BTTS has landed in one of the three head to head meetings between the sides this season but each game has seen plenty of incident. Manchester United have registered an xG of 1.0 in two of the three head to head meetings between the teams with the exception of the first meeting at Old Trafford which saw Bruno Fernandes sent off in the first half, United still managed to carve out an xG of 0.96 on that occasion. 

Neither side have been solid at the back this season, especially in Europe. Manchester United have seen BTTS in 11 of their 14 Europa League games this season with all but one of their games in the knockout stages of the competition seeing both teams finding the back of the net (v Athletic Club - had a man sent off in the first half). 

There is so much riding on this game that it is impossible for either side to sit back and not press relentlessly for an equaliser if they are to fall behind. Tottenham have seen BTTS in eight of their 14 games in the Europa League this season and have conceded 61 goals across their 37 games in the Premier League this season (1.64 per game) while managing to score 63 themselves (1.70 per game) which is a record that suggests that the Lilywhites regularly see action at both ends of the pitch.

Porro has won nine fouls across his 12 Europa League games this season (0.80 per 90). This average rises to 1.11 fouls won per 90 when looking at his performances in the Premier League this season. These numbers indicate that Porro has won fouls with regularity this campaign and his individual performances against Manchester United this term paint a similar picture. 

He’s been fouled in each of the last two head to head meetings between the sides, winning 2+ fouls in one of these games. Manchester United have committed 9+ fouls in each of the three head to head meetings between these sides this season so we can expect a fair amount of physicality from the Red Devils who are averaging 10.1 fouls committed per game in the Europa League and 10.6 fouls committed per game in the Premier League this season. 

Porro will be up against Patrick Dorgu who has committed a foul in five of his six appearances in the Europa League this season. Dorgu contested 10 duels and committed a foul in the most recent head to head meeting between these sides in the Premier League, he had four involvements overall suggesting that he usually attracts fouls as a result of his playing style.

Patrick Dorgu has committed a foul in five of his six appearances in the Europa League this season. He’s also committed a foul in seven of his 11 games for Manchester United in the Premier League this term (63.6%). Dorgu has been acting as a vocal point for Manchester United in wide areas, Amorim recognised that his side was missing physicality in general but especially in the wingback roles which are crucial to Amorim’s system. 

Dorgu will be lining up against two opponents here as a wingback. His most active opponent is likely to be Brennan Johnson who has won seven fouls across his nine starts in the Europa League this season (0.87 per 90). Johnson is also averaging 1.08 fouls won per 90 in the Premier League this term and contested three duels in the head to head meeting at Old Trafford - Dorgu hadn’t signed for United at that point so Johnson should find himself more busy this time around. 

Dorgu will also be up against Pedro Porro who is averaging 0.80 fouls won per 90 in the Europa League this season. Dorgu fouled Porro in the most recent head to head meeting between the sides with the pair racking up six foul involvements between them, indicating that their side of the pitch should be a pretty active one for fouls in this final.

Bruno Fernandes has clearly been Manchester United’s best player this season and at times the only player that looks capable of playing and performing at this level consistently. Fernandes has registered a goal contribution in every game in the Europa League since the quarter final. 

He’s registered 11 goal contributions across his 13 appearances in the Europa League for Manchester United this season (7 goals, 4 assists) - more than any other player in the squad. Only Rayan Cherki (12) has provided more goal contributions in the Europa League than Bruno Fernandes this season. 

Fernandes has also registered 17 goal contributions in the Premier League this term, showing his effectiveness across various competitions. He should be able to help United unlock a Tottenham backline that has only managed to keep six clean sheets in the Premier League this season.

Sarr has picked up six yellow cards in the Premier League this season, only Yves Bissouma (7) and Rodrigo Bentancur (8) have picked up more cautions in the Tottenham squad this season than the 22 year old from Senegal. 

Sarr, Bissouma and Bentancur are likely to be the trio that line up in the middle of the park for Tottenham in this final. This is a more defensively minded trio than Ange Postecoglu would have liked to go for, but his hand is forced by injuries to Maddison, Kulusevski and Bergvall who may have even been his first choice trio for this final. 

Sarr will be up against Bruno Fernandes who has won 20 fouls across his 13 appearances in the Europa League this season (1.51 per 90). Fernandes has been playing in a slightly deeper role for Manchester United since Ruben Amorim took over which should see Fernandes win fouls in his own half as he attempts to dictate the build up for United. 

Tottenham have come out on top in all three meetings with Manchester United this season, winning two of these games to nil. It’s hard to convincingly say what side are the favourites here given how poor both teams have been domestically this season but Tottenham may just have that extra quality and control which is necessary in a final.

You would rarely associate Tottenham with solid defensive displays but they have produced two of those to reach the final. They beat Frankfurt 1-0 away from home in the quarter final before beating Bodo Glimt 2-0 away from home to book their spot in the final. These sides both had excellent home records which Tottenham were able to resist to be within a chance of Europa League glory which shows that there is an organised side to this Tottenham team which may not be there for Manchester United. 

Manchester United have only won three of their last 12 games across all competitions, these have all come in the Europa League with one of these wins requiring extra time (v Lyon). Manchester United have conceded in 11 of their 14 games in the Europa League this season which may just end up being their downfall here.