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Man City v Newcastle
Man City face their first real test in defending the Premier League title on Saturday night after cruising past Burnley 3-0 on gameweek one. Erling Haaland scored twice last week at Turf Moor – taking only six minutes to score the first goal of the 2023/24 campaign with a nicely worked team move. His second saw him fire one into the top corner in true Haaland fashion. Rodri then added his name to the scoresheet, carrying on where he left off in last season’s Champions League final.
Newcastle also breezed past their opponents, Aston Villa, in a 5-1 rout at St James’ Park. Alexander Isak was the main man in this bout, bagging twice and picking up the Player of the Match award. For those FPL fans amongst you, over 400,000 managers have brought in Isak following his first game – the most out of any player on the app.
Based on both City and Newcastle’s opening games, Saturday’s match should be a great watch. City’s clash with Burnley saw 23 shots, and Newcastle’s 33. There were also eight yellows and one red card across their respective matches, meaning there were many winners from our world-famous Cheat Sheets. This article will help you navigate our Cheat Sheet ahead of Saturday evening, giving you the full insight into the Man City v Newcastle stats.
Man City Stats: Tricky City could be a handful for The Magpies
When you think of players drawing fouls in the Premier League, Jack Grealish instantly springs to mind. The man with the calves looks to be a nailed-on starter despite playing midweek in the Super Cup, following Kevin de Bruyne’s injury news. Last season the Brummie drew an average of 3.42 fouls per game.
City also have the likes of Phil Foden, Julian Alvarez, and Haaland who regularly draw fouls and frustrate their opposition’s defence. City players were fouled 25 times (12.5 per game) whilst playing Newcastle last season – six of which were on Grealish and he only played one of the two games. This was higher than their season average of 10.6 fouls per game.
Given Newcastle’s high fouling tendencies, picking up an average of 10.7 fouls and 1.8 yellows per game last season, City could be too much for Newcastle to handle legally on Saturday. It is noteworthy that the Magpies picked up four yellows in each game against City last year. Newcastle are priced at 1.83 to receive the most cards in the match, and 2.20 to repeat history with three or more cards.
Newcastle Stats: Corners to keep flowing under Howe
Newcastle love a corner. In fact, the Magpies recorded the highest amount of corners taken last season with 270, an average of 7.11 per game. With the highest team corners, Kieran Trippier naturally had the highest individual player corners as well, taking a whopping 216. The next highest was James Ward-Prowse – almost incomparable with only 145.
Against Man City, Newcastle did not disappoint on corners either, despite City only conceding an average of 2.5 corners each game last year. Across both home and away matches last season, Newcastle saw five corners at St James’ Park and four at The Etihad. Trippier took eight of the nine corners.
These stats naturally lend themselves to certain betting markets. Newcastle are attractively priced to have corners Saturday evening at 1.22 for three or more and 1.60 for four or more. A Trippier assist would be a good shout too, seeing he is the man taking the bulk of Newcastle’s corner kicks.
Man City v Newcastle Cheat Sheet
Our Cheat Sheets are an essential tool for any bettor looking to find value in the market.
It does what it says on the tin – a sheet of stats that has been designed to give you a deeper understanding of the game ahead. From fouls committed to average team corners, the sheet has everything you could possibly want to know prior to placing a bet. During this article, we will be breaking down the major elements of the Man City v Newcastle Cheat Sheet.
🎯 Man City Offensive Stats: Do you know d’El Wey?
Phil Foden looks to be nailed on to start this Saturday, with the de Bruyne situation and with Bernardo Silva likely to be out. The 23-year-old winger had 16 goal involvements over 22 starts last season, averaging over one shot on target per game. This ranked him the third highest of any City player.
Against Newcastle last year, Foden started both games and recorded a shot on target in one, and two in the other, as well as bagging a goal. Additionally, Foden recorded 2.25 shots per game, again the third-highest of any City player. You can back Foden to have any goal involvement for 2.25 or a shot on target for 1.44.
🎯 Newcastle Offensive Stats: Super Swede bags a brace
Alexander Isak bagged twice in the opening weekend of the Premier League against a fairly shaky-looking Villa side. Last season Isak averaged 1.36 shots on target and 2.9 shots per match, he was also often Newcastle’s choice from the spot. The 23-year-old averaged a goal involvement in every two starts, scoring ten goals and assisting one. However, with Newcastle’s strengthened squad and the first game showing he is not goal-shy, the 2023/24 season could be even more lucrative for Isak.
He is priced fairly generously at 1.44 to have a shot on target, and 3.75 to put the ball in the back of the net. This being said City will be a tough task for the Magpies, but if anyone is going to beat Ederson on Saturday it will most likely be Isak.
🛑 Man City Defensive Stats: Rodri looks the most likely candidate for a foul
Every punter’s least favourite game to play is Pep Roulette. However, with de Bruyne injured and Silva out this week, we have the edge in Guardiola’s game. It is likely that he will play John Stones (78% chance) and Rodri (94% chance – stats from Fantasy Football Fix) in the defensive midfield spots against Newcastle. The latter of the pair draws the most attention using the Man City v Newcastle Cheat Sheet stats.
Rodri averaged 1.46 fouls per game last season, the highest of any Man City player. He also committed at least one foul in both outings against the Magpies last season. He is likely to be tasked with defending against Guimarães at the weekend – who drew 2.74 fouls per game last season. Again, in both games last season he won at least one foul.
You can back Rodri to commit one or more fouls at 1.17 – a great selection to add value to a bet builder. The Spanish international is also 2.8 to commit one or more fouls in each half, which could prove to be an exciting punt.
🛑 Newcastle Defensive Stats: Brazilian midfield duo to continue card streak?
Using the Man City v Newcastle Cheat Sheet, the two players with the most yellow cards for Newcastle were Joelinton and Bruno Guimarães. The Brazilian partnership picked up 12 and seven yellow cards respectively. On top of this, they committed 2.2 and 1.5 fouls per match. In summary, they’re dirty.
In fact, they were both carded in both home and away matches against City last season with Joelinton accumulating six fouls and Bruno Guimarães five. If you needed any further stats to convince you these two are the likely candidates for cards on Saturday, Guimarães picked up a yellow card and Joelinton two fouls in their season opener against Villa. They won this game comfortably 5-1.
Joelinton is priced at 3.3 for a yellow card, and given he is only 1.40 to commit 2+ fouls this is a very attractive price. Guimarães is 3.6 for a booking or 1.91 for 2+ fouls committed.
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