corners
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Odds: 1.50
Both teams are currently on fire in terms of corners. According to the Cheat Sheet, The Reds have been averaging eleven corners per game (5.88 for and 5.12 against). The story is largely the same for Everton with an average of 10.62 corners (5.62 for and 5.00 against).
*Click the drop-down arrow to view full bet research
🚀 Abdoulaye Doucoure to have 1+ shots
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Odds: 1.20
Abdoulaye Doucoure has been the Toffees star man this season, and currently sits in second place in terms of average shots on target (1.33). He has also been averaging 2.13 shots per game, meaning a price of 1/5 for just the one shot is hard to pass up on. Here’s what Dyche had to say about his goal last time out against Bournemouth:
“When Doucoure scored, I have been around the game all my life and have played some big games, that was the highest level of volume I have ever heard.” (Source: BBC Sounds)
*Click the drop-down arrow to view full bet research
*Bet link only available on mobile
ABC’s 10/1 Liverpool v Everton bet builder
🏆 Liverpool to win
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Odds: 1.25
Liverpool’s team is, bluntly put, leaps and bounds beyond the quality of Everton’s side. Their predicted starting front three of Salah, Nunez, and Diaz have a higher market value than the entire of their rivals’ starting XI they put out last game. The hosts are priced to win at 3/10, and have an implied probability of 76.9% to win the match.
*Click the drop-down arrow to view full bet research
⚽ Over 2.5 goals
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Odds: 1.40
As above, Liverpool and Everton games both regularly go over this line (7/8 and 5/8 games so far this season respectively).
One big reason for this from a Liverpool POV is the Egyptian King Mo Salah. Salah has had a goal involvement in each of his home Premier League games since January this year. This has averaged out at 0.71 goals and 0.23 assists across his career. Mental. All eyes will certainly be on Salah for a goal contribution on Saturday to take this game over the 2.5 goal line.
*Click the drop-down arrow to view full bet research
🚩 Over 11.5 corners
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Odds: 2.40
Selection three sees us take the over corners selection to over 11.5. This would have landed in three out of the last four Merseyside derbies. Across these three games in question there were 16, 14, and 14 corners respectively. Given the historical data and that corners are big parts of both manager’s games, a price of 7/5 is very attractive for this selection.
*Click the drop-down arrow to view full bet research
🎯 Abdoulaye Doucoure to have 1+ shots on target
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Odds: 2.40
The Blues’ top scorer so far this season is Doucoure, who has bagged three goals over his eight starts. His goals began to roll in at the end of last season, where he bagged three over the last four games, two of which came from their shock 5-1 victory over Brighton. He seems to be the most likely candidate for the visitors to be able to register a shot on target.
*Click the drop-down arrow to view full bet research
*Bet link only available on mobile
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets *
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing
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