On the back of the best week that Coventry City has had in some time, there is another big game to contend with.

Sheffield United also had a good week; their fans will have especially enjoyed the idea of relegating their biggest rivals, and they did so in a match that went BTTS-Yes, allowing Wednesday the first goal that they had managed to score in weeks. The ill discipline of Kalvin Phillips didn’t help them, but in truth, their foot had already come off the pedal by the time Phillips was sent off.

Coventry continue to average over 2 xG per match this season, and whilst this drops to 1.86 when playing away from home, Coventry also concede more chances and more goals away from home, which helps our angle.

Indeed, until a 2-0 win at West Brom at the weekend, Coventry had seen BTTS-Yes come in in six away matches in a row, so it has been a profitable angle in Coventry away games of late. Coventry have also scored in 13 of their last 14 away games as well.

United have seen BTTS-Yes land in six consecutive matches as well. They create over 2 xG per match at home as well, and they have scored in 10 in a row, scoring three or more in seven of those 10.

Birmingham have become more impressive since adding some more firepower to their squad in January. They now have more quality in the first XI as well as depth in the squad to throw different looks at their opponents, and it has been successful.

They have scored in nine of their last ten matches in all competitions, and even their Achilles' Heel this season, their away form, has totally turned in their favour. They have won four of their last five away in all competitions, scoring in all five.

Millwall obviously still have home advantage, though, and we know how strong a home team they have been over the years. Even a poor display at The Den last time out saw them score in a 1-3 defeat to Portsmouth.

The Lions have scored at least once in each of their last nine matches, and in 12 of their last 13 home matches. However, they are also prone to conceding; four of their last five at home have ended BTTS-Yes.

There's no doubt that it was a difficult day for Sheffield Wednesday on Sunday as they finally suffered their inevitable relegation, but it would've hurt extra for it to have been confirmed by defeat to their bitter city rivals.

What concerns me is that there would have been an awful lot of emotional energy, as well as physical energy, spent on that match on Sunday, only three days ago. Norwich have had a day longer to prepare and are in much better shape in general anyway.

Phillipe Clement has instigated a turnaround in fortunes for the Canaries, and they look especially improved going forward, which, for a handicap bet, is something that we really need.

Gabriel Otegbayo received a red card on Sunday, and he had become a mainstay of Wednesday’s central defence. When you add his suspension to their injury list, then it is another issue for Henrik Pedersen to deal with.

Norwich covered the -1 handicap against Blackburn Rovers recently, and also did it against QPR. For a team that lost their first seven home matches of the season, Norwich have now recovered to actually have a positive xG differential at home for the first time this season.

It would be fair to say that momentum is not with Stoke City at the moment. Indeed, they are back in a very familiar position in lower mid-table, a position in which they have finished in all seven seasons that they have been in the Championship since relegation from the Premier League in 2018.

This inertia has even affected Mark Robins now, and pressure is growing on his reign. The Bet365 Stadium is not necessarily the most supportive arena to play in at the moment, as a result, and for Stoke to be odds on in any match (bar Sheffield Wednesday) seems a bit of a trap.

Especially when we consider that Oxford seem to have found a formula for keeping things very tight on the road. They drew 0-0 at Middlesbrough at the weekend, which followed a 0-0 at Coventry as well. In theory, this should be an easier assignment, but Oxford need to start picking up maximum points before they get cut adrift.

Stoke actually have a negative xG differential at home in the league this season, so taking the opposite side of the odds-on for them to win seems like a good value play.