Inter have excelled in front of a home crowd this season, amassing 41 points from a possible 48 across their 16 home matches. The hosts have looked strong at the San Siro in recent weeks, winning four and drawing one of their last five home fixtures. Inzaghi’s men have impressed at both ends across this run, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game, while conceding an average of just 0.4.

Cagliari possess the third-worst away record in the league, with Ranieri’s men losing 10 of their 15 away league matches. The visitors have experienced real difficulty when travelling to face stronger opposition, losing in all of their away matches against sides in the league’s top eight. Cagliari have struggled both offensively and defensively across these fixtures, leaking an average of 2.2 goals per game and scoring an average of only 0.5.

Inter won by two goals when they faced Cagliari earlier this season, and the bookies are offering a price of 1.53 for the hosts to win by a margin of at least two goals in the return fixture.

Inter have been relentless going forward at home in 2024, registering an average of 17.7 shots and 6.3 shots on target per match across their seven home league matches since the turn of the year.

Federico Dimarco has been a consistent contributor to both of these tallies. The Italian wing back has looked threatening in recent home matches, taking an average of 2.5 shots per game across his last six home starts, with an average of 1 shot finding the target per match along this run. It is worth noting that Dimarco has registered a minimum of two shots in five of these six fixtures.

Dimarco will be hopeful of capitalising on a Cagliari defence that has leaked an average of 16.7 shots and 4.1 shots on target per match across their last seven away trips.

Value of 1.44 is being offered for Dimarco to take a minimum of two shots here, with a price of 1.73 available for at least one of his attempts to find the target.

Only Napoli have taken more corners than Inter this season, with the hosts forcing an average of 6.2 corners per game. This average has been even higher in the hosts’ last five home matches, with Inzaghi’s men taking an average of 7.8 corners per match along this run.

Cagliari have struggled to prevent their opponents from forcing corners on their travels this season, particularly when facing stronger opposition. The visitors have conceded an average of 5.8 corners per match across their seven away meetings with sides in the league’s top half.

Inter took seven corners when they faced Cagliari earlier in the season, and a price of 1.25 is available for the hosts to take a minimum of six here, with value of 1.50 being offered for Inter to force at least seven.

Cagliari have struggled to keep their tackles clean across this campaign, committing an average of 12.4 fouls per game. This average has been even higher when Cagliari have ventured away from home, with Ranieri’s men fouling an average of 13.9 times per match across their last seven away fixtures.

Cagliari’s Alberto Dossena is clearly not shy of a tackle and has consequently committed an average of 1.2 fouls per match this season. Dossena has been even more susceptible to fouling in recent away fixtures, committing at least one foul in all of his last seven away starts. The Italian defender will likely have the difficult task of dealing with Marcus Thuram and Marko Arnautovic, who have drawn a collective 1.8 fouls per game on average across the campaign.

Another persistent fouler for the visitors has been Gabriele Zappa, with the Italian right back committing an average of 1 foul per game across his last ten starts. Zappa will be coming up against Federico Dimarco, who has drawn an average of 1.3 fouls per game across his last three home appearances.

The bookies are offering a price of 1.29 for Dossena to foul at least once here, with value of 1.91 available for Zappa to do the same.