Courtland Sutton is really the only dependable WR on this Broncos team, and he should be needed against a Cowboys secondary that are very poor. Dallas are allowing 29.4 points per game this year, which is the 3rd most in football. With some injuries in the secondary, the Cowboys have played in more shootouts than any other team in football. In one of the highest total games of the week, I see no reason to stay away from the Broncos top weapons in this one. 

When looking at competition among Broncos WR’s, its pretty minimal. Troy Franklin started out the season as the WR2, but with some massive drop problems it looks like gadget player Marvin Mims is getting a boost in playing time. Neither of these guys are very reliable, and when Nix is asked to pass, I would expect him to be locked onto his first read.

Sutton leads this team in first read target share, targets per route run, and catches, I would expect him to continue to handle high volume in what should be a fairly offense heavy football game.

After missing a couple weeks, CeeDee Lamb is back and healthy for the Cowboys. We saw a good job of George Pickens taking over while he was gone, and while Pickens dominates a lot of the downfield work, Lamb will continue to see heavy volume. In his first game back, he posted five catches for 110 yards on eight targets, and he didn't have to play much at all in the second half due to a blowout. He was clearly healthy, and if this game is as highscoring as the sportsbooks expect, then we should be in store for 10+ more targets for Lamb. 

The Broncos are one of the best defenses in football with the best corner in football, so why is this a good matchup? Well Patrick Surtain doesn't travel to slot, he stays on the outside, so its very likely he actually spends most of his time defending George Pickens on the outside.

This means Lamb will likely spend most of this game with cornerback advantages, along with the designed touches like screens that he will always get. The Cowboys have made every game fun this year, and I think Lamb benefits the most from that kind of gamescript. 

Bo Nix has been one of PFF’s worst graded quarterbacks this season, and I really have not been impressed with his passing this season. That being said, when a quarterback is struggling more through the air, we may see them turn to their legs to compensate. The Cowboys are bottom five in QB scramble yards allowed, and Nix should see 2-3 scrambles and at least one designed runs. He’s posted 20+ rush yards in four of his last five outings, including 48 last week against the Giants. 

The Cowboys defensive line struggles to get pressure, and Nix loves a deep dropback. Those plays where nobody is open downfield, but he still has time in the pocket, are how you break off the big chunk plays against broken down defenses. Nix has a clear path to success in the scrambling department, and with what should be a high scoring game I’m expecting plenty of opportunities. This should be a great game for overs, and I think Nix takes advantage.

I'm normally more of a longshot touchdown guy, but Javonte Williams sticks out today. The Broncos have allowed 2/7 quarterbacks to throw for 2+ touchdowns this season, and 6/24 dating back to last season. With their awesome cornerback play, they have been able to key into defenses and stop them through the air. I would expect Dallas to be a little more aggressive on the ground, especially with how good Javonte has been this season. 

Javonte Williams is second in the NFL in yards after contact per rush, second in rush yards per game, and tied third in rushing touchdowns. He also has an additional 23 catches and a score through the air, which is a good sign for his duel threat usage. The Cowboys also really have no depth behind him, only really playing Blue in garbage time.

With little to no competition on the ground, and the Broncos red zone defense excelling against the pass, this seems like a prime matchup to continue feeding Javonte.