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West Ham v Tottenham 4/1 Bet Builder Tips, Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

West Ham v Tottenham 4/1 Bet Builder Tips, Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Thursday 11 September, 20253 min read
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Ramis Ibrahim

Avid football writer and Premier League specialist. Meticulous eye for player prop bets across English, European and International football honed over four years in football analysis.

West Ham welcome Tottenham to the London Stadium, hoping to make amends for their 5-1 defeat to Chelsea in their most recent home game. I've picked out a bet builder and a longshot treble for the match.

These recommended Best Bet Builder Bookmakers are worth a look for the weekend.

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West Ham v Tottenham Best Bet Builder Bets
  • West Ham v Tottenham
  • Premier League
  • 17:30
4 Selections @ 5.30

Jarrod Bowen to have 1+ Shots on Target

Bowen is the only West Ham attacker that I trust to find the target regularly, he’s been carrying the Hammers on his back for years and rarely gets the plaudits he deserves for his talent and consistency.

Bowen has had seven shots across his three Premier League appearances so far this season (2.33 per 90), with three of those attempts finding the target (1.00 per 90). This record has returned one goal in the Premier League for Bowen.

Bowen netted 13 goals for West Ham last season, which was an impressive tally considering that the East London side finished just above the relegation zone last season. He had 37 shots on target across his 34 Premier League appearances last season (1.12 per 90). 

Bowen had three shots in this fixture last season, with two of those attempts finding the target and one ending up in the back of the net. 

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Malick Diouf to have 1+ Shots

Diouf has been really bright for West Ham so far, his delivery into the box is impeccable and has resulted in two assists for the 20-year-old so far this season.

He’s had three shots across his three Premier League appearances so far, with all of those efforts coming in the opening game of the season as West Ham fell to a 3-0 defeat on the road against Sunderland. 

His forward-thinking nature makes him a good option to back for shots, even though these haven’t materialised since the opening game of the season. Diouf can still get shots away with the licence he is given to push high up the pitch by Graham Potter.

Diouf netted seven goals across his 27 appearances in the Czech Liga last season, so he does have an eye for goal.

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Pape Sarr to be Fouled 1+ Times

Pape Sarr is a player who is crucial to how Thomas Frank wants to play. Not many players have the energy reserves of Pape Sarr, he’s the engine in the middle of the park for Tottenham and has a strong record when it comes to winning fouls for the North Londoners.

Sarr has won four fouls across his three Premier League appearances so far this season (1.41 per 90). He won 35 fouls across his 22 starts in the Premier League last season (1.65 per 90), which further supports the suggestion that he regularly finds himself in advantageous positions to win fouls.

Sarr contested 18 duels and was fouled three times in this fixture last season. West Ham committed 18 fouls on that occasion, which isn’t a massive surprise when considering that only Newcastle and Aston Villa won more fouls than Tottenham in the Premier League last season.

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Tottenham Over 1.5 Cards

This is a London derby that usually has plenty of steel to it. West Ham see Tottenham as their main rivals in the Premier League, their fans will demand that they turn up, especially at home. 

Tottenham received two yellow cards in this fixture last season and have picked up two or more cards in their last two Premier League outings against Bournemouth and Manchester City.

The referee for this game is Jarred Gillett, who averages 3.78 yellow cards per game across his 65 Premier League appointments. This is likely to increase here, seeing as the game is a derby, Tottenham also now have plenty of players who could be candidates for a booking.

The likes of Joao Palhinha, Rodrigo Bentancur and Cristian Romero can all lose their temper at times, and there is also the small matter of Mohammed Kudus coming back to his former club with a fanbase that didn’t take his exit well. 

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West Ham v Tottenham Best Longshot Bets
  • West Ham v Tottenham
  • Premier League
  • 17:30
3 Selections @ 50.00

Mohammed Kudus to be Shown a Card

This selection has a massive narrative aspect to it. Mohammed Kudus left West Ham over the summer to join Tottenham, which is a move, to many Hammers fans, that is a cardinal sin. His departure has not gone down well with many at the club, and you can expect him to be greeted by a chorus of boos on Saturday evening.

Kudus is the exact model of a player who could lose his head in this sort of scenario. We saw this last year against Tottenham when Kudus was sent off for a headbutt on his now team-mate, Micky Van de Ven. The intense atmosphere of Saturday night could bring out another display of petulance from the winger.

Kudus only picked up two yellow cards in the Premier League last season, but I expect this tally to increase this year with how he’s being asked to play. He’s very aggressive in the first phase of Tottenham’s press, and the added emotion surrounding this game for Kudus could tip him over the boundary required to pick up a caution. 

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Mateus Fernandes to be Shown a Card

I really like Fernandes as a player, I'm not completely sold on the price tag or if West Ham is the right place for his development, but at the very least, he will improve West Ham’s midfield and give them an extra bit of quality.

Fernandes contested 11 duels on his West Ham debut against Nottingham Forest before the international break. He was fouled on three occasions and committed one foul himself. 

He is quite an aggressive player, Fernandes committed 46 fouls across his 36 Premier League appearances last season (1.42 per 90), which was a record that produced eight yellow cards for the 21-year-old. 

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Cristian Romero to have 1+ Shots

Romero was already a massive shot threat from corners and set pieces for Tottenham, but that has become even more prominent now that Thomas Frank is in charge. 

From Frank’s first proper game in charge of Tottenham (Super Cup final), it was clear that he was going to make more of set pieces than Ange Postecoglou did at Spurs.

Romero hasn’t had a shot in the Premier League yet this season, but I’m confident that the chances will start to come for the Argentinian, seeing as Tottenham now clearly work on set pieces. 

Romero had 16 shots across his 18 Premier League appearances last season (1.01 per 90). This record only returned one goal; Romero is capable of reaching around five goals across the season with the aerial threat he offers - he reached this tally in the 23/24 season.

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📈 West Ham v Tottenham Form & Tactics

Graham Potter really needed that 3-0 win at the City Ground before the international break. The victory has given him some time to try and get more out of this West Ham squad, which does have plenty of talent but looks to be a poorly collated group of players.

This isn’t really Potter’s fault, he’s been let down by a lack of direction above him, which has led to disjointed recruitment, as was the case for West Ham last summer. Potter will be hoping that the win at the City Ground can be the catalyst for West Ham to push on and rise up the table, but he’ll be cautious of what happened at the London Stadium a few weeks ago against Chelsea.

West Ham did make some late moves in the transfer window to aid their chances of a decent season this time around, with Igor Julio and Soungoutou Magassa coming through the door, but it’s not yet clear if this duo will actually improve the squad.

Thomas Frank’s side suffered a bit of a setback just before the international break as they lost 1-0 to Bournemouth at home. In fairness, this result was more about the brilliance of Bournemouth rather than the lack of quality from Tottenham. 

The Cherries pressed Tottenham into oblivion and didn’t even let Thomas Frank’s side have a shot in the first half. Tottenham are already more organised than they were last season, and the introduction of Xavi Simons should help to ease the creativity issues they face at the moment in the absence of James Maddison and Dejan Kulusevski.


📊 West Ham v Tottenham Key Stats

  • West Ham have conceded 11 goals across their four matches so far this season in all competitions.

  • West Ham recorded their first victory of the season just before the international break with a 3-0 win at the City Ground.

  • West Ham have avoided defeat against Tottenham in six of the nine clashes between the sides in the Premier League at the London Stadium. 

  • Tottenham’s new signings in Xavi Simons and Randal Kolo Muani could be in line for their debuts here.

  • Tottenham won their only away game of the season so far against Manchester City (2-0).

  • Tottenham have already kept two clean sheets this season; they only need four more to match their clean sheet total from the entirety of last season.


🏁 Ref Watch

Jarred Gillett

Fouls pg

Yellows pg

Reds pg

Pens pg

20.09

3.78

0.06

0.26

Per game stats from Jarred Gillett's 65 career Premier League games.


Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Andy's Bet Club is packed full of Expert Football Tips. We also have an easy-to-use Bet Builder Stats tool to help you conduct your own research. Look out for our Premier League Predictions, including gameweekly Premier League Acca Tips this season.

Don't forget about our Accumulator Tips and Gem Bets, and especially these West Ham v Tottenham Betting Stats.

Our Saturday offering includes: Shots Acca Tips, Team Shots Predictions, a Premier League Hit Rates Bet Builder, Cards Betting Tips and an Arsenal v Nottingham Forest Bet Builder.

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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