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Arsenal v Man City 3/1 Bet Builder Tips, Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Arsenal v Man City 3/1 Bet Builder Tips, Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Friday 19 September, 20254 min read
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Ramis Ibrahim

Avid football writer and Premier League specialist. Meticulous eye for player prop bets across English, European and International football honed over four years in football analysis.

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Arsenal welcome Manchester City to the Emirates, hoping to recreate their 5-1 win over Pep Guardiola’s side in this fixture last season.

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Arsenal v Man City Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Arsenal v Man City
  • Premier League
  • 16:30
4 Selections @ 4.20

Erling Haaland to have 2+ Shots

This is as generously as Haaland will be priced for two shots in a Premier League game this season. It’s probably a fair pricing based on the fact that Arsenal are the best defensive side in the league and have done a good job on Haaland before, but the Norwegian striker should be motivated by his relentless early season form.

Haaland has scored five goals across his four Premier League appearances this season. He’s had 19 shots across these games (5.03 per 90) which is a shot volume that even a side as good at the back as Arsenal will struggle to contain. 

Haaland scored in this fixture last season as Manchester City were on the end of a 5-1 thrashing, one of their biggest defeats in the entirety of Pep Guardiola’s tenure. He also scored against Arsenal in the 2-2 draw between the sides at the Etihad, a game which saw him have six shots.

Over 1.5 Arsenal Cards

A rivalry had developed between these two sides over the last few seasons as they battled for the title. Arsenal received 2+ cards in both head to head meetings between the sides last season and also received a red card in the 2-2 draw at the Etihad.

There should be plenty of emotion in this game as well with Arsenal looking to build on their strong start. They’ve already had to make trips to Anfield and Old Trafford this season so a positive result here would represent a really strong start to the season for Arteta.

Arsenal have received seven cards across their four Premier League matches this season. They received 2+ cards in both of their big matches this term against Manchester United and Liverpool. 

They didn’t cover this line in their games against Forest or Leeds but that is to be expected with how one sided those games were. Arsenal also received two cards in their midweek Champions League game against Athletic Club.

Over 4.5 Arsenal Corners

Arsenal have won 22 corners across their four Premier League matches this season (5.5 per game). They’ve had 8 or more corners in each of their last two Premier League games against Liverpool and Nottingham Forest.

Corners and set pieces more widely are still a massive part of Arsenal’s game. The Gunners have scored five of their nine goals in the Premier League this season from set pieces so we can expect them to utilise this avenue to goal again here.

Arsenal racked up five corners in this fixture last season and will be encouraged by City’s recent away performance against Brighton in which Guardiola’s side conceded three corners and looked far too open when possession changed hands. Arsenal won 251 corners across their 38 Premier League games last season (6.60 per game).

Arsenal Double Chance

Arsenal have started this season really strongly with the main standout aspect of their performances being how difficult it is to score against them. 

Only Manchester United have managed to register an xG in excess of 1.0 against the Gunners so far with the only goal that Arteta’s side have conceded coming in the form of a wonder strike from Szoboszlai.

This would suggest that you have to do something special to score against this Arsenal side. Manchester City certainly are capable of producing something like that but Arsenal’s performances against City in recent seasons have gradually improved.

This culminated in their 5-1 victory against Manchester City at the Emirates last season which is a result that will give them confidence that they can record another positive result here. Manchester City still face issues defensively which Arsenal can exploit, especially in moments where the game is stretched. 

Arsenal only lost two of their 19 home games in the Premier League last season.

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Arsenal v Man City Best Longshot Bets
  • Arsenal v Man City
  • Premier League
  • 16:30
3 Selections @ 21.10

Phil Foden to Score or Assist

Foden has rediscovered some form over the last few games with a goal against Manchester United followed up by an assist against Napoli in the Champions League. Foden is a player that is more than capable of reaching double digits for goals and assists just as he did in the 23/24 season when he was crowned player of the year.

Foden and Haaland are Manchester City’s biggest goal threats. If you take either of these players out of the side, it becomes clear that Manchester City don’t have a lot of players that can score goals regularly. This is why Foden’s drop off in form last season was so costly for City, it left them totally reliant on Haaland for goals.

Foden can ride the wave of his current form here to register a goal contribution. Chances will be at a premium for City seeing as Arsenal tend to control games at home but Foden is the type of player who can unlock Arsenal’s stubborn backline.

Rodri to be Shown a Card

It won’t be lost on Rodri that the ACL injury he suffered in the early parts of last season was against Arsenal so there may be a small element of revenge on the mind of the Spaniard. 

Rodri collected eight yellow cards and one red card in his last full season in the Premier League, back in the 23/24 campaign.

Arsenal have drawn a card from their opponents in each of their four Premier League games this season. They have added players that can test Rodri when it comes to the Spaniard committing fouls.

Eberechi Eze stands out as a player that could cause Rodri problems. He lines up on the left for Arsenal but comes inside when he gets the ball. Eze won 51 fouls across his 34 Premier League appearances last season (1.77 per 90).

The referee for this game is Stuart Atwell who has been busy in the early parts of the season, handing out 5.67 cards per game across his three appointments in the Premier League.

Arsenal GK to Make 3+ Saves

Raya and Alisson are quite clearly the best two goalkeepers in the Premier League. 

Donnarumma may climb up to join the duo but at the moment there is a massive gulf in class between the Liverpool and Arsenal keepers and the rest of the keepers in the Premier League.

Raya has routinely pulled out worldly saves for Arsenal and has made 11 saves to keep his three clean sheets this season (2.75 per 90). What is really notable about Raya’s early performances is that he’s maintained a save percentage of 91.7% across the opening few games which will make it difficult for City to force an effort past him.

Raya was forced into making three saves in this fixture last season and was called into action on nine occasions when the sides met at the Etihad.

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📂 Arsenal v Man City Cheat Sheet

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📈 Arsenal v Man City & Tactics

Arsenal have started the season strongly. Their only defeat so far has come against Liverpool, which was also the only game in which they’ve conceded. 

The home wins against Leeds and Forest, you could argue, are routine for a side like Arsenal, but the away wins against United and Athletic Club showed Arsenal’s depth and pulled the Gunners away from the tag of having a soft underbelly.

Mikel Arteta has to take the credit for this transformation in attitude and quality at Arsenal. It has taken quite a few years, but the Gunners do look like they are in the best position they have ever been in to challenge for the title. 

It’s significant that Arsenal play Manchester City, Manchester United and Liverpool in the early stages of the season - they play Fulham, Sunderland and Burnley within their next five matches, so there is a real opportunity for Arsenal to build up a bulk of points over the next few weeks, having got some really difficult fixtures out of the way.

When it comes to individual players, injuries have meant that we have had a good look at some of Arsenal’s summer recruits, and they have all looked pretty bright. The standout to me has been Martin Zubimendi. I think that’s the biggest improvement that Arsenal have made to the side with his ability to control the game, but also free up Declan Rice to push forward.

Manchester City will be hoping to avoid a repeat of the 5-1 defeat they suffered in this fixture last season, which was a bit of a statement from Arsenal, as it was only the second time that Arsenal had managed to beat Manchester City across the last 10 head-to-head meetings.

City had a slightly easier ride in the Champions League during the week as they were the home side, while Arsenal had to travel to Bilbao, and City’s task was also made more straightforward by the fact that Napoli were reduced to 10 men in the 21st minute. 

Haaland reached 50 Champions League goals in that game, marking another milestone for the freak of a striker. He’s certainly been City’s standout player so far, with six goals across his five appearances, which is actually a pretty modest total for Haaland.

City have tweaked their approach slightly this season to be more physical and direct, perhaps coming in line with the energy and physicality of the likes of Arsenal and Liverpool. This is the overall general direction of travel when it comes to the Premier League, and Guardiola is intelligent enough to realise that his side must adapt.


🏁 Ref Watch

Stuart Atwell

Fouls pg

Yellows pg

Reds pg

Pens pg

20.97

3.66

0.13

0.21

Stats are taken per 90 minutes from Atwell's 217 career Premier League matches.


📊 Arsenal v Man City Stats

  • Arsenal ran out 5-1 winners in this fixture last season and also avoided defeat against City at the Etihad in a 2-2 draw.

  • Arsenal have only beaten Manchester City twice in the last 10 head-to-head meetings - both of these wins have come at the Emirates over the last two years. 

  • Arsenal have only conceded one goal across their five games in all competitions. Remarkably, only Manchester United have managed to generate an xG in excess of 1.0 against Arsenal this season.

  • Manchester City have won their last two games against Manchester United and Napoli to nil.

  • Jeremy Doku and Phil Foden have recorded back-to-back goal contributions against Manchester United and Napoli.

  • Erling Haaland has scored five goals across his four Premier League matches this season.


Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Keep up with our Football Betting Tips, Accumulator Tips, and Gem Bets, as well as Premier League Predictions and Arsenal v Man City Betting Stats for this weekend, on Andy's Bet Club.

We've also got plenty of other content for Sunday's fixtures, including Quick Previews for Bristol City v Oxford, Partick Thistle v Celtic, and Mallorca v Atletico Madrid, as well as Bet Builders for Bournemouth v Newcastle and Sunderland v Aston Villa.

On top of that, we also have a Premier League Player Prop Treble, a Teams to Score Acca, and Sunday Premier League Treble.

You can take a look at some of the best New Bookmaker Offers here if you're after some free bets. We recommend both the Paddy Power Sign Up Offer and bet365 Sign Up Offer, and the SBK Sign Up Offer.


* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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