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Lazio v Salernitana Bet Builder Tips, Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Lazio v Salernitana Bet Builder Tips, Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Thursday 11 April, 20243 min read
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Robin Bairner

Robin is a specialist in Scottish and French football and has been with us since 2022. He loves championing the young talent that Ligue 1 produces on a seemingly perpetual basis as well as the chaos of the unique world of SPFL football. He is currently based in central Scotland and can be found weekly taking in games and rating pies at windswept venues across the country.

In this article...

Lazio v Salernitana

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Kick Off: Friday 12th April at 19:45
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Competition: Serie A
📺
Watch Live: TNT Sports 1

Friday night's Serie A action takes us to Roma, as Giovanni Martusciello's Lazio welcome bottom-side Salernitana. We have plenty of coverage across all the best footballing action across Europe here at Andy's Bet Club, including our European football accumulator tips Sunday, European football predictions and other betting tips & predictions to make sure you get the expert's insights to bet smarter. You can also browse our European football accumulator tips Saturday to prepare for the weekend.

Make sure you check out the new Andy's Bet Club site features like the BTTS acca tips, shots on target tips and guides to help with your betting, such as this one all about betting on fouls.

Remember to browse our selection of free bet offers and a list of all the best bet builder bookmakers we have collected here on Andy's Bet Club so you get the best odds for your crafty bet builders.

Lazio host Salernitana at the Stadio Olimpico on Friday intending to enhance their hopes of playing in Europe next season. 

The Roman side come into this match off the back of a terrible run of form. From their last eight matches, they have come away with only two wins, losing the other six. Among these games was a painful 1-0 derby loss against Roma a fortnight back.

Despite this poor sequence, they remain in touch with the top six, albeit failure to win this encounter will deal a huge blow to their prospects of finishing in that bracket.

Salernitana, meanwhile, are just weeks away from returning to Serie B. The side from Campania have been in the top-flight since 2021 but that run is set to end this season. They have won only two matches all season and, 12 points from safety with seven matches remaining, need something unprecedented to happen if they are to survive.

They have shown that they are still fighting, though. Last weekend they trailed 2-0 at home to second-bottom Sassuolo at half time yet fought to the last to get a point through Giulio Maggiore’s strike in stoppage time. 

Lazio v Salernitana Cheat Sheet

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You can find Lazio v Salernitana match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off. If you're looking for a new bookmaker check out the best bet builder bookmakers.

🏆 Match stats: Lazio to get the win

Lazio are understandably hot favourites to get the victory in this game, but at a price of 1.25, the home side are not particularly appealing. There are options, however, to make the price on the hosts a little greater. It’s worth noting that Lazio recently managed to score three times against struggling Frosinone, which is their only recent experience of playing a team stuck at the wrong end of the table. Salernitana, meanwhile, have been conceding goals freely. Over the course of their last four matches, they have conceded 10 goals, including seven in their last couple of away matches. Even with the hosts struggling for confidence, there are goals in this encounter for them. With this in mind, a comfortable home win should be expected. Similarly, it would be a mistake to go crazy on the number of goals scored in this game. Lazio have only scored three goals four times across all competitions this season (never more).

Predictions:

⚽ Lazio (-1 handicap) @ 1.83

🥅 Goals stats: Castellanos ready to step up if Immobile misses out

Lazio have a problem coming into this match. Ciro Immobile, their top scorer across all competitions this season, could miss this match due to a knee problem sustained against Roma. With 10 goals in 2023/24, including the opener against Salernitana when the sides last met, he has twice as many as Mattia Zaccagni, their second-leading marksman and another player set to miss out injured. Who can Lazio turn to, then? Valentin Castellanos is the likeliest to lead the line. Although he only has four goals to his name this season, he does have some form, having struck a double late on against Frosinone less than a month ago. At 2.0, he offers arguably the best value due to the lack of goals from elsewhere in this team. Matteo Guendouzi was active the last time Lazio faced Salernitana as he managed two shots, but the Frenchman has only scored once this calendar year, making odds of 4.5 seem too short. Similarly, Luis Alberto and Felipe Anderson are both better known for their creative attributes. Of this duo, Anderson is perhaps the more threatening. He has managed 2 shots in each of his last four matches, albeit those efforts have often been wayward, and is on offer at 3.0 to net any time. Salernitana’s players are unsurprisingly longer priced given they have scored under a goal a game as a team on average. Antonio Candreva is likely to be their greatest threat. With seven goals this season, he also netted against Lazio in the first half of the season and at 6.5 does offer value as a longshot.

Predictions:

⚽ Valentin Castellanos to score anytime @ 2.0

🟨 Cards stats: Pierozzo and Vecino carrying value

Neither of these teams are performing well in the fair play table, with Lazio rock bottom of this particular standing having seen a total of 80 cards. Salernitana do not fare so much better given they have seen 75. Immobile has picked up eight bookings for the hosts, so taking him out of the equation is likely to reduce their caution count. Equally, Salernitana’s rate of bookings has gone up in recent weeks. In each of their last three matches, they have seen yellow at least three times. They are 2.05 to continue that run as well as 1.83 to see more cards than their hosts. Lazio have seen yellow at least three times in three of their last five matches, so the overall card count is likely to be high in this game, especially as referee Luca Zufferli has shown at least 5 cards in 11 of the 15 matches he has officiated this season. Over 4.5 cards is 2.05. There were eight when these sides met in November. That eventuality is on offer at 9.0. Nicolo Pierozzi has been booked first in Salernitana’s last two matches and has seen yellow in four of seven appearances for his loan club. The price of 3.2 on him to be cautioned looks like a long one with that in mind. For the hosts, Matias Vecino has been booked an incredible seven times this season. This is so remarkable because he has only played 769 minutes of Serie A football, typically coming off the bench for 20 minutes. He started against Roma last week and at 4.2 he is a huge price to see yellow if he features from the outset again. Even coming off the bench, there is a decent chance he will be booked.

Predictions:

⚽ Over 2.5 Salernitana cards @ 2.05

⚽ Salernitana to receive the most cards @ 1.83

⚽ Over 4.5 match cards @ 2.05

⚽ Niccolo Pierozzi to be shown a card @ 3.20

⚽ Matias Vecino to be shown a card @ 4.50

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