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Sunday’s 11/1 NFL RedZone Accumulator Tips & Best Bets

Sunday’s 11/1 NFL RedZone Accumulator Tips & Best Bets

NFL
Starting: Sun 21st Sep, 18:00
Thursday 18 September, 20251 min read
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Stuart Durst

Stuart Durst is a professional gambler that has publicity released free plays over the last 3 years, publishing thousands of in-depth articles in the process. With a direct focus on the ever-expanding player prop market, he blends film study and data analytics to constantly find edges across multiple major sports. When he’s not betting sports, he’s likely either live on his podcast Pass The Prop or walking his dog Reno.

Back our 11/1 NFL RedZone Accumulator

🏈 Los Angeles Rams (+3.5) Handicap (v Philadelphia Eagles)
🏈 Over 44.5 Points in Las Vegas Raiders v Washington Commanders
🏈 Jacksonville Jaguars Moneyline (v Houston Texans)
🏈 Cincinnati Bengals (+3.5) Handicap (v Minnesota Vikings)

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Fixtures for: Sunday 21st September

Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles

18:01

Los Angeles Rams (+3.5) Handicap @ 1.90

The Rams @ Eagles matchup profiles to be a close game, and I think the Rams are very live underdogs in a play-off rematch. Both of these teams are 2-0, but neither has looked near their full potential yet. Both teams have been tested with some tough defenses, but seeing the Rams take care of business against the Texans' top 3 defense was a good sign that they can move the ball on the Eagles. 

The Eagles have a clear weakness in their secondary, and the Rams have two fantastic wide receivers in Davante Adams and Puka Nacua to take advantage of. Even if Mitchell shuts down Adams on the outside, Stafford will aggressively attack Nacua in the slot. The Rams haven't allowed a 15-yard rush yet, but will get their toughest test in Saquon Barkley. I think the Rams will sell out to stop the run and force Hurts to beat them through the air, which is a recipe for success. 

The Rams' defense has also been one of the most impressive units this season, especially the pass rush led by Jared Verse. The Eagles haven't been the most impressive offense thus far, and I think they have a pretty big fall-off with offensive coordinators this off-season. In a lower-scoring game, I’ll take a play-off contender like the Rams, who have looked good thus far.

Las Vegas Raiders @ Washington Commanders

18:01

Over 44.5 Points @ 1.90

While Washington might be without star quarterback Jayden Daniels, they do have one of the best backup quarterbacks in Marcus Mariota, who should be able to operate that system well. Both quarterbacks are mobile, and Washington paid Mariota $8 million for a reason this off-season. When he was called to action against the Cowboys, he looked very impressive, going 15-18 with 161 yards and two touchdowns after Daniels went down. They scored 23 points, and I would trust Mariota to get them in that range again with all the weapons they have in the passing game. 

Neither of these defenses are very good, but Washington's is especially bad. Geno Smith is a gunslinger, and while a zone-heavy Chargers team got the best of him in primetime, his aggressive tendencies should be on full display against a secondary that plays a lot of man coverage. Washington also struggled heavily with motion last week, which the Raiders were using plenty to draw up deep shots. I have a lot of confidence in both of these offenses, and I think the over will be very live even without Daniels.

Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars

18:01

Jacksonville Jaguars Moneyline @ 1.73

If you read my pre-season futures, then you would know I’m high on the Jaguars to win the AFC South this season. With the Jaguars already coming in with a better record, this could be a huge way to put the pre-season favourites in a tough hole to get out of. Through two weeks, the Jaguars have looked like the more well-rounded team, and I just see more paths to victory. 

One of the biggest things new head coach Liam Coen brought over from the Buccaneers was an active screen game. When you're facing a defense that forces you to get the ball out extremely quickly, you tend to lean on short passing anyway. Having a coach who specialises his offenses in countering these quick-pressure reliant defenses definitely feels like a plus for this matchup. 

The Texans still don't have a rushing game, and I just don't trust their offense enough to keep up with the Jaguars this weekend.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Minnesota Vikings

18:01

Cincinnati Bengals (+3) Handicap @ 1.90

This is another one of my favorite matchups, with two backup quarterbacks facing off already. Both Carson Wentz and Jake Browning are in the same category of backup, and both coaching staffs have good experience getting the most out of backup quarterbacks. The Vikings are dealing with injuries not only to the quarterback room but also to Aaron Jones at RB, and some depth pieces as well. Everyone is expecting Carson Wentz to stabilise an offense that JJ McCarthy struggled in, but what if the Vikings are just regressing a bit without Sam Darnold? I don't have a lot of faith in either of these teams long-term, and I definitely don't think the Vikings should be field goal favourites. 

In a battle between two teams that could look really bad, I’ll take the team that's a field goal underdog. I don't think anyone can say with confidence how either of these guys are going to look off the bench, but I really don't get why this game isn’t a pick’em. The Vikings have the better defense, but their cover-2 heavy defence wants you to check the ball down quickly, which is really all Browning wants to do anyway. The Vikings' defense just looked lacklustre in primetime, and the Bengals are still absolutely loaded with talented offensive players. I expect their offense to still look somewhat functional, and not only give them a chance to cover, but also win this game outright.

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