There’s been a clear pattern in Wrexham’s away matches of them conceding hefty shot numbers. In their last five away games they’ve conceded a whopping 106 shots, averaging 21.2 per game. There haven’t been any examples of them conceding less than 19 shots in that five-game period. 

Those 106 shots have converted into 28 shots on target, putting the average number at 5.6. Despite Blackburn’s lowly league position, their performances have been quite promising, and the underlying numbers suggest they’re a very capable side at this level, currently sitting 8th in the xG table. Wrexham have been very pragmatic in recent away matches, and this will invite pressure and should provide the hosts with impetus and shooting opportunities. 

Blackburn have managed five shots on target in their last two games at Ewood Park, and will fancy their chances of repeating something similar on Thursday, especially accounting for Wrexham’s shots against data in recent away matches.

Cantwell has been on a decent run of notching a shot on target, managing to get one in four out of his last five appearances. The Blackburn man is averaging 2.18 shots per 90 - his conversion rate has been particularly impressive though, with nearly 50% of them finding the target, working out at 1.05 shots on target per 90. 

As already discussed, Wrexham have been conceding huge shot numbers in recent away matches. I’m not convinced the market has accounted for this with the pricing, especially considering that Cantwell is averaging the most shots on target per 90 in the Blackburn squad. Cantwell is going off at a much bigger price than some of his team-mates despite that, which is quite frankly surprising. Taking into consideration the Wrexham shots against data in recent away matches, he should get plenty of chances to pull the trigger on Thursday afternoon.

Another interesting price given the data, Broadhead will be in a confident mood after picking up an assist and goal in his last two appearances; he had seven shots across those two games. 

The Wrexham man has been averaging 2.4 shots per 90, funnily enough those numbers are only just below Kieffer Moore and Josh Windass, Moore and Windass are going off around 1.22 for 2+ shots. 

Given the way Wrexham set up, the counterattack could be a key outlet for them at Ewood Park, and with Broadhead’s dribbling ability an instrumental part of that, he should get some opportunities to contribute offensively. Blackburn step high up the pitch, and this can leave space between the lines if they play through the press.

With Broadhead’s recent propensity to be trigger-happy, exemplified by his four shots against Preston, and three shots against Sheffield United, I’m more than satisfied to have a crack at Broadhead 2+ shots at this price

To continue the theme of Blackburn's territorial dominance, this felt like another logical play. Blackburn have picked up 65 corners across their last nine home games, working out at 7.22 corners per game. The only time they went below five corners during that five-game sample was in their last home match against Millwall. Truthfully, this wasn’t a surprise given that they led the game after three minutes and were 2-0 up at the break. 

As we know, Wrexham have been firmly on the back foot in recent away games, conceding an average of 8.8 corners across their last five, and conceding 5+ corners in each of those games, boding well for this selection.

Wrexham have become a really tough team to beat, losing just six of their 24 Championship games. There’s a strong likelihood they could be level or winning the match, which could be favourable for this bet. Blackburn corners would be a likely consequence of Wrexham either winning or being level in the game, as they like to sit back and contain.