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Crystal Palace v Chelsea
We’ve taken a closer look into Crystal Palace and Chelsea’s showdown as part of our Premier League bet builder predictions and Premier League acca tips. Aside from this clash though there’s a wide range of football tips & predictions on-site from across the globe and in a range of sports, so you can bet smarter no matter what you’re into.
After a tightly contested fixture between these two sides during the festive period, it’s Crystal Palace’s turn to host Chelsea in this London derby. Neither set of supporters will enter the game filled with confidence of a result, with unhappiness brewing in both camps in regard to their managers. Roy Hodgson is the favourite to be the next Premier League manager to depart, with Mauricio Pochettino following closely behind in second.
Hodgson appears to be steering Crystal Palace closer to relegation as they sit just five points clear of the relegation zone and have struggled for form of late. They may have won two of the last four, but the two defeats have been horrific, beaten 5-0 by Arsenal and then 4-1 by Brighton. The bigger picture also reveals that the Eagles have won just twice in their last 14 games, and having been defeated in a whopping 13 consecutive meetings with Chelsea, it looks like more doom and gloom for Palace here.
Chelsea, meanwhile, are suffering with consistency once again. Their three-game winning streak has proven to be merely papering over the cracks, with the Blues losing back-to-back league matches to drop them into the bottom half of the table. However, Chelsea did deliver one of their best performances of the season, when they knocked Aston Villa out of the FA Cup midweek in a stunning 3-1 victory. The Blues fans will be expecting 3 points here following their cup performance and their extensive dominance v Palace over the last decade.
Crystal Palace v Chelsea Cheat Sheet
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🏆 Match stats: Is there such a thing as lucky 13?
It is very difficult to look past the extensive Chelsea dominance in this fixture – 10 years, 22 meetings, 18 victories for Chelsea and 13 consecutive wins for the Blues. It’s one of the most dominant head-to-head records in the league.
The Eagles have one win in their last five games across all competitions – three defeats and a draw. Those results also include a 5-0 battering by Arsenal and a worrying 4-1 defeat to Brighton last time out, so there’s clearly some defensive issues currently for Palace.
Chelsea have shown that they can piece together promising performances with their domination over Aston Villa. It’s no secret that the Blues have been one of if not the most inconsistent team this Premier League campaign, but they should be able to take advantage of an out-of-form Crystal Palace.
⚽ Chelsea to win @ 1.75
🥅 Goals stats: The Eagles don’t go down without a fight
Chelsea are odds-on favourites to win here, given their incredible record with Crystal Palace, but another strong market to target for this London derby is goals. Both sides have shown their attacking promise over recent weeks, as well as their tendency to concede at the other end.
Goals usually flow at both ends when Chelsea are involved. Their last five games have seen a total of 21 goals. Both teams have scored in 61% of Chelsea’s league outings this season, with the same percentage of their games seeing at least 3 goals scored. Crystal Palace recently became one of the five teams in the league to concede 40 goals this season, and the Blues are only one goal away from joining that not-so-elite club.
Having conceded eight times in their last two league games, conceding in five of their past six league games and registering only two league cleans sheets away from home this season, the Blues are likely to concede once more here given Palace’s strong goalscoring form at Selhurst Park.
Crystal Palace have scored in each of their last four home league games and have netted at least once in 12 of their last 14 league outings. Similarly to their Monday night visitors, 61% of the Eagles’ league outings have seen both teams score, and 57% have witnessed a minimum of 3 goals.
⚽ Both teams to score @ 1.73
⚽ Over 2.5 goals @ 1.80
🛑 Fouls stats: A scrappy affair in store
The total fouls markets for both sides look particularly strong for this matchup considering their recent tendencies for late challenges. The reverse fixture was plagued with 29 total fouls.
Crystal Palace are averaging a respectable 11.70 fouls per 90 this season. The Eagles have committed 12+ fouls in five of their last six league outings, accumulating 76 fouls in that time. This includes the 16 fouls they committed against Chelsea just after Christmas. This matches up perfectly with a Chelsea side that are drawing 12 fouls per 90, a selection that has landed in 4 of their last 5 Premier League games.
With such a hotly-contested game in store once again at Selhurst Park, we should expect the hosts to do the dirty work necessary if they are to take anything from the game.
Chelsea have also been showing their teeth recently, racking up 15+ fouls in their last three games across all competitions. This extends out to the Blues committing a minimum of 13 fouls in 5 consecutive games in the top-flight, including 21 fouls away at Luton and 16 away at Liverpool.
The Blues are averaging 12.90 fouls per 90 this season. The Palace squad is filled with good dribblers and the Eagles have drawn an average of 12.20 fouls per 90.
⚽ Crystal Palace to commit 12+ fouls @ 1.67
⚽ Crystal Palace to commit 13+ fouls @ 2.00
⚽ Chelsea to commit 13+ fouls @ 1.73
🟨 Cards stats: Chelsea keep officials on their toes
One of Chelsea’s many problems this season has been their discipline. The Blues sit first for the most yellow cards this season in the Premier League with an impressive total of 77. This is in direct contrast to their Monday night hosts, who boast the fourth-best disciplinary record and have received a whopping 34 fewer cards so far this campaign.
Chelsea are averaging 3.35 cards per 90 this season, spread across 20 different offenders in the squad. Across their last six league games they have picked up an impressive 23 cards, with five of those games seeing Chelsea pick up 3 or more yellow cards.
Their ill discipline certainly continues on the road. Chelsea have picked up a minimum of two cards in 5 consecutive away league fixtures, 16 cards in total in that time.
Crystal Palace have certainly been more composed during this campaign, with the Eagles averaging just 1.87 cards per 90. Across their last 3 home fixtures, they have picked up just 3 bookings. However prior to this, they picked up 7 yellows against Liverpool and 5 against Brighton meaning nearly a third of their season total cards were sourced in 2 games.
Considering the contrast between these two sides in the cards department, cards total markets do look tricky to call so focusing on Chelsea’s tendency to slip up holds the most value here.
⚽ Over Chelsea 1.5 cards @ 1.33
⚽ Over Chelsea 2.5 cards @ 2.0
⚽ Chelsea to receive the most cards @ 2.10
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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