Brentford’s matches this season have been high-scoring, with an average of 3.9 goals per game. They’ve netted the 4th highest goal total in the league but also conceded the 3rd most, resulting in consistently high goal counts. This trend is even more pronounced at home, where games at the Gtech Community Stadium have averaged a remarkable 5.2 goals. While Bournemouth’s games have been somewhat more conservative at 2.5 goals per match on average, their recent wins over Manchester City and Arsenal highlight their ability to find the net against any opponent .

Lewis Cook leads Bournemouth in fouls committed, averaging 2 per game this season while playing nearly every minute. Sky lists this line at 1.2, suggesting strong value in this selection. In this matchup, he’ll be up against Brentford’s physical midfielders, like Norgaard, who draws an average of one foul per game, and forwards like Wissa and Mbeumo, who draw 1.86 and 1.3 fouls respectively.

Antoine Semenyo has been a crucial player in Bournemouth’s attack this season and leads the team with 4 goals. Averaging 4.2 shots per game, a rate second only to Haaland in the Premier League, he’s a constant threat in the final third and shoots at double the rate of any other Bournemouth player. With his high volume of attempts, he’s well-positioned to clear the 3-shot mark in this game.

Bournemouth have earned the third-highest corner count in the Premier League this season, averaging 6.5 per game, which increases to 7 per game in away matches. This bet is further supported by Brentford’s vulnerability on corners; they’ve allowed the second-most corners against in the league at an average of 7.9 per game. In 8 of Brentford’s 10 matches this season, their opponents have managed over 5.5 corners, giving this selection solid value.

Brentford have been impressive at home, scoring an average of 3 goals per game and netting at least twice in all but one home fixture, making them highly likely to find the back of the net. This value is furthered by the fact Bournemouth have had defensive struggles on the road, conceding 1.6 goals per game.  They’ve also shown they can score against strong opposition, and come into this game in great scoring form with 5 goals in their last 3 matches against Arsenal, Aston Villa, and Manchester City. With both teams in prolific form, this matchup looks promising for goals on both ends.

Bournemouth have been among the more penalized teams in the league, averaging 2.8 cards per game, with only five teams receiving more this season. Opponents facing Brentford have also tended to pick up cards, averaging 2.6 per match. Adding to this, referee Darren Bond—who will officiate this game—has shown an average of 5.2 yellow cards per game in the Premier League this season, making this selection for Bournemouth to receive over 2.5 cards compelling.

Antoine Semenyo has been Bournemouth’s most influential player in front of goal this season, leading the team with 5 combined goals and assists in the Premier League. With Brentford struggling defensively and ranking among the league’s poorest in goals conceded, Bournemouth look well positioned to score in this matchup. Semenyo is a prime candidate to either score or set up a goal, as he has consistently been Bournemouth’s go-to player for key contributions in the final third. If Bournemouth do get on the scoreboard, Semenyo is likely to play a central role.

Marcus Tavernier has averaged 1 foul per game in the league so far and has already picked up 2 yellow cards. In this matchup, he’ll face Brentford’s physical midfielders, including Norgaard, who draws 1 foul per game on average, and Mbeumo on the right flank, who draws 1.3 fouls per game. This challenging lineup could see him adding to his foul count.