Marten De Roon has been a consistent presence in Atalanta’s midfield, playing virtually every minute this season. In Serie A, he averages 1.69 fouls per game, a solid indicator of his combative style. Though his Champions League average drops to 1 foul per game, the smaller sample size makes this figure less reliable.

Importantly, De Roon will face Young Boys’ Imeri, a player who draws fouls effectively—averaging 1.67 fouls per game in the Champions League and 1.5 per game in the Swiss league. Given De Roon’s role in breaking up play and Imeri’s ability to draw contact, this bet has strong potential.

Young Boys have been among the most ill-disciplined teams in the Champions League this season, committing 14 fouls per game, far above Atalanta’s average of 9.25 fouls per game.

This aggressiveness translates to disciplinary action, with Young Boys averaging 3.3 cards per game, more than double Atalanta’s 1.5 cards per game. With the Swiss side struggling defensively against higher-quality opponents, frustration and late challenges could further inflate their card count, making this selection highly probable.

Atalanta’s attacking style naturally generates corners, as evidenced by their 4.75 corners per game average in the Champions League. This has come against strong opposition, highlighting their ability to maintain offensive pressure.

On the other side, teams facing Young Boys have averaged a staggering 9.25 corners per game in the competition, showcasing Young Boys’ struggles in keeping opponents out of their defensive third. Atalanta’s high-octane attack is likely to exploit these weaknesses, pushing their corner count beyond the threshold.

Atalanta are in scintillating form, sitting second in Serie A and boasting the league’s most potent attack with 34 goals in 13 matches. After a slow start to the season, they’ve won seven consecutive league games and nine of their last ten across all competitions.

Their confidence and form stand in stark contrast to Young Boys, who are enduring a disastrous campaign. The Swiss champions, typically dominant, find themselves languishing in 9th place domestically, with just one goal scored and four heavy losses in the Champions League.

Atalanta’s form, coupled with Young Boys’ decline, makes this selection the most straightforward of the lot.

Young Boys have demonstrated a lack of discipline in the Champions League, averaging 3.3 cards per game—a reflection of their struggle against stronger opposition. Their physical approach is also evident in their 14 fouls per game average.

Adding further weight to this selection is the presence of referee Manfredas Lukjančukas, a strict official who issued 149 yellow cards in 27 matches last season, averaging 5.5 cards per game. With Young Boys likely to commit persistent fouls against Atalanta’s dynamic attackers, this bet offers solid value.

Ugrinić has been a mainstay for Young Boys, playing almost every minute in both the Champions League and Swiss Super League. He averages 1 foul per game, a figure that could easily rise in this matchup.

Facing Atalanta’s Éderson, a midfielder who draws 2 fouls per game in the Champions League, Ugrinić is likely to be heavily involved in breaking up play. With Young Boys expected to be chasing the game, his chances of committing multiple fouls increase further, making this a well-justified selection.

Young Boys have one of the weakest defenses in the Champions League, having conceded 11 goals in 4 games, and allowing opponents to average 7 shots on target per game.

Atalanta, on the other hand, possess Serie A’s most prolific attack and average 5.85 shots on target per game in the Champions League despite facing strong opposition. Given Young Boys’ defensive frailty, Atalanta’s relentless attacking approach is well-suited to surpass this mark.

While Atalanta are likely to dominate possession and control the game, Young Boys will still have opportunities to test their defence, especially playing at home. They’ve averaged 2.25 shots on target per game in the Champions League and will be desperate to salvage some pride.

Atalanta, despite their strong defensive record, have conceded an average of 3.4 shots on target per game across Serie A and the Champions League. These factors make it reasonable to expect Atalanta’s goalkeeper to be called into action at least twice.