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Tottenham v Man United Bet Builder Tips, 15/1 Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Tottenham v Man United Bet Builder Tips, 15/1 Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Thursday 6 November, 20254 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

In this article...

Manchester United travel to North London to take on Tottenham with Ruben Amorim hoping to capitalise on the Lilywhites’ poor record at home so far this season.

Thomas Frank’s side have won just one of their five matches at home in the Premier League this season, most recently losing 1-0 to Chelsea in a performance that attracted boos at the full time whistle.

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Tottenham v Man United Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Tottenham v Man United
  • Premier League
  • 12:30
4 Selections @ 2.50

Over 0.5 Man United Goals

Only Chelsea, Liverpool, Arsenal and Manchester City have scored more goals in the Premier League this season than Manchester United (17). The attacking side of United has undoubtedly improved this term with the likes of Cunha and Mbeumo in particular contributing to a more coherent and threatening side in the final third.

They’ve scored six goals across their five away games this term, winning just one of these games, which is a record that Amorim will want to improve on. United will be encouraged by Tottenham’s record at home under Thomas Frank so far - 13 of Tottenham’s 17 points this season have come on the road, with the Lilywhites losing three of their five home games in the Premier League.

There is an extra element to this game as it was the Europa League final back in May, which Tottenham managed to win 1-0. United have strengthened their attacking options since that final and should pose more of a threat here. United have managed to score in each of their last five matches across all competitions and will be encouraged by Tottenham’s poor home record so far this term.

Over 8.5 Corners

Corners are creeping back into the game as a crucial aspect of play and both of these sides have shown promise when it comes to backing a high corner count in this game. Tottenham’s games in the Premier League are averaging 11.90 corners per game - the second highest total of any side in the division, behind West Ham (12.60 per game).

This metric rises to 12.20 corners per game when looking at Tottenham’s home games this season. Only Arsenal (73) have won more corners in the Premier League this season than Tottenham (62). Micky Van de Ven being Tottenham’s top scorer across all competitions so far this season also tells us how reliant the Lilywhites are on these situations with chances from open play proving difficult for Tottenham to generate at the moment.

Manchester United are a bit further down this list having won just 39 corners this season (3.9 per game). This does rise to 4.2 per game when looking at their away matches, with their travelling games seeing a total corner count of 10.60 per game, enough to cover our line here even if United aren’t the strongest side when it comes to winning corners consistently.

Matheus Cunha to have 1+ Shots on Target

Cunha has had a shot on target in four of his last five Premier League appearances for Manchester United. Cunha has had an instant impact on the squad since joining from Wolves over the summer and recently scored his first goal for the Red Devils in their 4-2 win over Brighton at Old Trafford.

Cunha was due this goal when looking through his shot numbers. He’s had 21 shots across his nine Premier League appearances (3.08 per 90) with 10 of these attempts managing to find the target (1.47 per 90).

Cunha boasted a similarly high shot volume across the entirety of last season, managing 110 shots for Wolves across his 33 appearances (3.81 per 90) with 44 of these attempts finding the target (1.52 per 90).

Manchester United have also improved as an attacking side on the whole which should aid Cunha getting a shot on target here. Ruben Amorim’s side rank third for expected goals (17.8) and are joint first for shots on target per game (5.40) alongside Chelsea.

Mohammed Kudus to Commit 1+ Fouls

Kudus has committed a foul in each of his last five Premier League matches. He’s committed 16 fouls across his 10 appearances in total for the Lilywhites in the Premier League this term (1.64 per 90), with at least one foul landing in eight of his ten matches for Tottenham.

Kudus has to be combative due to the role Frank asks him to fill in the side. He’s often one of a front two pairing when Tottenham play the bigger sides in the division, which was the setup they opted for against Chelsea. Kudus committed a foul in that game from 15 duels and was also shown a yellow card.

If Kudus lines up as part of a front two here, then he will be routinely outnumbered by the back three of Manchester United, who all hold a significant physical advantage over the forward. If he is deployed out wide, then his likely opponent here is Patrick Dorgu, who has won a foul in seven of his nine Premier League appearances this season, winning 19 overall.

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Tottenham v Man United Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Tottenham v Man United
  • Premier League
  • 12:30
3 Selections @ 15.55

Bryan Mbuemo to Score or Assist

Mbeumo has added a telling end product to this Manchester United side, with the former Brentford winger settling in well to his new role at Old Trafford. He’s registered five goal contributions in the Premier League this season across his 10 appearances, with four of these being goals.

Mbeumo has registered four goal contributions across his last five appearances in all competitions for Manchester United, so he enters this heavyweight clash with real momentum. Mbeumo has also hurt Tottenham before, netting for Brentford in this stadium last season and previously striking against the Lilywhites at the Gtech Community Stadium.

No Manchester United player has registered more goal contributions in the Premier League this season than Bryan Mbeumo. He’s roughly in line with his xG and xA across these games (5.50), which suggests that Mbeumo is tucking away high-quality chances when they fall his way at the moment.

Pape Saar to have 2+ Shots

I think we could see Pape Sarr deployed in a similar manner to the way he was in the early stages of the season against Manchester City. It’s no secret that Tottenham have a bit of a creativity crisis at the moment, with their chief creators in Maddison and Kulusevski being sidelined.

This has meant that Frank has had to rely on other avenues to create chances. Set pieces have proven fruitful with Tottenham only coming second to Arsenal in that regard in the Premier League, but open play chances have been harder to generate. Sarr offers a slightly different solution with strong running power and a unique ability to arrive late in the box - he’s the most forward-thinking of the midfielders Tottenham currently have available.

Sarr had one shot in that game against Manchester City, but I’d expect him to have a few more chances here if he is deployed in this role. Sarr averaged 1.60 shots per 90 across his 36 Premier League appearances last season. It’s below the line we require here, but it can be aided by Super Sub, as well as Tottenham’s lack of a creative core, which may force Frank to turn to Sarr as a solution.

Bruno Fernandes to be Shown a Card

Fernandes’ slightly deeper role in Ruben Amorim’s system naturally puts him at a higher risk of picking up cautions. He’s looked a lot more comfortable in that role this season than he did in the second half of last campaign, with a better structure and quality of player around him to make his deeper role work.

Fernandes has received two yellow cards across his 10 Premier League appearances this term. He’s averaging 0.71 fouls committed per 90 across these games, which isn’t too standout, but could be set to increase here with the bullish nature of Tottenham’s midfield.

When looking at the 1v1 battles that are set to take place in the middle of the park, Fernandes will be faced up by Joao Palhinha and Rodrigo Bentancur - both players who are more physical than Fernandes and could dominate him in those duels. Fernandes’ most recent yellow card for Manchester United came on their last trip to London as they fell to a 3-1 defeat at the hands of Brentford.

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📂 Tottenham v Man United Cheat Sheet

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📈 Tottenham v Man United Form & Tactics

I think the current criticism aimed at Thomas Frank is quite harsh. Tottenham were booed off the park following their 1-0 defeat against Chelsea, with many quick to take aim at Frank’s approach in the game. Tottenham registered their lowest ever xG on record in that game, which does justify some of the criticism from that particular performance, but people have small memories.

It wasn’t long ago that Frank was being praised for his pragmatic style, which has earned Tottenham victories against the likes of Manchester City already this season. This current period strikes me as one where Frank is trying to become a top-six manager; some of Tottenham’s recent performances are those of a side battling for mid-table, not looking to challenge higher up.

It’s also a bit unfair to criticise Frank for the style when it is the general direction of travel in the Premier League. Long throws, set pieces, and a more direct game are the natural consequences of the current situation in the Premier League, so Tottenham shouldn’t be penalised for also doing that. It seems as though Tottenham fans aren’t quite sure what’s more important - success or an attractive style of play.

Ruben Amorim has had the opposite experience in the last few weeks as the United manager enjoys his best spell in charge of the club. United’s 2-2 draw against Forest last time out did dampen their momentum slightly, but they showed again the attacking threat they now carry with the likes of Cunha and Mbeuno, who can cause any Premier League side issues.

A small worry for United at the moment will be their away form. They’ve won just one of their five trips away from Old Trafford this season, so there is an argument to be made that United still carry a bit of a soft underbelly in their away matches, even if they have remedied this cowardice in their home matches.


📔 Tottenham v Man United Formation & Team News

Frank will have to decide whether or not to be pragmatic here, with the former Brentford boss experimenting with a variety of styles already this season. Tottenham have played in a 5-3-2, which was their shape for strong performances against the likes of PSG and Manchester City, but is naturally quite a negative shape and may draw further criticism from the home fans.

Tottenham have also played in a 4-2-3-1 this season in games where Frank feels as though the Lilywhites will have more control of the encounter. He’s got a real challenge on his hands to find the right balance. Tottenham have only won one of their home games in the Premier League this season, and none of these games have been particularly exciting, which is an issue for Frank.

Manchester United will continue to line up in their 3-4-3 shape, which is looking much more effective this term. The improvement to the frontline has meant that United now carry a real threat in the final third, as confirmed by their total xG of 17.8, which is the third highest tally in the division.


📊 Tottenham v Man United Key Stats

  • Tottenham have won just one of their five home games in the Premier League this season (v Burnley).

  • This is Amorim’s best five game spell as Manchester United manager (3W, 1D, 1L).

  • Tottenham beat Manchester United in the Europa League final back in May with a 1-0 victory.

  • Manchester United rank third in the xG table (17.8).


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* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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