Barcelona’s attacking prowess ensures they pepper opposition goalkeepers with attempts. Averaging 6.91 shots on target per game across all competitions, they have recorded at least five in 37 of their 45 matches this season, including each of their last eleven. Their away record remains impressive at 6.63 per game (across all competitions), hitting the mark in each of their last eleven road fixtures.

While Atlético are typically resolute defensively, they have struggled against elite attacking units. This season, they have conceded six, nine, and seven shots on target in their three encounters with Barcelona, while Paris Saint-Germain—another high-calibre offensive side—managed nine against them. Expect Barcelona to reach this mark again with relative ease.

Barcelona’s relentless attacking style translates to a consistent stream of corners. Away from home, they average 4.88 per game across all competitions, hitting the four-corner mark in seven of their last eight away fixtures. Meanwhile, Atlético concede an average of 3.98 corners per match this season, with nine of their last ten opponents reaching at least 4. Crucially, in their three meetings with Atlético this season, Barcelona have registered six, eight, and 11 corners—suggesting this should be another straightforward selection.

The Argentine forward has been Atlético’s most consistent attacking outlet, averaging 2.0 shots per game—more than any of his teammates. His accuracy is particularly impressive, with over 50% of his attempts hitting the target. Having registered at least one shot on target in six of his last eight starts (scoring six goals in that span), Álvarez will be key to Atlético’s attacking hopes. Notably, he has found the net in both of his previous encounters with Barcelona this season.

The teenage sensation has consistently demonstrated his attacking intent, averaging an incredible 4.08 shots per 90 minutes. Yamal has attempted at least three shots in each of his last 11 matches, including two encounters against Atlético. This extraordinary record extends to 20 of his last 21 games. Given his growing role in Barcelona’s attack, this market appears significantly overpriced.

Barcelona have long been a European powerhouse, but this season, they have elevated their dominance to new heights. Unbeaten in 2025 (W17, D3), their relentless attacking prowess this season has been breathtaking, amassing 139 goals across all competitions while conceding just 49. Their pursuit of silverware remains unrelenting—extending their La Liga lead, securing a Champions League quarter-final spot, and emphatically claiming the Supercopa de España at the start of the year. Now, with a Copa del Rey final within reach, the dream of an unprecedented quadruple remains very much alive.

Atlético, in stark contrast, approach this decisive clash at a precarious moment. Just one win in their last four games before the international break saw them crash out of the Champions League to city rivals Real Madrid, and their title aspirations suffered a significant blow with a humbling 4-2 defeat to Barcelona. A loss here would likely confirm another trophyless season. To compound their struggles, Diego Simeone’s side have lost all three encounters against Barcelona at the Metropolitano this campaign, underscoring the scale of the challenge ahead.

Barcelona games tend to guarantee goals, and this fixture promises no different. The Catalans, alone, boast an astonishing 3.09 goals scored per game across all competitions this season, the highest of any team in Europe’s top five leagues. Their attack remains prominent in La Liga fixtures too, with their games averaging 3.79 goals per match. Yet, their slightly more vulnerable defensive displays on the road push this figure to four, with over 2.5 goals landing in 80% of their away league outings and ten of their last 14 on the road across all competitions.

Atlético may not match Barcelona’s firepower, but 40% of their home league matches have seen at least three goals. Additionally, 73% have featured at least two, falling just short of the required threshold. Crucially, their last four meetings with Barcelona have comfortably cleared this line, averaging a staggering five goals per clash.

Raphinha has been an instrumental figure in Barcelona’s attacking juggernaut, contributing to a staggering 45 goals this season (27G, 18A)—the highest of any player in the squad. His recent form has been scintillating, with three goals and three assists in his last three appearances. Having been rested for the last two matches, the Brazilian winger will be primed to make an impact on Wednesday night.

After a brief two-game spell without a foul, Barrios is due for a return to his usual combative self, especially in the high-stakes environment of a Copa del Rey semi-final. Before this lull, he had committed at least twi fouls in five consecutive starts (excluding a match where he was sent off after just seven minutes). With Barcelona’s midfield drawing 20 fouls in their last five games and the added intensity of a knockout clash, expect Barrios to be heavily involved in disrupting play.